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ARMY

Army 0 at Stanford 35

STAN
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:24 · Ben Rhyne punt for 51 yds , Josh Jenkins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+43.7Home team on offense+1.7Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q2 1:40: Ben Rhyne punt for 37 yds , Josh Jenkins returns for 5 yds to the Army 13 — ARMY win probability +0.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:33: Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste — ARMY win probability +0.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +2.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:58: Kelsey Young run for 18 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down — STAN win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:51: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK) — STAN win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:03ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:24STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42STAN 4th & 8 at ARMY 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:54ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:15ARMY 4th & 20 at ARMY 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:08STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:43ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:40STAN 4th & 7 at ARMY 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:01ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:05ARMY 4th & 8 at STAN 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:55ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 39, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:30ARMY 4th & 1 at STAN 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:14ARMY 4th & 1 at STAN 2, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:44STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:51STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:35STAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:09STAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0697% → 97%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
96.9%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
96.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 9 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
96.8%
Kelsey Young run for 16 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 1 yd to the Army 43Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
96.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Eric Cotton for 10 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
96.6%
Barry Sanders run for 7 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+3
96.5%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
96.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 23 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:284% → 4%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
96.5%
Larry Dixon run for 13 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.4%
Larry Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Larry Dixon run for no gain to the Army 24Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
96.3%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Larry Dixon for 3 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Alex Tardieu punt for 49 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for no gain to the Stanf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3396% → 96%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
96.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 8 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
96.2%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-2
96.0%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 3
OWN 31
-3
95.9%
Ben Rhyne punt for 51 yds , Josh Jenkins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:334% → 4%
Q1 6:40
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+6
96.0%
Larry Dixon run for 6 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
95.9%
Larry Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 13Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+4
95.8%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
95.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 43 yds, downed at the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1896% → 95%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
95.6%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 6 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
95.7%
Barry Sanders run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
95.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 12 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
95.5%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Andrew King for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 45Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+4
95.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
95.2%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Ben Rhyne punt for 36 yds, downed at the Army 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:415% → 5%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
95.0%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 9
-1
94.9%
Raymond Maples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 8Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 8
-4
95.0%
Tony Giovannelli run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 4Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 11
OWN 4
+5
94.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Kodi Whitfield) to the Army 9Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+11
94.9%
Alex Tardieu punt for 45 yds , Ty Montgomery returns for 11 yds to the Army 43 Ty Montgomery fumbled, forced by Jeremy Timpf, recovered by Army Matt GiachintaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:306% → 6%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
94.4%
Raymond Maples run for 8 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
94.0%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
94.2%
Larry Dixon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
94.1%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
93.9%
Tony Giovannelli run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-12
93.9%
Xavier Moss run for a loss of 12 yards to the Army 45Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Alex Tardieu punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ty Montgomery at the Stanf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5794% → 94%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
94.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 14 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
94.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ricky Seale for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
94.0%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Ben Rhyne punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Jenkins at the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:176% → 6%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
93.9%
Larry Dixon run for 21 yds to the Army 33 ARMY Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Giovannelli) to the Army 18Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
94.1%
Terry Baggett run for 6 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+17
93.9%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Peter Kalambayi) to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Matt Giachinta run for no gain to the Army 43Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+1
93.6%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
93.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 33 yds, downed at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5594% → 93%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
93.5%
Barry Sanders run for 4 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
93.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 12 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
93.6%
Kevin Hogan run for 7 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
93.7%
Barry Sanders run for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.6%
Ty Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
93.3%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
93.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Jordan PrattSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+5
92.5%
Ben Rhyne punt for 37 yds , Josh Jenkins returns for 5 yds to the Army 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:077% → 7%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
92.9%
Larry Dixon run for no gain to the Army 13Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
93.0%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the Army 15 Larry Dixon fumbled, forced by Alex Carter, recovered by Stanf Kevin AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5394% → 96%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
93.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 11 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.3%
Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the Army 2Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.9%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
16 plays · 37 yds · 8:505% → 6%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.0%
Tony Giovannelli run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
95.0%
Terry Baggett run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.8%
Terry Baggett run for 4 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
94.8%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
94.6%
Angel Santiago run for 8 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
94.2%
Matt Giachinta run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
94.2%
Matt Giachinta run for 2 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
94.1%
Joe Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 48Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
94.1%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 7
50
+10
94.1%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Edgar Poe for 10 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.8%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-4
93.7%
Terry Baggett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 43 Terry Baggett fumbled, recovered by Army Terry BaggettSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+10
94.2%
Angel Santiago run for 10 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-5
93.9%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Chevaughn Lawrence) to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
94.0%
Alex Tardieu punt for 36 yds, downed at the Stanf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:0795% → 99%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
95.2%
Kelsey Young run for 18 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.3%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
95.4%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
95.4%
Barry Sanders run for 15 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+44
95.8%
Barry Sanders run for 44 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.8%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
95.8%
Kelsey Young run for 7 yds to the Army 3 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 13Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-2
95.8%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Joe Drummond for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 15Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
98.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:482% → 1%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Terry Baggett run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.6%
Larry Dixon run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.6%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the Army 38Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
98.8%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-3
98.9%
Angel Santiago sacked by Blake Lueders and Aziz Shittu for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 39Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 39
-4
99.0%
Alex Tardieu pass complete to DeAndre Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:1699% → 100%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin HooperSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.1%
Kevin Hogan run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+7
99.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Jeff Trojan for 7 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.2%
Barry Sanders run for 6 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-2
99.2%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 20Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+12
99.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 12 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.5%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Ty Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
A.J. Schurr pass incomplete to Kelvin WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Tony Giovannelli run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for 9 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Raymond Maples run for 9 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
A.J. Schurr pass intercepted A.J. Tarpley return for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Ricky Seale run for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 10 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
99.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 22 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Ricky Seale run for 3 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Ty Montgomery for 32 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for 35 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for 17 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Matt Giachinta run for 5 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-3
99.9%
Raymond Maples run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for 7 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
Terry Baggett run for 9 yds to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Matt Giachinta run for no gain to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for no gain to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-3
99.9%
A.J. Schurr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
100.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 4Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+23
100.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 23 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:51
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 0:27
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Williamson KICK)
+2.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:58
Kelsey Young run for 18 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com