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STAN

Stanford 14 at Notre Dame 17

ND
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:26 · TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the NDame 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Jordan Williamson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior−6.2Home team on offense−7.5Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:06: Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +13.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:01: Remound Wright run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +51.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:55: Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey Robinson — ND win probability +12.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:09: Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 01:09 — STAN win probability +12.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:01: Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +67.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 11STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:17STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20ND 4th & 7 at STAN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:58STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:40ND 4th & 9 at ND 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:43ND 4th & 1 at ND 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:16STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:49STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:36ND 4th & 6 at STAN 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:26STAN 4th & 7 at ND 25, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:23STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:07ND 4th & 4 at ND 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:35ND 4th & 5 at STAN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:20STAN 4th & 17 at STAN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:05ND 4th & 7 at STAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−2.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:30STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:52ND 4th & 13 at STAN 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:08ND 4th & 3 at STAN 10, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%−2.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−19.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:11STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−5.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:32ND 4th & 3 at STAN 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%−2.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−18.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:01ND 4th & 11 at STAN 23, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−10.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:50STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:06ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:01STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:01ND Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−4.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3561% → 60%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.4%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
39.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 1 yd to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
39.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
40.0%
Ben Rhyne punt for 39 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 1 yd to the NDame 39 Cody Riggs fumbled, forced by James Vaughters, recovered by NDame Cody Riggs STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NDame 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:5240% → 41%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
40.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
40.1%
Cam McDaniel run for 3 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+17
40.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 17 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
40.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben KoyackSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
40.9%
Cam McDaniel run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
41.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
40.6%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:1260% → 59%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
40.3%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
40.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
40.5%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Austin Hooper) to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-5
40.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Andrus Peat) to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+4
41.0%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
41.2%
Ben Rhyne punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cody Riggs at the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:1041% → 41%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
41.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 18 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.7%
Cam McDaniel run for no gain to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
41.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 6 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-5
42.2%
Everett Golson sacked by Kevin Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
41.4%
Kyle Brindza punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:5259% → 58%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
41.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 17 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
41.2%
Ty Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
41.1%
Ty Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
41.0%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Joshua Garnett) to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+16
41.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Patrick Skov for 16 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
41.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis Owusu, broken up by Max RedfieldSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
41.2%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Cole Luke for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 43 Kevin Hogan fumbled, forced by Cole Luke, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-3
41.8%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Cole Luke return for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
42.2%
Everett Golson run for 3 yds to the NDame 12 Everett Golson fumbled, forced by Ronnie Harris, recovered by Stanf Kyle OlugbodeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:2859% → 63%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
40.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 2 yds to the NDame 10Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
36.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5538% → 37%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to Tarean Folston for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
38.7%
Greg Bryant run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
38.1%
Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
37.4%
Kyle Brindza punt for 38 yds, downed at the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1463% → 62%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
37.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 2 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
37.1%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
37.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
37.6%
Ben Rhyne punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cody Riggs at the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10INT
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:3238% → 39%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
37.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 20 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
39.3%
C.J. Prosise run for 26 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Richards) to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
39.9%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
39.9%
Tarean Folston run for 5 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
39.1%
Everett Golson pass intercepted Jordan Richards return for no gain to the Stanf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1163% → 62%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
37.5%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
37.6%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 4Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
38.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+8
38.4%
Ben Rhyne punt for 42 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1039% → 38%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.3%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
39.1%
Greg Bryant run for 5 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
39.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 5 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
40.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
40.0%
Greg Bryant run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
38.7%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
37.5%
Kyle Brindza 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:5764% → 67%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
36.2%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
35.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 9 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
33.9%
Barry Sanders run for 8 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
32.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 3 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
32.8%
Ty Montgomery run for 5 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
32.4%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+18
32.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 18 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
31.5%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
31.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
32.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 7
OPP 25
-13
33.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the NDame 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Jordan WilliamsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:2036% → 52%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
35.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Blake Martinez) to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+7
37.2%
Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
50
0
37.5%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
50
0
36.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete, broken up by Aziz ShittuSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 10
50
+33
35.4%
Everett Golson run for 33 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
38.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
51.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3356% → 56%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
43.8%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
44.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+8
45.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 8 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
44.3%
Ben Rhyne punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cody Riggs at the NDame 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:1148% → 47%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
47.7%
Prosise, C.J. rush for 1 yard to the NOTREDAME23, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Brown, Chris) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+4
47.7%
Everett Golson run for 4 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
47.6%
Cam McDaniel run for no gain to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+12
46.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 12 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
46.6%
Kyle Brindza punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ty Montgomery at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:5255% → 54%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
44.9%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Jaylon Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+5
46.5%
Remound Wright run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:1449% → 51%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.3%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
49.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 26 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
53.1%
Greg Bryant run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
53.4%
Greg Bryant run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
52.6%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
50.6%
Kyle Brindza punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 4:0054% → 50%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
46.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 9 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
44.7%
Kelsey Young run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
45.9%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
46.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 5 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
45.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 7 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
44.1%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Andrew Trumbetti for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
46.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
47.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 17
OWN 39
+24
49.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Drue Tranquill, recovered at Notre Dame 37 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0052% → 52%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
52.2%
Cam McDaniel run for 2 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+14
53.5%
Cam McDaniel run for 14 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
55.4%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
55.2%
Cam McDaniel run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-2
55.1%
Cam McDaniel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
52.3%
Kyle Brindza punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2252% → 49%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
48.3%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
48.2%
Ricky Seale run for 1 yd to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
49.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty Montgomery, broken up by Cole LukeSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+1
51.3%
Ben Rhyne punt for 43 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 1 yd to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2655% → 51%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
54.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 8 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
56.1%
Cam McDaniel run for 6 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
56.9%
Cam McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
57.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 9 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
58.5%
Everett Golson sacked by Kevin Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
55.7%
Cam McDaniel run for no gain to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 13
OPP 37
0
54.3%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
51.1%
Kyle Brindza punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Ty Montgomery at the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:5251% → 49%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
49.0%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+4
49.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 4 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
51.0%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Cole Luke return for no gain to the Stanf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3960% → 56%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
59.7%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+12
57.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 12 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
60.0%
Cam McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-2
60.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+7
58.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 7 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+39
55.8%
Kyle Brindza 27 yd FG RETURNED , A.J. Tarpley return for 39 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5455% → 49%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
45.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-2
46.7%
Ty Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
49.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
51.5%
Ben Rhyne punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cody Riggs at the NDame 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:0954% → 73%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
54.2%
Cam McDaniel run for 4 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
54.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+13
52.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 13 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
58.5%
Greg Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+28
61.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alex Carter) to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.9%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
63.9%
Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+6
61.7%
Everett Golson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
73.2%
Kyle Brindza 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 27TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2138% → 85%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
62.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 12 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
60.7%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
60.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
59.6%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+23
62.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 23 yds to the NDame 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
59.8%
Kevin Hogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
60.6%
Ty Montgomery run for no gain to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
15.5%
Remound Wright run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 1:5432% → 91%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
32.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 11 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.2%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
32.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+17
30.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 17 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
33.2%
Golson, Everett pass incomplete to Fuller, William, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Lyons, Wayne) 15 yards to the STANFORD22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
38.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 3 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
39.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-4
35.7%
Everett Golson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+23
90.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:5418% → 15%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
80.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jordan Pratt for 6 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
79.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 13 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-16
84.9%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Elijah Shumate for a loss of 16 yards to the NOTREDAME 35 STANFORD Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kevin Hogan) to the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:01
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+67.5
TD · Q4 3:01
Remound Wright run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)
-51.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com