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Oregon 38 at Washington State 31

WSU
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:50 · Marcus Mariota run for 28 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior−16.8Home team on offense−3.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:47: Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 6 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:32: Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK) — ORE win probability +18.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:50: Quentin Breshears 30 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:57: Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK) — WSU win probability +29.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:33: Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK) — ORE win probability +24.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:49WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42ORE 4th & 25 at ORE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:46ORE 4th & 21 at ORE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:50WSU 4th & 4 at ORE 11, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:41WSU 4th & 2 at ORE 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 23, down 7
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:48WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:20WSU 4th & 1 at ORE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:02WSU 4th & 11 at ORE 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49ORE 4th & 29 at ORE 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−5.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:54ORE 4th & 13 at WSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−9.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:50ORE 4th & 10 at WSU 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50WSU 4th & 6 at ORE 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−10.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:04ORE 4th & 4 at WSU 17, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−0.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−13.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:34WSU 4th & 13 at ORE 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:46WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:38ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:41WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:57ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:05ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:47WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:32ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:57WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:33ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5112% → 12%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
11.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
11.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+2
12.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 2 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+5
12.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 48 yds , Charles Nelson returns for 5 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:5588% → 87%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
12.4%
Marcus Mariota run for 8 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
12.5%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 6 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
12.7%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 44Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-5
12.7%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 16
OWN 39
0
13.0%
Marcus Mariota pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 16
OWN 39
-9
13.1%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Darryl Monroe for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 25
OWN 30
+11
13.5%
Ian Wheeler punt for 37 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for 11 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:3114% → 16%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
13.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+17
14.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 17 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
14.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+14
14.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 14 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
15.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:3284% → 83%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
15.7%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 3 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
15.9%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 37Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-12
16.3%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Ivan McLennan for a loss of 12 yards to the Oregn 25 Marcus Mariota fumbled, recovered by OregnSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
17.3%
Ian Wheeler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rickey Galvin at the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:4917% → 20%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
17.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 10 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
17.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
17.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
18.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 14 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
18.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
19.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 9 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
19.6%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
19.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 6 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
20.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
19.6%
Quentin Breshears 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
16.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 80 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4617% → 22%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
17.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 15 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+37
18.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 37 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
19.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 4 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
19.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
19.6%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+8
22.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1678% → 76%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
22.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 5 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
22.5%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
22.8%
Thomas Tyner run for no gain to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
23.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 33 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2025% → 23%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
24.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
24.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
23.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Joe Dahl) to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
23.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+7
23.2%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 41 yds , Charles Nelson returns for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:4376% → 81%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
23.7%
Marcus Mariota run for 15 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
23.5%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 1 yd to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+57
19.0%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 57 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:4721% → 23%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
21.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 5 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+19
22.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 19 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
23.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
23.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 7 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
23.6%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
23.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
24.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
25.0%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
24.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 11
OPP 31
0
23.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:4778% → 85%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+41
21.9%
Marcus Mariota run for 41 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
20.3%
Byron Marshall run for 15 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
19.9%
Marcus Mariota pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
15.4%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 4:5617% → 31%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
17.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-10
17.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
17.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+20
16.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
18.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
18.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
19.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 1 yd to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
19.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 22 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
20.5%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Troy Hill) to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
20.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
20.8%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
20.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
21.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 6 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · -19 yds · 1:5075% → 72%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
25.2%
OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Pierson) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-7
25.7%
OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the Oregn 8Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 27
OWN 8
-7
26.4%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Xavier Cooper and Kache Palacio for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 1Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 34
OWN 1
+5
26.9%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 29
OWN 6
0
27.4%
Marcus Mariota pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 29
OWN 6
+33
28.3%
Ian Wheeler punt for 33 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 40 Rickey Galvin fumbled, recovered by OregnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:2376% → 73%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
24.3%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Kache Palacio and Xavier Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 18
OWN 32
-4
26.8%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 4:5573% → 69%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.2%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
27.5%
Byron Marshall run for 7 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
27.0%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
28.5%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 14 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
26.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 6 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
25.8%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
26.0%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
26.0%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for no gain to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+27
26.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 27 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
24.9%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 3 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
25.0%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-5
26.5%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 11
OPP 13
-2
27.6%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Xavier Cooper and Ivan McLennan for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
30.7%
Matt Wogan 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:5734% → 41%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
33.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
33.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
32.7%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
35.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
38.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
39.0%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Calvin GreenSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
38.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+8
39.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
41.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds Jamal Morrow fumbled, forced by DeForest Buckner, recovered by Oregn Arik ArmsteadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:4368% → 84%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
32.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 29 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
29.8%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-5
28.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Pharaoh Brown) to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+2
30.8%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
31.0%
Marcus Mariota pass incomplete to Devon AllenSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+28
33.8%
Marcus Mariota run for 28 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
15.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:2920% → 30%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.1%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
20.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
21.1%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dior Mathis) to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
22.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-3
22.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+24
20.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 24 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
25.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 24 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
26.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
25.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 2 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
23.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
29.6%
Quentin Breshears 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:2976% → 83%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
24.0%
Marcus Mariota run for 8 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+2
22.6%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
22.9%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
22.0%
Royce Freeman run for 10 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
21.3%
Marcus Mariota run for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
21.0%
Thomas Tyner run for 6 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
21.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Taylor Taliulu) to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
19.6%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 5 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
19.5%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
20.8%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
16.7%
Matt Wogan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5420% → 55%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
20.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 45 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
26.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
24.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
23.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
25.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 12 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:1157% → 90%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
43.0%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+18
43.3%
Royce Freeman run for 18 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
39.6%
Marcus Mariota sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+33
40.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 18 yds to the WASHST 46 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
35.3%
Thomas Tyner run for 7 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-2
34.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+17
36.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 17 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
34.9%
Thomas Tyner run for 3 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
10.5%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:4018% → 17%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+34
19.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 34 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
25.3%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 13
OPP 38
0
20.9%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 13
OPP 38
0
19.9%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 13
OPP 38
-6
17.1%
Connor Halliday sacked by Tony Washington for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:0791% → 96%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
9.3%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
7.8%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+27
4.4%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 27 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
4.3%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
4.3%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+6
4.2%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:57
Connor Halliday pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds for a TD, (Quentin Breshears KICK)
+29.5
TD · Q4 5:33
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)
-24.3
TD · Q3 4:32
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wogan KICK)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com