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UNM

New Mexico 20 at Colorado State 58

CSU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:52 · Isaiah Brown run for 8 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Dee Hart run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:28: Dee Hart run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts PAT MISSED) — CSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:49: Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNM win probability +4.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:42: Dee Hart run for 76 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:30: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:58UNM 4th & 6 at CSU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52CSU 4th & 10 at UNM 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:24UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:45CSU 4th & 2 at UNM 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:36UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:28UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 44, down 27
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:11CSU 4th & 2 at UNM 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:11CSU 4th & 23 at UNM 29, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:32UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 35, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:18CSU 4th & 10 at UNM 10, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:05CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:45CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:28CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49UNM Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:42CSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:30CSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:19CSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:57CSU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:55UNM Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:17CSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:11UNM Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4891% → 91%
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
90.9%
Dee Hart run for 11 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.9%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Dee Hart, broken up by Kimmie CarsonSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
90.9%
Dee Hart run for no gain to the NMex 13Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
90.9%
Garrett Grayson run for 6 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
90.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 7 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
90.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
90.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
50
-6
90.6%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Max Morgan for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+4
90.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+11
90.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 11 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-5
90.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Garrett Adcock) to the ColSt 46Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
90.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
90.0%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 18 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
90.2%
Dee Hart run for 8 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+15
90.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Donnie White) to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
90.3%
GRAYSON, Garret pass incomplete to HIGGINS, Rashar, QB hurry by LANGFORD, Ryan, PENALTY CS holding (JARRELLS, Treyo) 10 yards to the NM47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+2
90.2%
Treyous Jarrells run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
90.1%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by David GuthrieSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+8
90.1%
Garrett Grayson run for 8 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
90.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
89.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+23
89.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 23 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
89.6%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
89.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jeric MagnantSimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+4
89.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 43 yds , Preston Hodges returns for 4 yds to the ColSt 41 COLORADO ST Penalty, IB (Treyous Jarrells) to the ColSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
18 plays · 86 yds · 6:5889% → 91%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
89.3%
Treyous Jarrells run for 3 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
89.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 6 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+16
89.2%
Dee Hart run for 16 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.5%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
89.6%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the ColSt 42Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+22
89.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 22 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Jasen Oden Jr.Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+11
89.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.2%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
89.1%
Dee Hart run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+16
89.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 16 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
89.4%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 1 yd to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
89.4%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
89.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 5 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q2 11:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.2%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1092% → 95%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
91.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 22 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
91.7%
Garrett Grayson run for 3 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.1%
Dee Hart run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:395% → 10%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
94.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+41
94.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Chris Edling for 41 yds to the ColSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
94.1%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
89.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:5391% → 96%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
91.2%
Charles Lovett run for 2 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+76
95.8%
Dee Hart run for 76 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jeric Magnant, broken up by Trent MatthewsSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins, broken up by Preston HodgesSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:5996% → 99%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+42
96.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 42 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
96.2%
Dee Hart run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+20
98.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.4%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
99.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 46 yds , Preston Hodges returns for no gain to the ColSt 5 Preston Hodges fumbled, recovered by ColSt Tyree SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
98.7%
Dee Hart run for 4 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+12
98.7%
Dee Hart run for 12 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+36
98.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 36 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 6 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+22
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 22 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+32
99.2%
Jared Roberts 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Steven Walker for 11 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.2%
Dee Hart run for 9 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+36
99.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 36 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Dee Hart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16INT
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jeric Magnant, broken up by Trent MatthewsSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
99.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 32 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 7 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
99.3%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-5
99.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Toye Adewon) to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
99.3%
JORDAN, Lamar pass incomplete to WHITE, Reece, PENALTY CS personal foul (PIERRE-LOUIS, K) 15 yards to the CS25, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.2%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 27Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jeric MagnantSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Tyree Simmons return for no gain to the ColSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Sam Carlson) to the ColSt 2Similar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+16
99.6%
Dee Hart run for 16 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.6%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+6
99.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 6 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Jordan White for 7 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
99.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 24 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 7 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+8
99.6%
Dee Hart run for 8 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
99.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (Fred Zerblis) to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 16 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 28 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+66
99.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 66 yds to the ColSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 15Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 11Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Romell Jordan run for 11 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Charles Lovett for 20 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.8%
Dee Hart run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+7
99.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Tyler Duncan, broken up by DeAndre ElliottSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 23
-5
99.9%
Zack Rogers punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 36 , Preston Hodges returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 4 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 7 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
STEVENS, Nick pass incomplete to HIGGINS, Rashar, PENALTY NM personal foul (OKONKWO, Kene) 15 yards to the NM38, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-16
99.9%
Nick Stevens sacked by Tevin Newman for a loss of 16 yards to the ColSt 41 Nick Stevens fumbled, recovered by NMex Nik D'Avanzo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
99.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for 26 yds to the ColSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23DOWNS
17 plays · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 16 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+12
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 12 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Sammie Long IV for 6 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 1 yd to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+8
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 8 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-15
99.9%
STEVENS, Nick pass incomplete to PERALTA, Nolan, dropped pass, PENALTY CS pass interference (85) 15 yards to the NM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 23
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 23
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 23
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the NMex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 3 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Preston Hodges at the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Eric Williams run for no gain to the ColSt 32 Eric Williams fumbled, forced by Jason Sanders, recovered by NMex Kimmie CarsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+68
99.9%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Tyree Simmons return for 68 yds to the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
100.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the NMex 10Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the NMex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
100.0%
Isaiah Brown run for 6 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+8
100.0%
Isaiah Brown run for 8 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:42
Dee Hart run for 76 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 6:49
Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-4.5
TD · Q2 10:28
Dee Hart run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Roberts PAT MISSED)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com