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STAN

Stanford 20 at Washington 13

WASH
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:15 · Korey Durkee punt for 65 yds, downed at the Stanf 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior−0.9Home team on offense−20.9Garbage-time factor−11.7Score differential−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 25 yds for a TD, (TEAM MISSED) — WASH win probability +5.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q2 5:46: Jordan Williamson 32 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +3.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 1:54: Remound Wright run for a loss of 2 yards, fumbled, forced by Shaq Thompson, recovered by Wash Shaq Thompson , return for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +11.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30: Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Wash 44 — STAN win probability +9.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:29: Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +29.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 12STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:16STAN 4th & 5 at WASH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 24, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:56WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:03STAN 4th & 4 at WASH 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:41WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46STAN 4th & 9 at WASH 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:25WASH 4th & 24 at WASH 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:44WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.5%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13STAN 4th & 8 at WASH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−6.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:22WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:05WASH 4th & 9 at STAN 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:05STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:51WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−6.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:37WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 47, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:49STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:27WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−2.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:11WASH 4th & 18 at STAN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−3.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:57STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:29STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2973% → 72%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
26.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
26.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 10 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
27.0%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
27.2%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
27.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
27.6%
Jordan Williamson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3928% → 28%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
27.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
27.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 5 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
28.0%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
27.9%
Korey Durkee punt for 44 yds, downed at the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5272% → 71%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
28.1%
Barry Sanders run for 7 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-5
28.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Austin Hooper) to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
28.5%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
28.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+2
29.1%
Ben Rhyne punt for 40 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 2 yds to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0929% → 29%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
28.9%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+6
28.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
29.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
28.9%
Korey Durkee punt for 59 yds, downed at the Stanf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:4571% → 69%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
29.5%
Kevin Hogan run for 12 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
29.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 16 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
29.3%
Kevin Hogan run for 7 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
29.4%
Remound Wright run for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
29.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
29.7%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
30.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
30.6%
Ben Rhyne punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1431% → 30%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
30.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dexter Charles) to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+6
30.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+9
30.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
30.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Lavon ColemanSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
30.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 52 yds, downed at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:3869% → 73%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
31.0%
Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
30.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 1 yd to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
31.1%
Remound Wright run for 7 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
30.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 3 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
30.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 13 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
30.4%
Ty Montgomery run for 15 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
30.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 1 yd to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
30.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Barry Sanders for 7 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
26.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4626% → 34%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
26.4%
Marvin Hall run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line Marvin Hall fumbled, recovered by Wash Marvin Hall for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
50
-8
27.5%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 42 Cyler Miles fumbled, recovered by Wash Cyler MilesSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+5
26.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+2
26.9%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+12
26.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
27.7%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
28.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 1 yd to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-2
28.5%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
34.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 25 yds for a TD, (TEAM MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:0468% → 73%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
32.3%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+9
32.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 9 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
32.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 20 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
31.1%
Kevin Hogan run for 4 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
29.8%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+12
29.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 12 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
29.8%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
29.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Ty MontgomerySimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
31.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
27.2%
Jordan Williamson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:1528% → 28%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
28.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 13 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
29.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
30.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+1
30.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-5
30.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-12
28.7%
Cyler Miles sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 12 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 24
OWN 35
0
28.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 57 yds, downed at the Stanf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:2471% → 62%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
28.9%
Remound Wright run for 16 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
27.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Barry Sanders for 6 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
26.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 4 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+32
37.8%
Remound Wright run for a loss of 2 yards, fumbled, forced by Shaq Thompson, recovered by Wash Shaq Thompson , return for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:5362% → 59%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
38.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
38.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 6 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-15
39.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+56
41.0%
Ben Rhyne punt for 46 yds, downed at the WASHINGTON 24 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3042% → 43%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
42.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
42.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:0942% → 44%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.1%
Cyler Miles run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
44.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
43.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kasen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
43.5%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-5
42.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+14
41.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 14 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
43.6%
Cyler Miles run for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2364% → 60%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
36.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 15 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
35.7%
Kelsey Young run for 5 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
35.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-6
37.2%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 29 Kevin Hogan fumbled, forced by Hau'oli Kikaha, recovered by Stanf Kevin Hogan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
39.9%
Jordan Williamson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3845% → 43%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
44.6%
Shaq Thompson run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
45.0%
Shaq Thompson run for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+2
43.8%
Cyler Miles run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
43.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17INT
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:2658% → 59%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
41.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.3%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Marcus Peters return for no gain to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3547% → 47%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
47.3%
Jaydon Mickens run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
48.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+13
49.0%
Cyler Miles run for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
51.1%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
51.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
50.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kendyl TaylorSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
47.0%
Cyler Miles punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5057% → 53%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
43.3%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
43.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
45.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+1
46.7%
Ben Rhyne punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 1 yd to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:0449% → 45%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
49.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-11
51.4%
Cyler Miles sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 17
OWN 32
-1
45.7%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 18
OWN 31
+2
45.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 41 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for 2 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:5456% → 58%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
43.9%
Ty Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
42.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+28
42.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Eric Cotton for 28 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
39.4%
Ty Montgomery run for 18 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
39.1%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-2
39.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+5
41.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds to the Wash 10 Kevin Hogan fumbled, forced by Shaq Thompson, recovered by Wash Danny Shelton , return for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:0850% → 52%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
50.2%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
50.6%
Jeff Lindquist run for 1 yd to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+8
48.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 8 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.6%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-4
51.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+16
49.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 1 yd to the Wash 21 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.6%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
53.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kasen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
51.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
57.2%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
55.4%
Jeff Lindquist pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
53.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Cyler Miles) to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+6
51.5%
Cyler Miles run for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
52.1%
Shaq Thompson run for no gain to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:0157% → 87%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
42.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+11
42.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 11 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
40.0%
Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+14
40.2%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 32 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
39.9%
Kelsey Young run for 12 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
13.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:0020% → 16%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
20.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 9 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
22.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
19.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-5
18.5%
Cyler Miles sacked by Kevin Anderson and James Vaughters for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
16.3%
Korey Durkee punt for 65 yds, downed at the Stanf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1689% → 94%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
11.5%
Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
11.0%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+4
8.9%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+3
6.3%
Ben Rhyne punt for 38 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:3413% → 8%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
12.7%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
12.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre CampbellSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
11.3%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kasen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+11
10.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 11 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
13.8%
Cyler Miles run for 13 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
17.9%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-12
13.4%
Cyler Miles sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 12 yards to the Stanf 40 WASHINGTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cyler Miles) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 22
OPP 40
+4
9.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 4 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 18
OPP 36
+5
8.4%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:29
Kevin Hogan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)
-29.1
FUMBLE · Q2 1:54
Remound Wright run for a loss of 2 yards, fumbled, forced by Shaq Thompson, recovered by Wash Shaq Thompson , return for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+11.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Wash 44
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com