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BOIS

Boise State 63 at Wyoming 14

WYO
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:45 · Ethan Wood punt for 44 yds, downed at the BoiSt 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Home team on offense−1.7Pregame prior−36.0Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:39: Jay Ajayi 17 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:31: Brian Hill 6 Yd Run (Stuart Williams Kick) — WYO win probability +4.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:30: Jeremy McNichols 9 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:17: Jay Ajayi 20 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:09: Jay Ajayi 73 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 9 of 12BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:30WYO 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:23BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:31BOIS 4th & 4 at WYO 26, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:13WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:46WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:35WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:44WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 31, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:12WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 46, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49WYO 4th & 8 at BOIS 18, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:22BOIS 4th & 28 at BOIS 14, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:24WYO 4th & 9 at BOIS 20, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:59WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 46, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:48BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 13, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:31BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 48, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 7:48BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:39BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:31WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:30BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:17BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:09BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:08BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:35BOIS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:44BOIS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:45WYO Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:44BOIS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:2012% → 13%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
12.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
12.2%
Brian Hill run for 14 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
12.4%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
12.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+7
12.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 8
50
0
13.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 8
50
0
13.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds , Donte Deayon returns for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5787% → 86%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
13.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
13.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
13.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
13.8%
Sean Wale punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4114% → 14%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
13.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 4 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for no gain to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-7
14.2%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, downed at the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:4286% → 87%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
14.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 28 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
14.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 18 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
13.1%
Shane Williams-Rhodes 18 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4514% → 14%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 44 yds, downed at the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:5186% → 88%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
13.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 25 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
13.5%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
13.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 19 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
13.6%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 15 yds to the Wyom 10 BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
13.6%
Grant Hedrick run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
13.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
12.1%
Jay Ajayi 17 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5313% → 13%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
13.1%
Joshua Tapscott run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
12.7%
Colby Kirkegaard run for no gain to the Wyom 32 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, recovered by BoiStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2988% → 88%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
12.1%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
12.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
12.1%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
12.3%
Dan Goodale 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:4413% → 18%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
12.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 12 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
13.1%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41 Brian Hill fumbled, recovered by Wyom Brian HillSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
13.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 7 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
13.4%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
13.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 13 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
13.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
13.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+9
13.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
13.4%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+3
13.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.7%
Brian Hill 6 Yd Run (Stuart Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:4584% → 89%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
15.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
15.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
15.3%
Jay Ajayi run for 11 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
15.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
15.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Troy Ware for 5 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
15.4%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 14 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
15.3%
WYOMING Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+11
15.2%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 11 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.3%
Jeremy McNichols 9 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4612% → 12%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
12.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
12.4%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
12.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:5888% → 94%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
12.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
12.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
12.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+25
12.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 25 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
11.5%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
11.5%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+20
11.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 20 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
6.5%
Jay Ajayi 20 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:478% → 9%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
8.4%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
8.3%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Gabe Perez for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+1
8.2%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
9.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Donte Deayon returns for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0991% → 92%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
9.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
9.0%
Hedrick, Grant pass complete to Sperbeck, Thomas for 25 yards to the WYOMING35, PENALTY BOISEST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the BOISEST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
9.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
9.2%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
7.9%
Sean Wale punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:549% → 9%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
8.6%
Tom Thornton pass complete to Brian Hill for 12 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
8.8%
Tom Thornton pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 19 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
9.4%
Darrenn White run for no gain to the Wyom 39 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+13
8.8%
Tom Thornton pass complete to Brian Hill for 13 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
9.6%
Tom Thornton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
8.9%
Tom Thornton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
8.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
6.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:3794% → 96%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
6.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+73
4.3%
Jay Ajayi 73 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:254% → 3%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.0%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
3.5%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
3.8%
Tom Thornton pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
3.6%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-7
3.4%
Tom Thornton sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
3.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1797% → 99%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
2.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
2.9%
Grant Hedrick run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
2.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 29 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
2.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
2.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+11
1.9%
Grant Hedrick run for 11 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
2.0%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Seth Edeen for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
1.0%
Jeremy McNichols 11 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.2%
Tom Thornton run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
1.0%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+36
0.7%
Tom Thornton pass intercepted, Darian Thompson return for 36 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:461% → 0%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
0.6%
Tom Thornton run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Tom Thornton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+75
0.4%
Donte Deayon 75 Yd Punt Return (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.4%
Sam Stratton pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
0.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-4
0.3%
Sam Stratton sacked by Elliot Hoyte for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+8
0.3%
Sam Stratton pass complete to Brian Hill for 8 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
0.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 42 yds, downed at the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
0.7%
Devan Demas run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
0.6%
Devan Demas run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Devan Demas run for no gain to the BoiSt 20 Devan Demas fumbled, recovered by Wyom Devyn HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.3%
Sam Stratton pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
0.3%
Sam Stratton run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-3
0.2%
Sam Stratton sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+17
0.2%
Sam Stratton run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Brian Hill 1 Yd Run (Stuart Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
0.4%
Devan Demas run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.4%
Devan Demas run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
0.4%
Jack Fields run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-23
0.4%
Ryan Finley sacked by Siaosi Hala'api'api for a loss of 23 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 28
OWN 14
+39
0.4%
Sean Wale punt for 46 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 39 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
0.3%
Sam Stratton run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Sam Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Sam Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+5
0.2%
Sam Stratton run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
0.3%
Devan Demas run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
0.3%
Charles Bertoli run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Charles Bertoli run for no gain to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+10
0.2%
Jack Fields run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Jack Fields run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
0.2%
Charles Bertoli run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+38
0.2%
Ryan Finley run for 38 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
0.2%
Devan Demas 21 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
0.1%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
0.1%
Tom Thornton pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Tom Thornton pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds, downed at the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the BoiSt 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiStSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
0.2%
Jack Fields run for no gain to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+3
0.2%
Charles Bertoli run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 13
+3
0.2%
Sean Wale punt for 33 yds , Tim Kamana returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43 Tim Kamana fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Charles BertoliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
0.1%
Devan Demas run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
0.1%
Charles Bertoli run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+3
0.1%
Charles Bertoli run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 5
OWN 48
-1
0.1%
Jack Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
0.1%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:17
Jay Ajayi 20 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)
-5.2
TD · Q2 12:31
Brian Hill 6 Yd Run (Stuart Williams Kick)
+4.2
TD · Q2 9:30
Jeremy McNichols 9 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com