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UNM

New Mexico 31 at UNLV 28

UNLV
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:09 · Logan Yunker punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:50: Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +16.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:49: Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +17.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:05: Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +34.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:28: Keith Whitely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +25.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:22: Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +50.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:09UNLV 4th & 16 at UNM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:34UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNLV 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:51UNLV 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:26UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:05UNM 4th & 8 at UNLV 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:05UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:41UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:46UNM 4th & 1 at UNLV 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−3.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−4.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 26 at UNLV 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:19UNM 4th & 2 at UNLV 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−4.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:42UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:50UNM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:11UNLV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:46UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:49UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:05UNM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:28UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:22UNM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
50.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
50.5%
Cole Gautsche run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+2
50.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
50.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds , Keith Whitely returns for no gain to the UNLV 34 Keith Whitely fumbled, recovered by NMex Michael ArredondoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
50.6%
David Anaya run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31 David Anaya fumbled, forced by Sonny Sanitoa, recovered by UNLV Siuea VaesauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
51.0%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-2
51.0%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+15
50.8%
Blake Decker run for 15 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
51.2%
Devonte Boyd run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
51.2%
Blake Decker run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-5
51.2%
MURRAY-LAWRENCE rush for 3 yards to the NM45 (JONES, Cranston), PENALTY LV illegal formation 5 yards to the LV47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
51.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
50.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+22
51.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 22 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.2%
Cole Gautsche run for no gain to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
51.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-5
51.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+10
51.5%
Cole Gautsche run for 10 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
51.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 34 yds , Keith Whitely returns for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:0452% → 52%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
51.8%
Blake Decker run for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
52.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 21 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
52.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
52.6%
MURRAY-LAWRENCE rush for 3 yards to the NM33 (UDEH, William), PENALTY LV holding (BARNHILL, T.) 10 yards to the NM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
52.1%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+5
51.7%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY NM offside (WHITE, Donnie) 5 yards to the NM41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 15
OPP 41
-1
51.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Shaquille Murray-Lawrence for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
52.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2048% → 54%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
52.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+23
52.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for 23 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
51.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, PFFM (15 Yards) to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
51.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+34
46.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 34 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
47.9%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
47.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
47.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Shaquille Murray-LawrenceSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+13
46.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 46 yds , Chris Davis returns for 13 yds to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:3254% → 54%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
46.1%
Romell Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
46.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
46.2%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
45.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
45.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
45.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
45.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
45.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Ridge JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
45.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-1
46.1%
Romell Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
47.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 11 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
48.0%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
47.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-5
48.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 8
50
0
47.6%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 8
50
0
46.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 35 yds, downed at the NMex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:3354% → 54%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
46.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 10 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
45.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 16 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
43.6%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-8
43.8%
Jeric Magnant run for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 17
OWN 34
0
45.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
46.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
45.8%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Tevin Newman return for 3 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4060% → 61%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
40.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
40.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
40.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jeric Magnant for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
39.5%
Zack Rogers 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.3%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.2%
Blake Decker run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by SaQwan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
39.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 20 yds, downed at the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:5262% → 79%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
37.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+30
37.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 30 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
37.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+3
37.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
37.2%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 1:3928% → 39%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.1%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
28.0%
DECKER, Blake pass complete to BARNHILL, T. for 4 yards to the LV30, PENALTY NM offside (WHITE, Donnie) 5 yards to the LV31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+27
28.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 27 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
30.8%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+24
30.5%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 24 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
32.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 4 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
31.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 4 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
30.3%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 2 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
31.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 5 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
29.3%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
29.3%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY NM pass interference (GUTHRIE, David) 6 yards to the NM2, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.8%
Blake Decker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
33.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:0734% → 52%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
34.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
34.8%
Blake Decker run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+3
34.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 3 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+39
34.8%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 39 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
38.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
38.2%
Blake Decker run for 7 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
38.2%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
38.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 15 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
38.3%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.4%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
44.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
44.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
45.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jeric Magnant, broken up by Tajh HassonSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
48.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 56 yds , Jay Mitchell returns for no gain to the UNLV 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
16 plays · 95 yds · 4:2446% → 70%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
46.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 6 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+3
46.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 3 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+4
45.1%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 4 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
46.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 13 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
47.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Shaquille Murray-Lawrence, broken up by Donnie WhiteSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
47.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
50.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Devonte Boyd) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+14
47.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
51.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
51.2%
Blake Decker run for 10 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
52.5%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
52.5%
Blake Decker run for 6 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
52.5%
Blake Decker run for 2 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+9
52.5%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, A., PENALTY NM PFRP (OKONKWO, Kene) 9 yards to the NM9, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
52.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Taylor Barnhill) to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
70.0%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 5:4637% → 34%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
63.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+15
62.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 15 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
60.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for 13 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
59.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
59.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
59.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+11
61.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 11 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
57.7%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
58.1%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-9
62.6%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Siuea Vaesau for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 26
OPP 36
0
66.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21INT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
67.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Markel ByrdSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
67.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 7
-4
65.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Robert Waterman) to the UNLV 3Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
65.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
68.1%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 10 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
68.5%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 13 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
69.7%
Blake Decker run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
71.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
69.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Brett Boyko) to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+43
67.4%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Isaiah Brown return for 43 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 3:3243% → 77%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
42.5%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
42.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+21
40.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 21 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
46.7%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
44.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+17
43.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 17 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
48.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 23 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
51.3%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 6 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
51.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 3 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
48.3%
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence run for 2 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
51.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 4 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.5%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24TD
18 plays · 66 yds · 6:5734% → 91%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
66.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-1
63.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+14
65.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 14 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
61.1%
Romell Jordan run for 6 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-4
60.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+6
62.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+3
64.0%
Romell Jordan run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
61.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
58.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the UNLV 18 Lamar Jordan fumbled, forced by Blake Richmond, recovered by NMex Lamar JordanSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
58.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
58.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
58.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
65.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
63.2%
Romell Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 3Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25MISSED FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 1:1126% → 18%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
25.9%
Blake Decker sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+7
24.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 7 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+13
23.4%
Blake Decker run for 13 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
27.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 12 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
18.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
16.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+55
18.3%
Brian McIntyre 55 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:22
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
-50.6
TD · Q4 12:05
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
-34
TD · Q4 8:28
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)
+25.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com