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CAL

California 60 at Washington State 59

WSU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:07 · Chris Harper run for 9 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+2.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:36: Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 86 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +18.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:12: Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 5 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +17.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 8:34: Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 21 yds for a TD, (James Langford BLOCKED) — CAL win probability +23.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:19: Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +43.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:18: Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 51 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff failed ) — CAL win probability +46.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:23WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:17WSU 4th & 11 at CAL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:44CAL 4th & 18 at CAL 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:35WSU 4th & 12 at CAL 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:51CAL 4th & 9 at WSU 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50CAL 4th & 2 at WSU 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:20WSU 4th & 8 at CAL 34, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26CAL 4th & 5 at WSU 35, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%−0.4
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:22WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:37WSU 4th & 1 at CAL 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−3.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−13.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:35WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−2.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:07CAL 4th & 1 at WSU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−6.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−6.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:41WSU 4th & 1 at CAL 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−6.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−14.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:27WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:24CAL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:59WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:27WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:19CAL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31CAL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:36WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:37WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:24CAL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:39WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:25CAL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 2:02WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 14:12CAL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 4:19WSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1464% → 64%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
63.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 11 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
63.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 7 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
63.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-2
63.8%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+18
63.6%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 55 yds , Chris Harper returns for 18 yds to the Cal 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2936% → 36%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
63.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 6 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
63.5%
Daniel Lasco run for 6 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.5%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
63.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 5 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
63.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
63.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:1264% → 66%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
63.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Riley Sorenson) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+90
65.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 90 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:3435% → 34%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
65.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rigsbee) to the Cal 7Similar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
65.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+4
65.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 4 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-2
65.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 9Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 13
OWN 9
+14
66.4%
Cole Leininger punt for 50 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for 14 yds to the Cal 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3367% → 67%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
66.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+19
66.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 19 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.9%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
67.1%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
67.0%
Connor Halliday run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
67.0%
Quentin Breshears 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2633% → 32%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
66.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 8 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+10
66.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 10 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
66.7%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-9
67.8%
Jared Goff sacked by Ivan McLennan and Darryl Paulo for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
68.4%
Cole Leininger punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5569% → 68%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
68.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the Cal 38 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Vince Mayle) to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 13
OPP 48
+1
68.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 1 yd to the Cal 47Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
68.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
68.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 12
OPP 47
+4
67.5%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 29 yds , Chris Harper returns for 4 yds to the Cal 43 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Alex Den Bleyker) to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:1132% → 38%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
67.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rigsbee) to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+6
68.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 6 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+11
68.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 11 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
67.7%
Daniel Lasco run for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
67.2%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
67.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 5 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
67.5%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+17
67.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 17 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
66.8%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
62.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 27 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:1664% → 72%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
63.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
63.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 3 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+37
63.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 37 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
65.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
65.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+8
65.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
66.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+14
66.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
71.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 16 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 1:5830% → 32%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
70.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+42
67.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 27 yds to the WASHST 41 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Daniel Ekuale) to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
67.9%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+10
68.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 10 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
68.5%
Daniel Lasco run for 1 yd to the WshSt 13Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
68.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
69.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
68.3%
James Langford 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1170% → 79%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
69.8%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+2
70.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 2 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+30
69.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 30 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
72.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+10
72.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 10 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
72.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
72.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 6 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
78.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 17 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:2323% → 22%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
77.4%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Davis, Trevor, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Taliulu, Taylor) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
77.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 2 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
76.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Chris HarperSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+6
77.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+57
77.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 47 yds for a touchback WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Daquawn Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 1:5980% → 79%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
79.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
79.7%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+5
79.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jake Kearney) to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
80.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 29 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
82.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 12 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
82.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
82.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
81.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
79.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 58 yds · 1:1521% → 26%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Khalfani MuhammadSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
78.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 8 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+7
77.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 7 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
77.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 11 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
76.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
76.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Maurice HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 5 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+12
78.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 12 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
77.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Daniel LascoSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
77.5%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Lawler, Kenny, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (White, Charleston) 15 yards to the WASHST8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Maurice HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
74.3%
James Langford 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:1122% → 39%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+55
77.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 55 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
61.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 27 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:4767% → 65%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
66.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
68.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
66.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.3%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
67.3%
Connor Halliday run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
65.4%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Harper at the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 0:4634% → 54%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
66.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 9 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+21
64.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 21 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
62.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 40 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
46.1%
Daniel Lasco run for 15 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 0:4450% → 69%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
49.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+86
68.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 86 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:4671% → 81%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
71.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
71.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+13
70.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
72.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+16
72.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 16 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
72.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 13 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
72.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 8 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:1470% → 84%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+27
70.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 27 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
73.1%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
72.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
73.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 14 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2370% → 86%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Madison) to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
70.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 14 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+45
72.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 45 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
74.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Theron West for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+13
73.3%
Connor Halliday run for 13 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
73.4%
Theron West run for 4 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
86.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:2817% → 39%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
82.6%
Daniel Lasco run for 2 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
82.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 6 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+8
81.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 8 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
80.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 2 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+43
81.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 43 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
79.4%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 5 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0873% → 70%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
73.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
74.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-16
73.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Vince Mayle) to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 21
OWN 28
+13
69.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
70.1%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 49 yds , Chris Harper returns for no gain to the Cal 41 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (5 Yards) to the Cal 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 3:2631% → 65%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
68.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 4 yds to the Cal 9Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+25
69.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 25 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
66.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 18 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
62.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 4 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
61.9%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
61.3%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+9
63.8%
Chris Harper run for 9 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
59.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 9 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
57.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
34.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 21 yds for a TD, (James Langford BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:1145% → 89%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
44.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+15
43.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 15 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
48.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 10 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
48.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+9
48.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
50.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+20
50.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 20 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
48.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Calvin GreenSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
44.8%
Halliday, Connor pass incomplete, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Lowe, Michael) 4 yards to the CALIFORNIA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cedric Dozier) to the Cal 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:4221% → 70%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
79.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 5 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
77.4%
Daniel Lasco run for 9 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
30.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 51 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27MISSED FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 2:5447% → 37%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
46.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
45.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 21 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
52.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
51.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the Cal 40Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+5
48.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Calvin GreenSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
54.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 14 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
51.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 17 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
52.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
52.5%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 2Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
37.4%
Quentin Breshears 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:18
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 51 yds for a TD, (Jared Goff failed )
-46.7
TD · Q4 4:19
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)
+43.5
TD · Q4 8:34
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 21 yds for a TD, (James Langford BLOCKED)
-23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com