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WYO

Wyoming 30 at New Mexico 36

UNM
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:53 · Ethan Wood punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+5.9Home team on offense+5.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: Shaun Wick run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +9.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 10:07: Brian Hill run for 23 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +19.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:37: Romell Jordan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +17.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:08: Stuart Williams 29 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +12.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:53: Stuart Williams kickoff for 62 yds , Carlos Wiggins return for 97 yds for a TD, (J. Pressley Run For Two-point Conversion) — UNM win probability +22.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30WYO 4th & 14 at UNM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:50WYO 4th & 15 at UNM 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:19UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:31WYO 4th & 15 at UNM 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:08WYO 4th & 10 at UNM 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−13.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:53WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at WYO 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−5.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:41WYO 4th & 1 at UNM 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−5.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:41WYO 4th & 22 at UNM 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−3.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:57UNM 4th & 2 at WYO 12, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%−2.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−13.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:57WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:24UNM 4th & 3 at WYO 46, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−2.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:15WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:03UNM 4th & 2 at WYO 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:59WYO 4th & 4 at UNM 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−17.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−20.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:35UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:13UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:11UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:25WYO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:07WYO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:37UNM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:53UNM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
70.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
70.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 6 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
70.7%
Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:4730% → 31%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
70.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
70.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+10
70.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 10 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
70.3%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
70.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
70.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 11 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
70.2%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
70.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-7
70.3%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
69.3%
Stuart Williams 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
69.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 22 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
69.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-2
69.7%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+39
69.2%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 39 yds Jeric Magnant fumbled, forced by William Tutein, recovered by Wyom Blair BurnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:2531% → 29%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
68.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+4
68.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+19
70.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted for a TD Cranston Jones return for 19 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0630% → 35%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
70.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
70.4%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+10
70.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
69.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
69.4%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
69.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+15
69.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 15 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
65.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 25 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
69.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 75 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 7:2030% → 31%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
69.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+8
69.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 8 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
69.5%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
69.2%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
68.4%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+18
68.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 18 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.2%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the NMex 29 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
68.2%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+16
68.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 16 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
67.6%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+5
67.9%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
67.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
68.3%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Tevin Newman for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
69.5%
Stuart Williams 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:3969% → 77%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
69.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+69
77.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 69 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4624% → 34%
Q2 9:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
76.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 14 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
75.2%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
74.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+44
74.9%
Brian Hill run for 44 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (Devonta Tabannah) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
75.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
75.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Nik D'Avanzo and Brett Bowers for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.6%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
69.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 13 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Lamar JordanSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+1
69.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+7
68.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 7 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
68.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 65 yds, downed at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 2:4931% → 32%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
69.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by SaQwan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+13
69.3%
Shaun Wick run for 13 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
68.6%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+32
69.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 32 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
67.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 23 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
66.5%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
68.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
68.4%
Jacob Hollister run for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
71.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
67.7%
Stuart Williams 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0971% → 72%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
70.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jhurell Pressley for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
69.0%
PENALTY NM holding off-setting, PENALTY WY face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.9%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted, touchback. Tim Kamana return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:4833% → 57%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
67.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by SaQwan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
67.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-5
68.3%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Ryan Cummings) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+26
68.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 26 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
64.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
64.6%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+22
65.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 22 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
63.3%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
63.1%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
42.8%
Brian Hill run for 23 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:2551% → 71%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
51.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 16 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
52.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+8
54.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
54.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
54.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
71.2%
Romell Jordan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:2935% → 51%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
64.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
65.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 6 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
63.9%
Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+29
62.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 29 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
59.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
60.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Lucas WachaSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+16
61.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 16 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
59.5%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
59.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Eric NzeochaSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-1
61.6%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Kimmie Carson for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
49.0%
Stuart Williams 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
68.9%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
72.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete, broken up by Garrett HughesSimilar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
73.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3481% → 79%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
81.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jhurell Pressley for no gain to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
80.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
80.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
79.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0031% → 27%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
69.1%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
66.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-5
67.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+11
70.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 11 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
68.9%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-12
65.0%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Brett Bowers for a loss of 12 yards to the NMex 47 WYOMING Penalty, intentional grounding (Colby Kirkegaard) to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 22
OPP 47
0
70.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 22
OPP 47
0
71.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
73.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:2883% → 86%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
83.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+53
83.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 53 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
86.3%
Romell Jordan run for 2 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
86.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+4
85.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
86.4%
Zack Rogers 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by N/A return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
77.0%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
77.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by David Guthrie for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
79.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds, downed at the NMex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0288% → 90%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
87.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 12 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
89.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
89.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+2
88.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+10
89.7%
Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 10 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
84.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 13 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
83.1%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
82.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
84.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:5695% → 96%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
95.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
95.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-7
95.6%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 36 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Teriyon GipsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:0010% → 14%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.8%
KIRKEGAARD, C. pass incomplete to HOLLISTER,Jacob, PENALTY NM pass interference (LANGFORD, Ryan) 15 yards to the NM49, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
88.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Kimmie CarsonSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+44
89.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 44 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
79.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Connor Rains) to the NMex 10Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
86.2%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:53
Stuart Williams kickoff for 62 yds , Carlos Wiggins return for 97 yds for a TD, (J. Pressley Run For Two-point Conversion)
+22.4
TD · Q3 10:07
Brian Hill run for 23 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-19
TD · Q3 7:37
Romell Jordan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com