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UNM

New Mexico 21 at Utah State 28

USU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:22: Romell Jordan run for 72 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +4.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:59: Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +5.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:25: JoJo Natson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +9.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:17: Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 59 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +8.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:17: Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27 — USU win probability +4.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18USU 4th & 12 at USU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13USU 4th & 25 at UNM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:55UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53USU 4th & 7 at USU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:16UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:15UNM 4th & 4 at USU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:51UNM 4th & 2 at USU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−2.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:06USU 4th & 10 at UNM 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:50USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:15UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:47USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:22UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:59USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:25USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:17UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
83.8%
David Anaya run for 15 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
83.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
83.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-5
83.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 32 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Ridge JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+25
83.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 48 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 25 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
83.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
83.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for no gain to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
83.0%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
83.0%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3017% → 18%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-2
82.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 15Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
82.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+8
82.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 8 yds to the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:1183% → 84%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+47
82.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 47 yds to the NMex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.7%
HUNT, LaJuan rush for no gain to the NM1 (UDEH, William), PENALTY NM offside 0 yards to the NM1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
83.3%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+7
83.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-2
83.4%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
83.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 45 yds, downed at the UthSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+33
83.4%
Kent Myers pass intercepted SaQwan Edwards return for 33 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:2518% → 22%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
81.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
81.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
82.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
81.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 16 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
81.9%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
David Anaya run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2880% → 84%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
80.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for 9 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
83.6%
Devonte Robinson run for 59 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:1917% → 22%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
82.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+72
78.5%
Romell Jordan run for 72 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
79.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 30 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
80.8%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
80.9%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
80.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-12
80.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the NMex 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UthSt Kent MyersSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 22
OPP 36
-3
80.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 25
OPP 39
0
79.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 25
OPP 39
0
79.0%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 38 yds, downed at the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
77.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
77.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+3
77.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
77.3%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+9
77.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+6
77.5%
Romell Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
77.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
76.4%
Romell Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Romell Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+11
77.4%
Zack Rogers punt for 45 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:4676% → 84%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Brett BowersSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
76.4%
Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+19
75.7%
Kent Myers run for 19 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
77.7%
Joe Hill run for 26 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
78.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-2
78.9%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+14
78.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 14 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
78.9%
JoJo Natson run for 4 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
84.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:2718% → 20%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
81.9%
JORDAN, Lamar rush for 6 yards to the NM41 (DAVIS, Jalen), PENALTY NM personal foul 15 yards to the NM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+5
82.4%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+29
82.5%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 29 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
80.5%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted, touchback. Frankie Sutera return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
82.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
81.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+1
81.9%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+14
81.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 14 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
83.1%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
82.6%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
82.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
81.2%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 47 yds, downed at the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
81.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+6
80.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
80.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
79.5%
David Anaya run for 4 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
80.2%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 35 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Lamar JordanSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
81.0%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to David Anaya, broken up by Devin CentersSimilar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+4
81.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
81.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 52 yds , JoJo Natson returns for no gain to the UthSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:3283% → 92%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
82.5%
Joe Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
82.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 24 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+15
82.6%
Kent Myers run for 15 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.9%
JoJo Natson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:0110% → 9%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Reece White, broken up by Brian SuiteSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
88.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
88.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
88.1%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
89.0%
Romell Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+15
89.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 15 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
90.4%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Reece White, broken up by Brian SuiteSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+6
90.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 4
OPP 31
-6
90.7%
Lamar Jordan sacked by B.J. Larsen for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3994% → 95%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
94.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 22 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
94.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 12 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
94.8%
Kent Myers sacked by William Udeh for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 17
OPP 36
0
94.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 17
OPP 36
-10
94.4%
MYERS, Kent rush for 10 yards to the NM26, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the NM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 27
OPP 46
-4
94.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 31
50
0
94.6%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
93.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 3 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+22
93.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Romell Jordan for 22 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
93.3%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+7
93.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+5
93.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
93.5%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.2%
JoJo Natson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+10
96.1%
Kent Myers run for 10 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
96.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 14
50
+4
96.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
96.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
95.7%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 45 yds, downed at the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 4:104% → 13%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
96.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
96.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+10
96.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Ridge Jones for 10 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
95.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
95.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+10
95.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 10 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.6%
David Anaya run for 7 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
95.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
87.2%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 59 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:0693% → 97%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.1%
Joe Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
93.3%
JoJo Natson run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
94.1%
Joe Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
94.7%
Joe Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
94.7%
JoJo Natson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
50
+19
94.9%
Joe Hill run for 19 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
95.4%
Joe Hill run for 6 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
95.4%
Joe Hill run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:25
JoJo Natson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q4 4:17
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 59 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 1:59
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com