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SJSU

San José State 7 at Utah State 41

USU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2014 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:23 · Jaron Bentrude run for a loss of 15 yards to the UthSt 32 Jaron Bentrude fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jaron Bentrude
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense+3.3Pregame prior+17.4Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:57: Mitch Ravizza run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:00: JoJo Natson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40 — USU win probability +4.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:15: Kent Myers run for 60 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +8.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:42: JoJo Natson run for 56 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +11.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:46: Kent Myers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:40SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49SJSU 4th & 7 at USU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:20USU 4th & 3 at USU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:17SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:23USU 4th & 2 at USU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:07SJSU 4th & 1 at USU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−2.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:27SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 29, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49USU 4th & 9 at USU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.8%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:51SJSU 4th & 2 at USU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:23USU 4th & 22 at SJSU 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:06SJSU 4th & 18 at SJSU 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:27SJSU 4th & 22 at SJSU 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:29SJSU 4th & 10 at USU 49, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:00USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:57SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:15USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:42USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:46USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:44USU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:56USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5927% → 27%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
72.7%
Blake Jurich sacked by Zach Vigil and Jordan Nielsen for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+5
72.6%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2573% → 74%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
72.6%
Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+14
72.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for 14 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
72.6%
JoJo Natson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
72.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 2 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
72.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 6 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
73.5%
Kent Myers run for 28 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3MISSED FG
19 plays · 46 yds · 6:5627% → 27%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
73.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
73.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
73.1%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 4 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
73.2%
Tim Crawley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-9
73.0%
Tim Crawley run for 1 yd to the SJSt 39 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+12
73.5%
Mitch Ravizza run for 12 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
73.0%
Mitch Ravizza run for 2 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
73.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Evan Sarver) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+5
73.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
73.3%
Mitch Ravizza run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
73.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-3
72.7%
Mitch Ravizza run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+18
72.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the UTAHST 49 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Zach Vigil) to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
72.3%
Tim Crawley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+5
73.0%
Tim Crawley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
72.9%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
73.5%
Austin Lopez 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2574% → 74%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
74.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
74.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+4
73.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for 4 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
73.7%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0326% → 25%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
74.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Shane Smith) to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+4
74.1%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 4 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
74.2%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Jourdan SoaresSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
74.7%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+14
74.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 52 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 14 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4775% → 74%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
74.6%
Joe Hill run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
74.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Jefferson CourtSimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 2
OWN 47
-15
74.2%
Jaron Bentrude run for a loss of 15 yards to the UthSt 32 Jaron Bentrude fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jaron BentrudeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:2328% → 34%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
72.3%
Mitch Ravizza run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
72.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+5
72.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
72.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
72.1%
Mitch Ravizza run for 4 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+9
72.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the UthSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.1%
Mitch Ravizza run for 2 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
Mitch Ravizza run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3769% → 71%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
69.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+28
69.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 28 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
70.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
70.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+12
70.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 12 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
71.1%
Ronald Butler pass intercepted Jimmy Pruitt return for 26 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:5833% → 36%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
67.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Evan Sarver) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+13
67.2%
Mitch Ravizza run for 13 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
65.8%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Tyler Winston for 5 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
65.5%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Tyler Winston for 9 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
64.5%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
64.5%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-1
63.2%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
63.5%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Tim Crawley for 5 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
64.2%
Tim Crawley run for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:4568% → 77%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
68.3%
JoJo Natson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+60
77.2%
Kent Myers run for 60 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3324% → 23%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
76.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-1
76.0%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+6
76.9%
Mitch Ravizza run for 6 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
76.0%
Tim Crawley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
75.8%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 3 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
76.1%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 2 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+11
76.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 11 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3178% → 75%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
77.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
77.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
76.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
74.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:3824% → 24%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
76.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
75.9%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Tyler Winston for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+8
76.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.4%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
75.7%
Mitch Ravizza run for 8 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
74.2%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+34
76.4%
Mitch Ravizza run for 34 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
86.1%
JoJo Natson run for 56 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3815% → 14%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+22
85.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 22 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
84.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
83.9%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Tyler Winston for 4 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+2
83.9%
Mitch Ravizza run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+1
85.7%
Shane Smith run for 1 yd to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:2388% → 89%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
88.3%
JoJo Natson run for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
88.4%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
88.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+11
88.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for 11 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
89.3%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-10
89.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyshon Mosley) to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 22
OPP 37
0
89.0%
JoJo Natson run for no gain to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 22
OPP 37
0
88.7%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0212% → 11%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
88.2%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
88.4%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Jabari CarrSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+7
88.5%
Tyler Ervin run for 7 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
88.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, downed at the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:0490% → 97%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
90.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+17
90.4%
JoJo Natson run for 17 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
91.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 12 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
91.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+28
92.1%
JoJo Natson run for 28 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
96.9%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-7
97.1%
Mitch Ravizza sacked by B.J. Larsen for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 18
OWN 16
0
97.2%
Mitch Ravizza run for no gain to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
97.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:1698% → 100%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
97.8%
Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
97.9%
Joe Hill run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+16
98.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 16 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.4%
Ronald Butler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
98.5%
Ronald Butler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
98.5%
Joe Hill run for 7 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.6%
Joe Hill run for 1 yd to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
98.7%
Myers, Kent pass incomplete to Butler, Ronald, PENALTY SJSU pass interference (Wallace, Cleveland) 6 yards to the SJSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jefferson Court for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Jabari Carr for 8 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
99.9%
Mitch Ravizza sacked by Zach Vigil for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 17
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Jabari Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 18
OWN 37
-4
99.9%
Mitch Ravizza sacked by Bryant Hayes for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 22
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 39 yds, downed at the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 7:16100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 8 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 9 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 6 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-5
99.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+14
99.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 14 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 3 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+13
99.9%
Joe Hill run for 3 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (10 Yards) to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Rashad Hall run for 5 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Rashad Hall 4 Yd Run (Jaron Bentrude PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+13
100.0%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Jourdan Soares for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
100.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 13 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 3 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Mitch Ravizza pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 1 yd to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-4
100.0%
Mitch Ravizza run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Mitch Ravizza pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:42
JoJo Natson run for 56 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 6:15
Kent Myers run for 60 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q2 12:57
Mitch Ravizza run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com