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USU

Utah State 20 at Wyoming 3

WYO
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2014 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:15 · Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Rains) to the Wyom 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense−36.1Score differential−18.4Pregame prior−1.3Garbage-time factor−14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:12: JoJo Natson 66 Yd Run (Nick Diaz Kick) — USU win probability +4.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:29: Stuart Williams 37 Yd Field Goal — WYO win probability +1.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:47: Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36 — USU win probability +5.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:56: Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 53 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down — WYO win probability +3.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:04: LaJuan Hunt run for 32 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST down — USU win probability +6.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 11USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 11:25USU 4th & 2 at WYO 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12WYO 4th & 9 at USU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12WYO 4th & 24 at USU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:15USU 4th & 1 at USU 21, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29WYO 4th & 9 at USU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32USU 4th & 5 at USU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 26, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:52WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14USU 4th & 18 at USU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:01WYO 4th & 9 at USU 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:40USU 4th & 2 at USU 20, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:56USU 4th & 12 at WYO 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:04USU 4th & 1 at WYO 11, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−1.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:15WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:06WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:15USU 4th & 3 at USU 35, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:23WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:33USU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:12USU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:3565% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
35.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
35.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 38 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
35.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+9
35.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 9 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
35.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
36.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.3%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
36.3%
Nick Diaz 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5237% → 35%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
36.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
36.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 8 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
36.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+80
35.4%
JoJo Natson 80 Yd Punt Return (Nick Diaz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:2136% → 35%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
35.5%
Brian Hill run for 18 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
35.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
35.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+15
35.4%
Kirkegaard, Colby pass incomplete to Maulhardt, Jake, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Davis, Jalen) 15 yards to the UTAHST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WYOMING. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
35.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
35.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
35.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
35.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0065% → 70%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
34.9%
Joe Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+18
34.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 33 yds to the WYOMING 43 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (JoJo Natson) to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
34.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
34.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bill Vavau) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+66
29.8%
JoJo Natson 66 Yd Run (Nick Diaz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
16 plays · 46 yds · 6:0029% → 28%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
29.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+17
29.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 17 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
29.0%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+7
29.2%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 7 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
29.2%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
29.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
29.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
28.9%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
28.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-15
28.6%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tanner Gentry) to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+11
27.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 11 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-8
28.2%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Frankie Sutera for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 19
OPP 41
-5
27.5%
WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 24
OPP 46
0
27.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 34 yds, downed at the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5774% → 75%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
26.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+7
25.7%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
25.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+8
24.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 40 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7FG
17 plays · 33 yds · 7:4628% → 27%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
27.6%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
27.4%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
27.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
26.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
26.6%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+12
26.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 12 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
26.9%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
26.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
26.8%
Jalen Claiborne run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
26.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 3 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-5
26.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the UthSt 6 WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (Jake Jones) to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
26.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
26.0%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 15
OPP 26
-5
25.4%
WYOMING Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+11
25.2%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 11 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
24.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
26.5%
Stuart Williams 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4976% → 76%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
24.5%
Kent Myers run for 10 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
23.4%
Kent Myers sacked by Eddie Yarbrough for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 19
OWN 34
-5
24.2%
JoJo Natson run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ronald Butler) to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 24
OWN 29
+32
24.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 32 yds Kennedy Williams fumbled, forced by Blair Burns, recovered by Wyom Robert PriesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:2726% → 23%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
25.6%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
24.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-10
23.9%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 19
OWN 30
-1
22.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Omar Stover for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 20
OWN 29
0
22.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 36 yds, downed at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4177% → 78%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
22.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
21.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
21.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
22.5%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:3223% → 23%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
23.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
23.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 3 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+11
22.5%
Brian Hill run for 11 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0822% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
22.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
22.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 6 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
22.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
22.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
21.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
21.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1681% → 82%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
19.4%
Hunter Sharp run for 2 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
18.1%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-15
18.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 28
OWN 20
0
18.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Joe HillSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 28
OWN 20
+10
19.3%
Kent Myers run for 10 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
18.2%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:1320% → 17%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
20.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
18.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+6
18.9%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 6 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
19.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+5
19.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 5 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
19.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 12 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
19.6%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
18.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+8
18.3%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+3
17.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
17.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 26 yds, downed at the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2186% → 86%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
14.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
14.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
14.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+2
14.3%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 49 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:5316% → 16%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
15.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
16.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
16.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to J.D. Krill for 6 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
15.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
16.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+17
15.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 17 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
16.5%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Ryan Cummings) to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+6
15.3%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+38
16.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Deshane Hines return for 38 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:5189% → 94%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
10.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+5
9.7%
Joe Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+7
9.2%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
8.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Siaosi Hala'api'api for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 44
-3
8.4%
JoJo Natson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+26
8.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ronald Butler for 26 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
7.3%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
6.9%
Ronald Butler pass complete to JoJo Natson for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-5
7.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to JoJo Natson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 12
OPP 35
0
5.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18INT
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:5210% → 11%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+53
9.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 53 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
10.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 25 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
11.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
11.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted B.J. Larsen return for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0095% → 98%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
5.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 32 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
4.6%
JoJo Natson run for 23 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
4.6%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 21 Kent Myers fumbled, recovered by UthSt Kent MyersSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+5
4.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
4.2%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+28
1.8%
Nick Diaz 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:584% → 3%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.4%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
4.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
4.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-6
3.2%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Rains) to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
3.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 45 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
1.9%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+7
1.6%
Kennedy Williams run for 7 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+5
1.5%
Joe Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 46 yds, downed at the Wyom 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:523% → 3%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
2.8%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 8 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
2.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
2.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-3
2.6%
Colby Kirkegaard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:2399% → 99%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+9
0.7%
Rashad Hall run for 9 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:04
LaJuan Hunt run for 32 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST down
-6.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:47
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36
-5.4
TD · Q1 5:12
JoJo Natson 66 Yd Run (Nick Diaz Kick)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com