Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 24 at Washington 10

WASH
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:56 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior−3.3Home team on offense−8.8Score differential−3.6Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:13: John Timu 63 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +14.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 7:14: Cameron Van Winkle 23 Yd Field Goal — WASH win probability +14.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:00: Gary Chambers 7 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick) — ASU win probability +30.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:50: Troy Williams pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 11 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST down — WASH win probability +9.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:52: Armand Perry 61 Yd Interception Return (Zane Gonzalez Kick) — ASU win probability +9.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 12ASU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:16ASU 4th & 9 at WASH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:23ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:41WASH 4th & 3 at ASU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:17ASU 4th & 12 at ASU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:51WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:36ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:05WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:29ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:06WASH 4th & 9 at ASU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:48ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:40WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:47WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:55ASU 4th & 8 at WASH 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−5.3
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:10WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:04WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:46ASU 4th & 17 at WASH 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:45ASU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.3%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−13.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:15WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  20. Q3 2:14ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:56ASU 4th & 10 at WASH 10, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%−2.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−15.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:14WASH 4th & 6 at ASU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−2.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−19.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:52WASH 4th & 25 at WASH 39, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 4:58ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:13WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:00ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:52ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:3965% → 64%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
35.0%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+31
35.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 31 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
35.3%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
35.4%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
35.4%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
35.6%
Taylor Kelly punt for 38 yds, downed at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:0336% → 36%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
35.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 12 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
35.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
36.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
35.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Shaq ThompsonSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
35.9%
Korey Durkee punt for 42 yds, downed at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3564% → 64%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
35.9%
Taylor Kelly run for 16 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
35.9%
Taylor Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
36.2%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+7
36.4%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Deantre Lewis for 7 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-8
36.5%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3437% → 38%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
37.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
37.5%
Shaq Thompson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-1
37.9%
Shaq Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
37.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1763% → 61%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.3%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
37.6%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 16 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
37.3%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Frederick Gammage for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
37.8%
Taylor Kelly run for no gain to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
38.3%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
38.6%
Matt Haack punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0938% → 38%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
38.4%
Shaq Thompson run for 17 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
38.7%
Troy Williams sacked by Marcus Hardison for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+4
38.7%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
38.5%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
38.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 20 yds, downed at the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1562% → 61%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
37.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Taylor Kelly) to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+2
38.7%
Deantre Lewis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
38.9%
Taylor Kelly run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 3
50
-12
38.0%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 12 yards to the WASHINGTON 38 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Taylor Kelly) to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
39.5%
Matt Haack punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3540% → 42%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
39.7%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
40.2%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
40.3%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
40.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
41.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:3661% → 59%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
39.4%
D.J. Foster run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
39.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (NA) to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
39.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 10
OWN 26
-5
40.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+5
41.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Running Into Kicker (NA) to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 14:29
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
41.0%
Matt Haack punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:2342% → 43%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
42.1%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
42.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Shaq Thompson for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+10
41.9%
Jeff Lindquist run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
43.2%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+12
43.2%
Deontae Cooper run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.6%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
44.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 4 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-3
44.2%
Jeff Lindquist run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
43.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1859% → 58%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
41.4%
Deantre Lewis run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
40.7%
Deantre Lewis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
41.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
42.4%
Matt Haack punt for 57 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 19 Dante Pettis fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Wash Dante Pettis , return for 7 yds to the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0844% → 42%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
43.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Michael Hartvigson for 7 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
44.1%
Shaq Thompson run for no gain to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
42.9%
Shaq Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
42.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:4262% → 70%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
38.5%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
38.6%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
38.5%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
38.8%
Demario Richard run for 23 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
37.8%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
30.1%
Jaelen Strong 16 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5235% → 31%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
34.8%
Shaq Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-2
33.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to John Ross for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
32.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
31.4%
Korey Durkee punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:5272% → 73%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
28.4%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 6 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+36
28.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Deantre Lewis for 36 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
26.6%
D.J. Foster run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
26.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
27.1%
Zane Gonzalez 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16END OF HALF
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:4527% → 28%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
26.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 11 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+5
26.3%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+12
26.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Dante Pettis for 12 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+9
27.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 9 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
28.3%
Troy Williams sacked by Marcus Hardison for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5628% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Siosifa Tufunga) to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
27.3%
Shaq Thompson run for 1 yd to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
27.2%
Jaydon Mickens run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 16Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+12
26.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Shaq Thompson for 12 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 29 yds, downed at the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:1274% → 73%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
25.8%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 13 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
25.5%
Taylor Kelly sacked by TEAM for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+10
25.6%
D.J. Foster run for 10 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
25.6%
D.J. Foster run for 5 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
25.0%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+1
25.4%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 14
OPP 35
-3
26.1%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
27.2%
Taylor Kelly punt for 23 yds, downed at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
25.0%
Troy Williams sacked by Laiu Moeakiola for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 1 Troy Williams fumbled, forced by Laiu Moeakiola, recovered by ArzSt Demetrius Cherry , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3076% → 77%
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
24.0%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.3%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
24.1%
Taylor Kelly run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.5%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the Wash 1 Kalen Ballage fumbled, forced by John Timu, recovered by ArzSt Kalen BallageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1523% → 21%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
22.7%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
21.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 4 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
21.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
20.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5779% → 65%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
20.7%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
20.4%
Taylor Kelly run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+63
35.1%
John Timu 63 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4662% → 61%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
37.6%
D.J. Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
38.3%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+9
39.9%
Taylor Kelly run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
39.3%
Matt Haack punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5540% → 37%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
39.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 9 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
42.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 3 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
40.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-11
43.6%
John Ross run for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+7
37.3%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Jordan Simone return for 7 yds to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0467% → 63%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
32.6%
Ronald Lewis run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
32.0%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+21
33.8%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 21 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
31.8%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Budda Baker for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
31.7%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
34.5%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
37.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:3138% → 56%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
37.8%
Shaq Thompson run for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+12
37.9%
Shaq Thompson run for 12 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
38.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
42.1%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
42.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
43.3%
Deontae Cooper run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
46.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 9 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+4
43.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
44.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
44.5%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
41.9%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
44.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
44.7%
Shaq Thompson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
42.0%
Shaq Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
56.2%
Cameron Van Winkle 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1452% → 91%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.9%
D.J. Foster run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
46.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Deantre Lewis for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
45.7%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+23
46.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 23 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.9%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
42.3%
Taylor Kelly run for 12 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
39.2%
Demario Richard run for 18 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
39.3%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
8.7%
Gary Chambers 7 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 28INT TD
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:5820% → 2%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
19.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 11 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
20.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 5 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
22.0%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
19.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
19.8%
Troy Williams sacked by Edmond Boateng for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-10
16.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 20
OWN 44
-5
13.0%
Troy Williams sacked by Laiu Moeakiola for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 25
OWN 39
+61
2.1%
Armand Perry 61 Yd Interception Return (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:342% → 2%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
2.2%
Troy Williams run for 7 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+6
2.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
2.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 18 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
2.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 29 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:00
Gary Chambers 7 Yd pass from Taylor Kelly (Zane Gonzalez Kick)
-30.6
TD · Q3 4:13
John Timu 63 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+14.7
FG · Q4 7:14
Cameron Van Winkle 23 Yd Field Goal
+14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com