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SAC

Sacramento State 14 at California 55

CAL
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—CAL 99.7%James Langford 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 48 · Q3 7:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:01 · James Langford 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+23.5Home team on offense+32.1Score differential+23.3Blowout margin+9.4Garbage-time factor+10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:38: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 4 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — SAC win probability +0.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:07: Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:52: Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Darius Powe for 60 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:52: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — CAL win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:42: Daniel Lasco run for 50 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK) — SAC win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SAC made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CAL 4th & 1 at SAC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07SAC 4th & 30 at SAC 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47SAC 4th & 16 at SAC 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52SAC 4th & 4 at SAC 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:27SAC 4th & 15 at SAC 8, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:36SAC 4th & 16 at SAC 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:01CAL 4th & 1 at SAC 19, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:47CAL 4th & 14 at SAC 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55SAC 4th & 6 at SAC 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:29CAL 4th & 10 at midfield, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:01CAL 4th & 24 at SAC 29, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:54SAC 4th & 19 at CAL 39, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SAC 4th & 11 at CAL 47, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:35CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 32, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:31SAC 4th & 2 at CAL 47, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SAC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:38CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:52CAL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:52CAL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:31CAL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:42CAL Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:48SAC Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:13SAC Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:25CAL Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 4:2296% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
95.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 9 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
95.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 3 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
95.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 10 yds to the SacSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-11
95.8%
Watson, Tre rush for 4 yards to the SAC44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CAL holding (Crosthwaite, Al) 11 yards to the CAL41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 41
+13
95.8%
Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 13 yds to the SacSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+8
95.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 8 yds to the SacSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
95.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
95.8%
Jared Goff run for 9 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+4
95.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the SacSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 4 yds Chris Harper fumbled, forced by Darnell Sankey, recovered by Cal Chris HarperSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+17
95.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 13 yds to the SacSt 8 for a 1ST down SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Nicholas Payne) to the SacSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.8%
Daniel Lasco run for no gain to the SacSt 4Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 4 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.2%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 15 yds to the SacSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
95.1%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Jordan Robinson for 6 yds to the SacSt 46Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-5
95.1%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SacSt 41Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-19
95.2%
Garrett Safron sacked by Todd Barr for a loss of 19 yards to the SacSt 22 Garrett Safron fumbled, recovered by Cal Raymond Davison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:1895% → 96%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.2%
Bryce Treggs run for no gain to the SacSt 22Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 5 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
95.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.4%
Garrett Safron run for 5 yds to the SacSt 30Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
95.4%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Nnamdi Agude for 10 yds to the SacSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
95.3%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Nnamdi Agude, PENALTY CAL pass interference (Walker, Cameron) 15 yards to the CAL45, 1ST DOWN SAC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
95.3%
Garrett Safron run for 9 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-14
95.2%
Garrett Safron sacked by Brennan Scarlett for a loss of 14 yards to the 50 yard line Garrett Safron fumbled, recovered by SacSt Jordan Robinson , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 15
50
0
95.4%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Nnamdi AgudeSimilar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 15
50
-15
95.4%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the SacSt 35Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 30
OWN 35
+19
95.4%
Smith Heath punt for 34 yds , Chris Harper returns for 19 yds to the CALIFORNIA 46 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the Cal 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
96.2%
Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Darius Powe for 60 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
96.1%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, delay of game (Garrett Safron) to the SacSt 10Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 15
OWN 10
-2
96.1%
Jordan Robinson run for 7 yds to the SacSt 17 SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the SacSt 8Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 17
OWN 8
0
96.2%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre Carter, broken up by Griffin PiattSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+1
96.2%
Garrett Safron run for 1 yd to the SacSt 9Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 16
OWN 9
0
96.2%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Cameron WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 16
OWN 9
+14
96.2%
Smith Heath punt for 38 yds , Trevor Davis returns for 14 yds to the SacSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3796% → 98%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
96.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 7 yds to the SacSt 26Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
96.3%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the SacSt 26Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+7
96.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 7 yds to the SacSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.9%
Garrett Safron run for 6 yds to the SacSt 31Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Nnamdi Agude, broken up by Darius AllensworthSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre Carter, broken up by Cedric DozierSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Smith Heath punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Harper at the Cal 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:3398% → 98%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 1 yd to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
97.8%
Luke Rubenzer run for 4 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+9
98.2%
Luke Rubenzer run for 9 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.2%
Luke Rubenzer run for 7 yds to the SacSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
98.1%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Daniel LascoSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
98.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 4 yds to the SacSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.2%
Daniel Lasco run for 8 yds to the SacSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-10
98.1%
Lasco, Daniel rush for 2 yards to the SAC35, PENALTY CAL holding (Borrayo, Chris) 10 yards to the SAC47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+15
98.2%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Davis, Trevor (Darnell Sankey), PENALTY SAC pass interference (Darnell Sankey) 15 yards to the SAC32, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the SacSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+30
98.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 30 yds to the SacSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the SacSt 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for no gain to the SacSt 1Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Luke Rubenzer run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.7%
Daniel Kniffin pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
98.7%
Jordan Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SacSt 8Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 15
OWN 8
0
98.8%
Daniel Kniffin pass incomplete to Jordan RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 15
OWN 8
+17
98.8%
Smith Heath punt for 49 yds , Trevor Davis returns for 17 yds to the SacSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:4499% → 98%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-10
98.5%
Lasco, Daniel rush for 24 yards to the SAC16, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CAL holding (Moore, Steven) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 20
50
+50
98.3%
Daniel Lasco run for 50 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.1%
Jordan Robinson run for 2 yds to the SacSt 34Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-8
99.1%
Garrett Safron sacked by Devante Downs for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 26Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+8
99.1%
Smith Heath punt for 36 yds , Chris Harper returns for 8 yds to the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:1499% → 99%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
99.2%
Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 11 yds to the CALIFORNIA 43 for a 1ST down SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, roughing passer (Peter Nonu) to the SacSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.2%
Luke Rubenzer run for 3 yds to the SacSt 25Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
99.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 4 yds to the SacSt 21Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
99.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the SacSt 19Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+8
99.1%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 8 yds to the SacSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.2%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 1 yd to the SacSt 10Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-15
99.3%
Rubenzer, Luke pass complete to Davis, Trevor for 10 yards to the SAC0, clock 04:36, PENALTY CAL pass interference (Davis, Trevor) 15 yards to the SAC25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 24
OPP 25
+10
99.3%
Luke Rubenzer run for 10 yds to the SacSt 15Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Luke Rubenzer pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+33
99.4%
James Langford 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
De'Jon Coleman run for 4 yds to the SacSt 29Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.4%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 12 yds to the SacSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.4%
Garrett Safron pass complete to De'Jon Coleman for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
99.4%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Dominic Coulter for 14 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.3%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Nnamdi Agude for 10 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Jordan RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Garrett Safron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.4%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Nnamdi Agude for 11 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.6%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre Carter (Coleman, Caleb), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Coleman, Caleb) 8 yards to the CAL3, 1ST DOWN SAC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Chris Broadnax for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Cornish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
99.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Caleb Coleman for 23 yds to the SacSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 4 yds to the SacSt 42Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+11
99.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 11 yds to the SacSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 8 yds to the SacSt 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+42
99.6%
James Langford 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.5%
Jordan Robinson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Jordan Robinson for 3 yards to the SAC23 (Coleman, Caleb), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Coleman, Caleb) 3 yards to the SAC23, 1ST DOWN SAC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.5%
Jordan Robinson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Jordan Robinson for no gain to the SacSt 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre Carter, broken up by Caleb ColemanSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+10
99.5%
Smith Heath punt for 33 yds , Chris Harper returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Austin Hinder pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
50
-4
99.7%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Vic Enwere fumbled, forced by Darnell Sankey, recovered by Cal N/A , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 10
50
0
99.6%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 10
50
0
99.6%
Cole Leininger punt for 40 yds, downed at the SacSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 18TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.7%
Jordan Robinson run for 9 yds to the SacSt 19Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 1
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Darnell Sankey run for 2 yds to the SacSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.6%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 6 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+73
99.6%
Garrett Safron run for 73 yds for a TD, (Brad Cornish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19FG
10 plays · 11 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the SacSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Austin Hinder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the SacSt 28Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+13
99.7%
Austin Hinder pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 13 yds to the SacSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
Austin Hinder run for 4 yds to the SacSt 11Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the SacSt 11Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-15
99.7%
Hinder, Austin pass complete to Harris, Maurice for 11 yards to the SAC0, PENALTY CAL pass interference (Hudson, Raymond) 15 yards to the SAC26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 21
OPP 26
-3
99.7%
Hinder, Austin rush for 2 yards to the SAC24 (TEAM), PENALTY CAL illegal forward pass (Hinder, Austin) 3 yards to the SAC29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 24
OPP 29
+47
99.7%
James Langford 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.7%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 11 yds to the SacSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
Garrett Safron run for 7 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+16
99.7%
Jordan Robinson run for 16 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre CarterSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-15
99.7%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to DeAndre Carter, PENALTY SAC personal foul (De'Jon Coleman) 15 yards to the CAL39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 19
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Dominic CoulterSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Smith Heath punt for 31 yds , Trevor Davis returns for no gain to the Cal 8 Trevor Davis fumbled, recovered by SacSt De'Jon ColemanSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Jordan Robinson run for 2 yds to the SacSt 22Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Garrett Safron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
99.8%
Garrett Safron pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 14 yds to the SacSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.7%
De'Jon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Cal 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Garrett Safron pass intercepted, touchback. Griffin Piatt return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 5 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+55
99.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 55 yds to the SacSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
99.8%
Jared Goff run for 8 yds to the SacSt 12Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chris Harper for 12 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 15 yds to the SacSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to De'Jon ColemanSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Jordan Robinson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 45Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Garrett Safron pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 9 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Demetrius Warren run for no gain to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
Demetrius Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Garrett Safron pass incomplete to Dominic CoulterSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Smith Heath punt for 38 yds , Tre Watson returns for 4 yds to the Cal 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
De'Jon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Cal 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Austin Hinder run for 7 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Austin Hinder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 52 yds, downed at the SacSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Daniel Kniffin pass complete to Joey DePalma for 4 yds to the SacSt 20Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
Daniel Kniffin pass complete to Chris Broadnax for 15 yds to the SacSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Jordan Robinson run for 2 yds to the SacSt 37Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Daniel Kniffin pass complete to Justin Cox for 4 yds to the SacSt 41Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Daniel Kniffin pass complete to DeAndre Carter for 4 yds to the SacSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Daniel Kniffin pass complete to Justin Cox for 8 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Demetrius Warren run for no gain to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Daniel Kniffin pass incomplete to Justin Cox, broken up by Darius AllensworthSimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Smith Heath punt for 37 yds, downed at the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+12
100.0%
Vic Enwere run for 12 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Vic Enwere run for 8 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+26
100.0%
Vic Enwere run for 26 yds to the SacSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the SacSt 40Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the SacSt 38Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the SacSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:52
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 4:52
Luke Rubenzer pass complete to Darius Powe for 60 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 10:38
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 4 yds for a TD, (James Langford KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com