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UTAH

Utah 29 at Oregon State 23

ORST
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 16, 2014 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2FGFGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:41 · Keith Kostol punt for 42 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for no gain to the Utah 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 95Home team on offense+1.3Pregame prior+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.8Time remaining−0.5Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:49: Jordan Villamin 72 Yd pass from Sean Mannion (Trevor Romaine Kick) — ORST win probability +26.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:06: Devontae Booker 1 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +45.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:00: Trevor Romaine 49 Yd Field Goal — ORST win probability +39.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Romaine KICK) — ORST win probability +35.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Devontae Booker 19 Yd Run — UTAH win probability +30.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:23UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08UTAH 4th & 11 at ORST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:02ORST 4th & 22 at ORST 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:45UTAH 4th & 2 at ORST 25, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 28, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:57ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.4%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:22UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:18ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:41ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:20UTAH 4th & 9 at ORST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−7.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:42ORST 4th & 19 at ORST 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−4.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:43UTAH 4th & 5 at ORST 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−2.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:22ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:08UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−2.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:57ORST 4th & 4 at UTAH 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−2.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−5.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:56UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 49, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−2.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:41ORST 4th & 7 at UTAH 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    73.1%−2.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−1.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:06UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−9.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−28.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:00ORST 4th & 11 at UTAH 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−11.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−18.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q4 13:49ORST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:06UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3245% → 44%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.4%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
55.4%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
55.4%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
55.4%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
55.4%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Justin Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
55.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds, downed at the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
55.7%
Sean Mannion pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for no gain to the OrgSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5245% → 45%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
55.2%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Brandon Bennett-Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
55.2%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
55.3%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
55.4%
Andy Phillips 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 21 yds · 5:5855% → 54%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
55.3%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+10
55.3%
Storm Woods run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
55.4%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
55.6%
Storm Woods run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
55.7%
Mannion, Sean pass complete to Ward, Terron for 6 yards to the OREGONST48, PENALTY OREGONST illegal shift (Hamlett, Connor) 5 yards to the OREGONST37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-5
55.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Gavin Andrews) to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
-2
55.1%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 22
OWN 30
+12
55.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 12 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
55.1%
Mannion, Sean pass incomplete to Jarmon, Hunter, PENALTY UTAH holding (Hatfield, Dominique) 10 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGONST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
56.1%
Storm Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+1
55.1%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 12
50
-10
54.8%
Sean Mannion sacked by Pita Taumoepenu and Hunter Dimick for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 22
OWN 40
0
54.0%
Keith Kostol punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0045% → 49%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
55.2%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
54.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
54.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
54.8%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
54.2%
Kendal Thompson run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
53.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+15
53.6%
Thompson, Kendal pass incomplete to Anderson, Dres, PENALTY OREGONST pass interference 15 yards to the OREGONST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
52.9%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
52.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
53.3%
Kendal Thompson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
51.3%
Andy Phillips 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2752% → 51%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
52.4%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Connor HamlettSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
52.3%
Terron Ward run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
51.6%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
51.1%
Keith Kostol punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4249% → 50%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
51.1%
Thompson, Kendal pass incomplete to Clay, Kaelin, PENALTY OREGONST pass interference (Nelson, Steven) 15 yards to the UTAH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
49.0%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Lavonte Barnett and Dylan Wynn for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 18
OWN 36
0
50.4%
Kendal Thompson pass intercepted Dylan Wynn return for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3655% → 55%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
54.5%
Victor Bolden run for 27 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
53.6%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
53.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Harlow) to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
53.6%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Terron WardSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-9
52.5%
Sean Mannion sacked by Clint Shepard for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
54.7%
Trevor Romaine 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1047% → 46%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Kendal Thompson run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.2%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
53.3%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
54.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Steven Nelson at the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0154% → 54%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
53.5%
Terron Ward run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
55.0%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
52.9%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
51.6%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
53.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Caleb Smith for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
53.2%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 10 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
53.8%
Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
53.8%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 Storm Woods fumbled, forced by Hunter Dimick, recovered by Utah Davion OrpheySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0851% → 50%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.2%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-5
48.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Salesi Uhatafe) to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
48.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 33 Devontae Booker fumbled, recovered by Utah Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+6
50.9%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 6 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+1
50.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 49 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:5450% → 47%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
49.8%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Tyler Anderson for 5 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+13
49.4%
Storm Woods run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
50.0%
Chris Brown run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
49.6%
Chris Brown run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-5
49.4%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Gavin Andrews) to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
47.9%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Richard MullaneySimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
47.4%
Keith Kostol punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 33Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
47.0%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:3652% → 52%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
48.0%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
47.7%
Kendal Thompson run for 6 yds to the Utah 28 Kendal Thompson fumbled, forced by Justin Strong, recovered by OrgSt Bud DelvaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:2454% → 57%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
54.3%
Chris Brown run for 6 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
54.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Ricky OrtizSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+9
52.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 9 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
54.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-15
54.1%
Sean Mannion run for a loss of 15 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 25
OPP 28
+45
57.4%
Trevor Romaine 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0657% → 56%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
57.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 16 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
57.8%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+7
57.3%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 7 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
56.2%
Keith Kostol punt for 42 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for no gain to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:1247% → 52%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+42
53.4%
Devontae Booker run for 42 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
50.4%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
50.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Westlee Tonga for 11 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
48.8%
Bubba Poole run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+1
48.8%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-7
50.1%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 28 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
48.2%
Andy Phillips 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:2849% → 43%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
48.8%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
48.6%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Tyler AndersonSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-11
45.1%
Sean Mannion sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 19
OWN 8
0
43.0%
Keith Kostol punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the OrgSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5158% → 56%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
41.8%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
42.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
43.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:1346% → 44%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
46.4%
Terron Ward run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+14
46.2%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
47.9%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
47.3%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
45.9%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+10
44.0%
Keith Kostol punt for 47 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 10 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0656% → 55%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
44.4%
Devontae Booker run for 14 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
41.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
41.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
40.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+51
44.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 51 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0544% → 47%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
43.6%
Terron Ward run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+52
43.0%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 52 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
50.0%
Terron Ward run for 6 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
52.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Rahmel DockerySimilar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
49.4%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Terron WardSimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
46.5%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5859% → 56%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
40.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 13 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
38.7%
Booker, Devontae rush for no gain to the UTAH47, PENALTY UTAH illegal block (Clay, Kaelin) 15 yards to the UTAH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+1
42.4%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 24
OWN 33
+15
42.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 15 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-5
39.4%
Travis Wilson sacked by Tyrequek Zimmerman for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
44.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Steven Nelson at the OrgSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:5743% → 71%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
42.9%
Terron Ward run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
43.7%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+72
70.5%
Jordan Villamin 72 Yd pass from Sean Mannion (Trevor Romaine Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4138% → 37%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
63.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+7
64.6%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
63.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:5971% → 75%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.8%
Terron Ward run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
71.0%
Terron Ward run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
70.1%
Terron Ward run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
71.8%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
72.0%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
70.4%
Chris Brown run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
74.6%
Terron Ward run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
74.5%
Rahmel Dockery run for 8 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
76.6%
Terron Ward run for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
76.7%
Terron Ward run for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
77.5%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
75.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Keith Kostol punt for 37 yds, downed at the Utah 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 3:2432% → 78%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
68.0%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 7Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+11
68.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 11 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
66.6%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth, PENALTY OREGONST pass interference (Nelson, Steven) 15 yards to the UTAH33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
65.0%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
62.2%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+53
62.0%
Devontae Booker run for 53 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
58.8%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
58.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.1%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.1%
Devontae Booker 1 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:4534% → 54%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
33.8%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 11 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
34.4%
Terron Ward run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
30.9%
Terron Ward run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+9
29.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 9 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
32.6%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+20
32.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 20 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
36.5%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-5
39.3%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Harlow) to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+7
32.7%
Terron Ward run for 7 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-6
34.5%
Sean Mannion sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
53.8%
Trevor Romaine 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+2
42.7%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
40.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
22.0%
Devontae Booker 15 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 29TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
28.1%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 12 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (NA) to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.1%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
28.1%
Sean Mannion sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 9Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
23.6%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the Utah 2Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Romaine KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 30MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
64.7%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Terron Ward for 6 yds to the Utah 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-1
64.7%
Terron Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
62.4%
Sean Mannion pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
58.6%
Trevor Romaine 37 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 31TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 15:0060% → 90%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
40.5%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
10.1%
Devontae Booker 19 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:06
Devontae Booker 1 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)
-45.5
FG · Q4 0:00
Trevor Romaine 49 Yd Field Goal
+39.2
TD · OT 0:00
Sean Mannion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Romaine KICK)
+35.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com