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UTAH

Utah 30 at UCLA 28

UCLA
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:46 · Tom Hackett punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCLA 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+32.8Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:45: Eddie Vanderdoes 1 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +20.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 0:22: Devontae Booker 6 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +17.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:22: Devin Fuller 93 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +22.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:50: Eldridge Massington 40 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick) — UCLA win probability +36.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:34: Andy Phillips 29 Yd Field Goal — UTAH win probability +49.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:46UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12UCLA 4th & 21 at UCLA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:45UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:05UCLA 4th & 5 at UTAH 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:29UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:53UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:00UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:19UTAH 4th & 2 at midfield, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:52UCLA 4th & 21 at UCLA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02UTAH 4th & 5 at UCLA 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:00UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:29UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:15UCLA 4th & 18 at UCLA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−4.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:03UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 49, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:14UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−2.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:17UCLA 4th & 30 at UCLA 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−7.8
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:21UTAH 4th & 2 at UCLA 27, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%−3.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−20.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:34UTAH 4th & 5 at UCLA 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−32.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−45.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:51UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:45UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:28UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:45UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:22UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:22UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:50UCLA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0517% → 17%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
83.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
83.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+3
83.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
83.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1883% → 83%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
82.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Fuller for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-8
82.6%
Brett Hundley sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
82.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1918% → 18%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
82.5%
Kaelin Clay run for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
82.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
82.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Westlee TongaSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
82.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:3182% → 82%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
82.1%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+1
82.0%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+14
81.7%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 14 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
81.8%
Paul Perkins run for 10 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
82.1%
Ishmael Adams run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
81.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
81.8%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Devin FullerSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
81.5%
Adam Searl punt for 35 yds, downed at the Utah 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2219% → 19%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
81.3%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
81.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+2
81.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
81.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 59 yds, downed at the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6INT TD
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:2481% → 78%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
81.0%
Brett Hundley sacked by Jared Norris and Hunter Dimick for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+27
78.4%
Tevin Carter 27 Yd Interception Return (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4722% → 23%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
77.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+7
77.5%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-2
77.0%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
77.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:3877% → 76%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
77.1%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+28
77.0%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 28 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
77.4%
Jordon James run for 5 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-7
77.1%
Brett Hundley sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
75.9%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
75.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 47 yds, downed at the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:0624% → 33%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
75.7%
Kendal Thompson run for 12 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.4%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
75.1%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 7 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
74.6%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
73.9%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
73.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
73.0%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.4%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
66.6%
Dres Anderson 42 Yd pass from Kendal Thompson (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:0268% → 74%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
68.0%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
67.9%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 7 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
67.6%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
67.4%
Paul Perkins run for 8 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
67.7%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
66.6%
Brett Hundley run for 7 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
66.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
65.8%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
66.0%
Paul Perkins run for 22 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.0%
Paul Perkins 4 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0029% → 34%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.8%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
69.5%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
69.2%
Kendal Thompson run for 8 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
68.1%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
67.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
65.6%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 2
50
0
65.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:2066% → 61%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
65.8%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+2
65.7%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+10
64.6%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 10 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
65.1%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
64.5%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Devin Lucien for 15 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
64.9%
Brett Hundley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 35 Brett Hundley fumbled, recovered by UCLA Brett HundleySimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-1
63.4%
Brett Hundley sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-6
62.1%
Brett Hundley sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
61.3%
Matt Mengel punt for 52 yds, downed at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 3:3837% → 47%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.0%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Deon Hollins) to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+3
60.6%
Kendal Thompson run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
59.2%
Kendal Thompson run for 9 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
58.8%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 8 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
57.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
56.9%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Owamagbe Odighizuwa for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+10
57.6%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+9
55.5%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
54.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-4
54.1%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Dres Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+7
55.2%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 7 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
53.3%
Andy Phillips 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4253% → 49%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
52.9%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+13
52.6%
Jordon James run for 13 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.6%
Jordon James run for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
52.9%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
51.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Nate Iese for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
52.5%
Jordon James run for 1 yd to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-3
50.8%
Brett Hundley sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
48.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:2350% → 51%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
49.7%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 15 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
47.4%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Jaleel Wadood for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+7
49.2%
Kendal Thompson run for 7 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
47.7%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
49.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:3147% → 66%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
47.0%
Jordon James run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
46.5%
Jordon James run for 15 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
47.2%
Jordon James run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
45.6%
Brett Hundley run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
47.0%
Jordon James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
47.3%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+9
45.9%
Brett Hundley run for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+8
46.6%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.2%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
45.4%
UTAH Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
45.5%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.0%
Eddie Vanderdoes 1 Yd Run (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1442% → 69%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
55.3%
Devontae Booker run for 15 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
53.1%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+2
54.2%
Kaelin Clay run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
54.1%
Thompson, Kendal pass incomplete to Anderson, Dres, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Moreau, Fabian) 15 yards to the UCLA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
51.3%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
49.1%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Delshawn McClellon for 6 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
48.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+10
48.9%
Kendal Thompson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
49.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
47.7%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (J.J. Dielman) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+6
48.4%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+8
48.0%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
30.6%
Devontae Booker 6 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4734% → 29%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
33.6%
Jordon James run for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
32.7%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-8
31.0%
Brett Hundley sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 18
OWN 21
+10
28.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 46 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 10 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0469% → 69%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.6%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
29.6%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Kaelin ClaySimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+6
29.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
31.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
2 plays · 94 yds · 0:2929% → 52%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
28.9%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+93
51.8%
Devin Fuller 93 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5852% → 55%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.1%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
45.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
45.6%
Kendal Thompson run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
40.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
41.7%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+1
45.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 42 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -20 yds · 1:4249% → 43%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
48.9%
Brett Hundley sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 16
OWN 15
-5
47.7%
Brett Hundley sacked by Sese Ianu for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 21
OWN 10
-9
45.4%
Brett Hundley sacked by Andre Godfrey and Jared Norris for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 30
OWN 1
+12
43.0%
Matt Mengel punt for 46 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 12 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4866% → 77%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
33.6%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-2
31.6%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Deon Hollins for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+7
32.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+45
22.9%
Andy Phillips 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:1334% → 72%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
33.8%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+11
36.5%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
37.2%
Brett Hundley run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
35.6%
Brett Hundley pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+40
72.3%
Eldridge Massington 40 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 4:0836% → 88%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
61.6%
Devontae Booker run for 13 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
58.9%
Kendal Thompson run for 18 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
57.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+5
55.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+15
53.1%
Devontae Booker run for 15 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
51.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
53.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-1
55.9%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
12.5%
Andy Phillips 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:2420% → 24%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
20.2%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 10 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
22.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+9
22.3%
Brett Hundley run for 9 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
21.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
19.1%
Brett Hundley pass complete to Jordan Payton for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+5
18.7%
UTAH Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+50
23.9%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:34
Andy Phillips 29 Yd Field Goal
-49.9
TD · Q4 4:50
Eldridge Massington 40 Yd pass from Brett Hundley (Ka'imi Fairbairn Kick)
+36.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com