Try the model
WSU

Washington State 17 at Stanford 34

STAN
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2014 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—STAN 87.9%Jordan Williamson 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 11:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:47 · Jordan Williamson 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+37.1Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:08: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +2.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:51: Quentin Breshears 46 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:07: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +6.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:02: Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:38: Remound Wright run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 11:47STAN 4th & 5 at WSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:54WSU 4th & 21 at WSU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:24STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−0.4
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:00WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 12, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:07WSU 4th & 17 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:58STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:02WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:33WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 29, down 10
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00STAN 4th & 14 at WSU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:36STAN 4th & 6 at WSU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:43WSU 4th & 2 at STAN 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−2.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:02WSU 4th & 3 at STAN 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−6.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:13STAN 4th & 7 at WSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−9.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:19WSU 4th & 21 at WSU 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:37STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 40, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−1.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−1.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:52WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:30STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:35WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:08STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:07STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:02WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:38STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:5889% → 88%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
88.6%
Hogan, Kevin pass complete to Pratt, Jordan for no gain to the STANFORD36, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Cajuste, Devon) 15 yards to the STANFORD21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+21
88.4%
Barry Sanders run for 21 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+22
88.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 22 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
88.2%
Barry Sanders run for 29 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
88.1%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q1 11:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
87.9%
Jordan Williamson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:0112% → 12%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
87.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 1 yd to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
87.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
87.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+2
87.7%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 34 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:0088% → 88%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
87.5%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+24
87.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 24 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
88.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Eric Cotton for 39 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5012% → 15%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
87.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
87.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
87.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for no gain to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
87.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+9
87.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
87.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+41
87.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 41 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
86.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-5
86.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Jamal Morrow) to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
85.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0186% → 85%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
85.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 15 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
86.1%
Barry Sanders run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 2
50
-8
86.1%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Darryl Paulo and Darryl Monroe for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
85.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
84.7%
Ben Rhyne punt for 38 yds, downed at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:2115% → 14%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 1 yd to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-12
85.0%
Connor Halliday sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 21
OWN 9
0
85.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 21
OWN 9
+15
85.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 50 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for 15 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0686% → 85%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
85.6%
Young, Kelsey rush for no gain to the WASHST44, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the STANFORD46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+3
85.0%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+14
84.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 14 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
85.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
84.9%
Ben Rhyne punt for 34 yds, downed at the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0015% → 15%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
84.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 1
OWN 12
0
84.4%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the WshSt 12Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 12
0
84.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+46
84.9%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 50 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for 46 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:4485% → 88%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
85.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 13 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
85.2%
Patrick Skov run for 1 yd to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
85.1%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Jeremiah Allison for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3813% → 12%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
86.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 6 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
86.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 12 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
86.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
86.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-11
86.5%
Connor Halliday sacked by Henry Anderson for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 17
50
0
87.6%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0087% → 87%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
86.9%
Barry Sanders run for 7 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
87.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 6 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
87.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
87.7%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
87.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+12
86.9%
Ben Rhyne punt for 36 yds , River Cracraft returns for 12 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5113% → 13%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
86.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+46
87.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 56 yds for a touchback WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:4588% → 88%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
87.5%
Remound Wright run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
88.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Barry Sanders for 5 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+43
88.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 43 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
88.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 10 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.4%
Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2 Patrick Skov fumbled, recovered by WshStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2712% → 11%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
87.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+13
87.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
87.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Tyler Baker for 6 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
87.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
87.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:1489% → 87%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
88.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 22 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.9%
Kevin Hogan run for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+18
88.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 18 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
88.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-10
88.9%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Cajuste, Devon, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the WASHST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 20
OPP 26
-10
88.6%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Montgomery, Ty, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Murphy, Kyle) 10 yards to the WASHST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 30
OPP 36
+3
88.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Kelsey Young for 3 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 27
OPP 33
+13
88.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 13 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
86.8%
Jordan Williamson 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:2014% → 14%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Connor Halliday pass intercepted Blake Martinez return for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4588% → 87%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Christian McCaffreySimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
88.0%
Remound Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-5
87.4%
Hogan, Kevin pass complete to Montgomery, Ty for 35 yards to the WASHST0, PENALTY STANFORD illegal formation 5 yards to the WASHST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+10
86.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 10 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
87.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 42 yds · 4:3513% → 18%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
86.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
86.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+13
86.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 13 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
85.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
85.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Calvin GreenSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
85.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+13
86.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 13 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
84.6%
Halliday, Connor pass incomplete to Myers, Isiah, PENALTY STANFORD offside 5 yards to the STANFORD25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 5
OPP 25
-1
84.6%
Theron West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
84.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+5
85.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Theron West for 5 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-20
84.6%
Connor Halliday sacked by TEAM for a loss of 20 yards to the Stanf 37 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (0 Yards) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 30
OPP 37
+9
86.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 21
OPP 28
+46
82.2%
Quentin Breshears 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:3387% → 94%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
86.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 3 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
87.0%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+7
86.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 7 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
87.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+15
86.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
87.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+11
87.2%
Remound Wright run for 11 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
87.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 13 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:518% → 17%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Theron West for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
91.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 14 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
91.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 6
50
0
90.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Drew LoftusSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 6
50
+10
91.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 10 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
91.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
90.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.1%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
91.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
91.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+5
91.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.2%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
91.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the Stanf 3Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
91.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:4789% → 91%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
88.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
88.4%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
88.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 7 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
89.2%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+12
88.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 12 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
90.3%
Remound Wright run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+14
90.4%
Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST personal foul (Ekuale, Daniel) 14 yards to the WASHST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
90.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
90.4%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
90.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
91.0%
Jordan Williamson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:419% → 7%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
91.0%
Halliday, Connor pass incomplete to Mayle, Vince, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 6 yards to the WASHST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
91.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 22 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 21
OWN 12
0
91.1%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 21
OWN 12
0
91.9%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 21
OWN 12
0
92.4%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 21
OWN 12
0
92.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:2393% → 93%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
92.7%
Remound Wright run for 8 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-5
93.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
93.1%
Barry Sanders run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
92.5%
Ben Rhyne punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 2:127% → 5%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
93.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+5
93.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+5
93.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
93.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Drew LoftusSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
94.2%
Halliday, Connor pass incomplete to Myers, Isiah, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Harris, Ronnie) 14 yards to the WASHST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
94.0%
Halliday, Connor pass incomplete to Cracraft, River, PENALTY WASHST holding 10 yards to the WASHST23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 20
OWN 23
-13
94.8%
Connor Halliday sacked by A.J. Tarpley for a loss of 13 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 33
OWN 10
0
94.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 33
OWN 10
0
95.2%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 33
OWN 10
0
95.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 34 yds, downed at the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:2096% → 99%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
95.6%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+28
96.6%
Remound Wright run for 28 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.7%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.1%
Remound Wright run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-5
98.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
98.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-5
98.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+11
98.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:02
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q3 3:07
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Greg Taboada for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)
+6.6
FG · Q3 7:51
Quentin Breshears 46 yd FG GOOD
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com