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WEB

Weber State 14 at Arizona State 45

ASU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:54 · TEAM punt blocked by Armand Perry, downed at ArzSt 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+45.9Home team on offense+2.5Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:32: Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:32: D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:35: D.J. Foster run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:48: Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:25ASU 4th & 8 at WEB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17WEB 4th & 3 at WEB 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27ASU 4th & 10 at WEB 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:22WEB 4th & 17 at WEB 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:54WEB 4th & 5 at WEB 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:53WEB 4th & 1 at ASU 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:30ASU 4th & 5 at WEB 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:55WEB 4th & 15 at WEB 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:35ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:34WEB 4th & 12 at ASU 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:00WEB 4th & 4 at ASU 48, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:38WEB 4th & 13 at WEB 22, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:27ASU 4th & 7 at WEB 49, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:08WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:30ASU 4th & 4 at midfield, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:52WEB 4th & 9 at ASU 46, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:07ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 37, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:34ASU 4th & 4 at WEB 40, up 31
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:32ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:32ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:35ASU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:48ASU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:46ASU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:35WEB Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:48ASU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:09WEB Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 2 yds to the WebSt 48Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Ronald LewisSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Taylor Kelly punt for 46 yds, downed at the WebSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
99.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WebSt 7Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+2
99.2%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 9Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 9
-4
99.1%
Billy Green sacked by Salamo Fiso for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 5Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+4
99.1%
Billy Green pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 4 yds to the WebSt 9Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
99.1%
Blake O'Neill punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Damarious Randall at the WebSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.0%
D.J. Foster run for 7 yds to the WebSt 42Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
99.0%
D.J. Foster run for 9 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.0%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the WebSt 32Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+16
99.0%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 16 yds to the WebSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
98.9%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 18Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+2
98.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
98.9%
Zane Gonzalez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
98.8%
Zach Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 44Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Cameron LivingstonSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-5
98.8%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 39Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Braden CorpusSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Blake O'Neill punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4399% → 99%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
98.8%
D.J. Foster run for 12 yds to the WebSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.8%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 44Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+13
98.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to D.J. Foster for 13 yds to the WebSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
98.7%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 18 yds to the WebSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
98.7%
Taylor Kelly run for 1 yd to the WebSt 12Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+4
98.6%
D.J. Foster run for 4 yds to the WebSt 8Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
98.8%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
98.6%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
98.6%
Zach Smith run for 3 yds to the WebSt 29Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Shaydon KehanoSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+27
98.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Armand Perry, downed at ArzSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.6%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.6%
D.J. Foster run for 8 yds to the WebSt 48Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+9
98.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 9 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
98.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 26 yds to the WebSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
98.5%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 12 yds to the WebSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 20Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+27
98.8%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 12 yds to the WebSt 32 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the WebSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.7%
WEBER ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 42Similar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+39
98.8%
Zach Smith run for 39 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
98.6%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 15 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.7%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.7%
Zach Smith run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Billy Green run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 13:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Zach Smith run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+35
98.9%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 35 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.1%
D.J. Foster run for 19 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 5 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+6
99.1%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 6 yds to the WebSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Cameron Smith for 14 yds to the WebSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 17 yds to the WebSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.1%
Billy Green pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 8 yds to the WebSt 25Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the WebSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.1%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 14 yds to the WebSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.1%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the WebSt 45Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Eric Wilkes run for no gain to the WebSt 45Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-8
99.1%
Billy Green sacked by Viliami Laiu Moeakiola and De'Marieya Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the WebSt 37Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Blake O'Neill punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Damarious Randall at the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
99.2%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Matt Haack punt for 36 yds, downed at the WebSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:461% → 1%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.9%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the WebSt 47Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
98.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Braden CorpusSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+9
98.9%
Billy Green pass complete to Zach Smith for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.8%
Billy Green run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
98.8%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Jake KahawaiiSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
98.8%
Zach Smith run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-10
98.8%
Green, Billy pass complete to Kehano, Shaydon for 25 yards to the ARIZONAST11, PENALTY WEBERST holding 10 yards to the ARIZONAST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Blake O'Neill punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Richard Smith at the ArzSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:4099% → 100%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
99.2%
Taylor Kelly run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Jaelen Strong for 5 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+15
99.2%
Kelly, Taylor pass incomplete to Jefferson, Ellis, PENALTY WEBERST pass interference 15 yards to the WEBERST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
99.3%
Taylor Kelly sacked by Jake Gallegos for a loss of 3 yards to the WebSt 39Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+38
99.2%
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 38 yds to the WebSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.7%
Eric Wilkes run for 5 yds to the WebSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Cameron LivingstonSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Billy Green pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 5 yds to the WebSt 30Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.8%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 16 yds to the WebSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Eric Wilkes run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.8%
Eric Wilkes run for 1 yd to the WebSt 47Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Blake O'Neill punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Damarious Randall at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
D.J. Foster run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Jaelen StrongSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
Bercovici, Mike pass incomplete to Jefferson, Ellis, PENALTY WEBERST pass interference 9 yards to the ARIZONAST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.8%
Cameron Smith run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
D.J. Foster run for 57 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+23
99.8%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 23 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Cameron LivingstonSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.8%
Zach Smith run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Zach Smith run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
99.8%
Billy Green pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 17 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
99.8%
Cameron Livingston run for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 19 WEBER ST Penalty, Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Billy Green pass complete to Shaydon Kehano for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Kealamakia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+37
99.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 22 yds to the ARIZONAST 31 for a 1ST down WEBER ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the WebSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the WebSt 15Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 15 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
WEBER ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 22Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Zach SmithSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Shaydon KehanoSimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Blake O'Neill punt for 42 yds, downed at the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the WebSt 49Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Grant MartinezSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Matt Haack punt for 48 yds, downed at the WebSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
Wilkes, Eric rush for 3 yards to the WEBERST4, PENALTY ARIZONAST offside 5 yards to the WEBERST6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 5
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Jake KahawaiiSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+10
100.0%
Billy Green pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 10 yds to the WebSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 18Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Cody McKagueSimilar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+1
100.0%
Billy Green pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 1 yd to the WebSt 19Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Blake O'Neill punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Damarious Randall at the ArzSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 4
50
+3
99.9%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the WebSt 47Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 4
50
+25
99.9%
Matt Haack punt for 35 yds , Shaydon Kehano returns for 25 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Eric Wilkes run for 7 yds to the WebSt 47Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Eric Wilkes run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Billy Green pass complete to Braden Corpus for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Shaydon KehanoSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-5
100.0%
WEBER ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+42
100.0%
Blake O'Neill punt for 42 yds , Damarious Randall returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+4
99.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+12
100.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 12 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Ronald Lewis run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+7
100.0%
Mike Bercovici run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Ronald LewisSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+19
100.0%
Matt Haack punt for 45 yds , Shaydon Kehano returns for 19 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 25TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Billy Green pass incomplete to Shaydon KehanoSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Zach Smith run for 3 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+60
100.0%
Zach Smith run for 60 yds for a TD, (Josh Kealamakia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Kyle Middlebrooks run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Kyle Middlebrooks run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 8 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Mike Bercovici run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Kyle Middlebrooks run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ronald Lewis for 6 yds to the WebSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Kyle Middlebrooks run for 2 yds to the WebSt 44Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Kyle Middlebrooks run for 4 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Ronald LewisSimilar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Matt Haack punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 27END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Eric Wilkes run for no gain to the WebSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:48
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 1:32
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 4:32
Taylor Kelly pass complete to Gary Chambers for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com