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WASH

Washington 31 at California 7

CAL
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:20 · Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Cameron Walker
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense−36.9Score differential−16.4Garbage-time factor−8.9Pregame prior+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:44: Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +6.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:23: Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00: Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 3 yds to the Cal 34 — WASH win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: James Langford kickoff for 33 yds , Cory Littleton return for 2 yds to the Wash 34 — CAL win probability +5.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:21: Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +5.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:26CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33CAL 4th & 4 at WASH 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:56WASH 4th & 3 at CAL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:17WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:46CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15CAL 4th & 23 at WASH 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:20WASH 4th & 6 at CAL 19, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:00CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53WASH 4th & 1 at CAL 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:29CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:39WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:41CAL 4th & 7 at WASH 20, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:44WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:45CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:53CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:41WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:44WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:23WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:29WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:21CAL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2457% → 57%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
57.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 5 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
57.1%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Daniel LascoSimilar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 2
OWN 30
-5
57.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+1
57.0%
Cole Leininger punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5443% → 43%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
57.1%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
57.1%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+10
57.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 10 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
57.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:3457% → 56%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
57.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 10 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
57.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 12 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
57.5%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
57.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+11
57.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 11 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
57.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 17 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
58.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 25 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
58.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wash 7Similar
Q1 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
58.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 6 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-100
55.9%
Shaq Thompson 100 Yd Fumble Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4755% → 54%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
54.9%
Daniel Lasco run for 6 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
55.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 5 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
54.9%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
55.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
55.2%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
55.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
54.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
54.2%
Cole Leininger punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:2447% → 49%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
53.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
53.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
52.9%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
53.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+7
52.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
52.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 9 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+7
51.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
51.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for no gain to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
51.4%
Jaydon Mickens run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
51.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+2
50.7%
Cyler Miles run for 2 yds to the Cal 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
51.6%
Jared Goff run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 25 Jared Goff fumbled, recovered by Wash Danny SheltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
45.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2946% → 45%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
45.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 14 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
45.7%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+9
45.2%
Jared Goff run for 9 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
45.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for no gain to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+1
45.2%
Cole Leininger punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 1 yd to the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1356% → 57%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
43.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
43.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-2
43.0%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 3
OWN 27
-3
43.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 40 yds , Trevor Davis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1443% → 40%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
43.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 5 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
43.5%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
42.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 5 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
42.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 5 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-8
41.9%
Jared Goff sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+7
40.0%
Cole Leininger punt for 58 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 7 yds to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 5:0760% → 75%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
39.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+1
39.7%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+9
39.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
38.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 5
OWN 29
0
37.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
37.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
37.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
36.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
35.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 15 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
35.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+7
34.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
34.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
34.2%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
34.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 5 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
24.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:0027% → 24%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
26.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.3%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
26.4%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference 15 yards to the WASHINGTON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
28.1%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+19
27.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 19 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
28.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 6 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
27.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-11
27.1%
Jared Goff sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 37 Jared Goff fumbled, recovered by Cal Jared Goff , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 18
OPP 37
-5
25.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
24.3%
Cole Leininger punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
4 plays · 97 yds · 0:3179% → 85%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
21.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+4
20.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 4 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
19.7%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+86
15.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 86 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:009% → 6%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
8.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 3 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
8.1%
Jared Goff run for 1 yd to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
6.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 7 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
5.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 12 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.7%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15END OF HALF
12 plays · 0 yds · 3:2587% → 93%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
12.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
12.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+14
12.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 14 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
11.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-10
11.6%
Miles, Cyler pass incomplete to Mickens, Jaydon, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+14
9.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 14 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
8.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
8.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 19 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
7.9%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-12
7.6%
Cyler Miles sacked by Griffin Piatt for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 35Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 22
OPP 35
+16
7.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 16 yds to the Cal 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16MISSED FG
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 11:20
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
8.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Cameron WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
20 plays · 66 yds · 6:499% → 12%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.8%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
8.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
8.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 13 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
8.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 6 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-12
7.7%
Jared Goff sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
7.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
7.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 12 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
8.3%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
7.9%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+9
7.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 9 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
7.6%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-11
7.9%
Jared Goff sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+19
7.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 19 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
7.5%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
7.5%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-10
7.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+10
7.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 10 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
6.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 4 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
7.0%
Daniel Lasco run for 7 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:0795% → 96%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
4.9%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+7
4.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+1
4.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
4.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
3.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
3.8%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
3.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
3.4%
Cyler Miles run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
50
+5
3.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 5 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
3.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:265% → 5%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
4.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 1 yd to the Cal 16Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+1
4.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 1 yd Trevor Davis fumbled, forced by Marcus Peters, recovered by Wash Danny Shelton , return for 1 yd to the Cal 16 Danny Shelton fumbled, recovered by Wash John TimuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
3 plays · -18 yds · 1:4097% → 98%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
2.9%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 10 yards to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 20
OPP 26
-8
2.8%
Cyler Miles sacked by Darius Allensworth for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 28
OPP 34
+42
2.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
3.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 16 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.2%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 7 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-23
3.3%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Powe, Darius for 7 yards to the WASHINGTON35, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul 23 yards to the CALIFORNIA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+5
2.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 5 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
2.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
1.9%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
1.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 2 yds to the Wash 15 WASHINGTON Penalty, Crackback (-7 Yards) to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+6
1.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
1.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
2.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 13 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
2.4%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
1.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-2
1.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 7
OPP 20
0
1.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-15
1.1%
Coleman, Lavon rush for 5 yards to the WASHINGTON25, PENALTY WASHINGTON personal foul 15 yards to the WASHINGTON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+3
1.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+7
1.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Michael Hartvigson for 7 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
1.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.9%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
0.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 5 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
0.9%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+1
0.9%
Daniel Lasco run for 1 yd to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
0.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 5 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+9
0.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 9 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
0.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Vic Enwere for 11 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
0.9%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+16
0.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 16 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.9%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.8%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.8%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
0.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Wash 1Similar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
0.4%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+8
0.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 8 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 1
OWN 10
0
0.4%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:23
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 11 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q1 1:44
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-6.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 3 yds to the Cal 34
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com