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UCLA

UCLA 36 at California 34

CAL
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:18 · Cole Leininger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior−9.1Home team on offense−4.6Garbage-time factor−3.8Score differential−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:48: Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +15.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 2:33: Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 24 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +21.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:12: Brett Hundley run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brett Hundley failed ) — UCLA win probability +21.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:50: Kenny Lawler 23 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — CAL win probability +33.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:40: Ka'imi Fairbairn 26 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +24.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 9UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:06CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41UCLA 4th & 3 at CAL 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:13CAL 4th & 21 at CAL 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56UCLA 4th & 1 at CAL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50CAL 4th & 15 at UCLA 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:44UCLA 4th & 7 at CAL 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:21CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:31UCLA 4th & 3 at CAL 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:34UCLA 4th & 1 at CAL 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−2.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:51UCLA 4th & 6 at CAL 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:37CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 47, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:11UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:18CAL 4th & 3 at UCLA 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:45UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:18CAL 4th & 19 at UCLA 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−3.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:40UCLA 4th & 2 at CAL 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−7.9
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−24.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:40CAL 4th & 6 at UCLA 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−1.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−8.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:33UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:00CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:46CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:50UCLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:48CAL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:33CAL Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:50CAL Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4926% → 27%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
26.6%
Daniel Lasco run for 5 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
26.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
27.0%
Cole Leininger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:1673% → 72%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
27.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 29 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
27.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
27.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 6 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+1
27.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 1 yd to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
27.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:2228% → 29%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+39
27.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 39 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
28.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
28.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+2
29.0%
Chris Harper run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-12
29.2%
Jared Goff sacked by Owamagbe Odighizuwa for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+1
29.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 1 yd to the Cal 47Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 21
OWN 47
0
29.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 21
OWN 47
0
29.2%
Cole Leininger punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3471% → 73%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
29.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 11 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
29.4%
Brett Hundley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
29.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 7 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
29.4%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
29.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 6 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
29.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 9 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-2
29.6%
Paul Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
29.9%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
30.5%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
29.9%
Myles Jack run for 14 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
29.8%
Myles Jack run for 4 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
30.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
26.9%
Paul Perkins 16 Yd TD pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:2129% → 27%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
28.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
29.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.0%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
28.9%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Davis, Trevor, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Willis, Priest) 13 yards to the UCLA32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
29.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+5
29.1%
Luke Rubenzer run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-8
29.0%
Jared Goff sacked by Ellis McCarthy for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 37 Jared Goff fumbled, forced by Ellis McCarthy, recovered by Cal Jordan Rigsbee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
27.2%
Cole Leininger punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:1772% → 73%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
27.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 6 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
27.0%
Paul Perkins run for 15 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
26.4%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Payton) to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+8
27.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+6
27.1%
Brett Hundley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 18 Brett Hundley fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Cal Hardy Nickerson , return for 27 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2030% → 37%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
30.1%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-1
30.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+18
28.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 18 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:0667% → 68%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
33.2%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
32.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 5 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
32.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 16 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
32.4%
Brett Hundley run for 14 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
31.7%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Nate IeseSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
32.0%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
32.1%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
31.6%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0832% → 31%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
32.4%
Jared Goff run for 19 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
34.3%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-15
33.4%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Davis, Trevor for 38 yards to the UCLA22, PENALTY CALIFORNIA illegal block (Lasco, Daniel) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 25
OWN 25
+15
31.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 15 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
31.1%
Cole Leininger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
32.2%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 20 Paul Perkins fumbled, forced by Hardy Nickerson, recovered by Cal Cedric DozierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1436% → 46%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
35.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
35.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+9
34.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 9 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
36.1%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.9%
Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Chris Harper for 7 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:4460% → 71%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
40.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 12 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
38.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 13 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
38.3%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
38.1%
Brett Hundley run for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
38.5%
Jordon James run for no gain to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+12
41.0%
Paul Perkins run for 12 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
38.5%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
29.1%
Jordon James run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2830% → 30%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 11 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
31.2%
Jared Goff run for 2 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
31.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 3 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
31.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
29.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 0:5568% → 78%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
32.1%
Brett Hundley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+5
32.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 5 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
32.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 12 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
32.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 4 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+19
31.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 19 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.0%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
22.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Paul Perkins for 49 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0922% → 22%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.5%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2177% → 76%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
23.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
23.1%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
23.4%
Brett Hundley run for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
24.0%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:3825% → 40%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
24.7%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+49
24.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 49 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3969% → 72%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
30.9%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+10
31.2%
Brett Hundley run for 10 yds to the Cal 7 Brett Hundley fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by UCLA Caleb Benenoch for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
31.3%
Jordon James run for 2 yds to the Cal 5Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.3%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Kenny ClarkSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
32.6%
Brett Hundley sacked by Mustafa Jalil and Michael Barton for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 6Similar
Q3 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
28.1%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0731% → 33%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
31.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 14 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
32.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 8 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
34.5%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
33.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
32.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1671% → 70%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
28.6%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-3
28.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
29.7%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+5
30.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (NA) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
30.4%
Matt Mengel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Harper at the Cal 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4834% → 32%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
33.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
32.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
34.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
32.2%
Cole Leininger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2571% → 71%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
28.7%
Brett Hundley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
27.8%
Mossi Johnson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
28.0%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
26.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Nate IeseSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
27.9%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Nate StarksSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+25
29.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Harper at the CALIFORNIA 31 UCLA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (NA) to the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:0734% → 61%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
33.7%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
32.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 16 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
35.0%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+7
32.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 7 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+15
34.2%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Lawler, Kenny, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Moreau, Fabian) 15 yards to the UCLA22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
37.0%
Luke Rubenzer run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-5
39.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rigsbee) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+24
60.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 24 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:4848% → 77%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
52.4%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
50.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+7
49.9%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
49.3%
Jordon James run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
50
+4
48.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+31
49.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordon James for 31 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
23.5%
Brett Hundley run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brett Hundley failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:4229% → 28%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
29.8%
Jared Goff run for 7 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
30.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
33.1%
Daniel Lasco run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
50
0
33.8%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
50
0
33.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 10
50
+16
30.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 16 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
36.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
36.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-9
33.4%
Jared Goff sacked by Eric Kendricks for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 19
OPP 43
+42
28.1%
Cole Leininger punt for 42 yds, downed at the UCLA 1 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Deon Hollins) to the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:1072% → 78%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
28.1%
Jordon James run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+11
27.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 11 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
26.3%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 21 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
24.4%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 11 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
22.6%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
22.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 6 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
21.6%
Nate Starks run for 3 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
20.7%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
20.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+39
21.9%
Brett Hundley pass intercepted Cameron Walker return for 39 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 27TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:4036% → 67%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
35.6%
Chris Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+10
33.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Anthony Jefferson) to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
66.9%
Kenny Lawler 23 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0047% → 74%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
52.9%
Jordon James run for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+9
51.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Starks for 9 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
50.5%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+29
50.8%
Brett Hundley run for 14 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Barton) to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
48.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 3 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
48.2%
Jordon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+6
50.9%
Brett Hundley run for 6 yds to the Cal 8Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
26.3%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 29INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:4439% → 43%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
38.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 12 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
38.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 8 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
42.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
43.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
44.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
43.2%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+7
39.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 7 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
45.6%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
42.8%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Marcus Rios return for no gain to the UCLA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4886% → 92%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
13.9%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
14.1%
Brett Hundley run for no gain to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
8.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the UCLA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:50
Kenny Lawler 23 Yd pass from Jared Goff (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+33.6
FG · Q4 3:40
Ka'imi Fairbairn 26 yd FG GOOD
-24.6
TD · Q3 2:33
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 24 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)
+21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com