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WYO

Wyoming 45 at Fresno State 17

FRES
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:40 · Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−2.2Pregame prior+20.3Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 16 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +4.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:33: Brian Hill run for 66 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +8.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:46: Kody Kroening 28 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +4.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:14: Joshua Tapscott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +17.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:02: Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 66 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +3.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:45WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:40FRES 4th & 2 at WYO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:08FRES 4th & 16 at WYO 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:41FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:46FRES 4th & 2 at WYO 11, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:00FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:44WYO 4th & 6 at FRES 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−1.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:32FRES 4th & 13 at WYO 38, down 11
    Close callPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:40WYO 4th & 15 at FRES 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:34FRES 4th & 7 at WYO 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:56FRES 4th & 10 at WYO 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:57WYO 4th & 5 at FRES 5, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:11FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:28WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:33WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:14WYO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:02WYO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:46WYO Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:25FRES Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0422% → 22%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
77.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
77.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+52
77.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 36 yds , Derron Smith returns for 52 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:1978% → 78%
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.7%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
78.0%
Marteze Waller run for 8 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3222% → 25%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
77.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
77.8%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
77.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
77.6%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
77.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Trey Norman for 8 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
77.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
77.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
77.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 9 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
75.4%
Brian Hill run for 32 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0876% → 76%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Marteze WallerSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.1%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+1
75.9%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+53
75.5%
Garrett Swanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the FRESNOST 15 WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5TD
16 plays · 92 yds · 7:1124% → 33%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
75.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
75.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+7
75.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 7 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
75.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+11
75.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 11 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
74.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 9 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+2
73.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
73.3%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
73.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Joshua Tapscott for 10 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
72.6%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Jake Jones) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 15
50
+1
73.0%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+33
72.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 33 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
71.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
67.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 16 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 3:1769% → 66%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.0%
Josh Quezada run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
68.8%
Josh Quezada run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
68.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Harper for 15 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
69.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
69.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josh QuezadaSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+8
68.4%
Zack Greenlee run for 8 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+3
68.7%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
69.1%
Josh Quezada run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-2
69.8%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Seth Edeen for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
67.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 11
OPP 37
-5
66.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
66.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:2734% → 43%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
66.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
66.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-4
65.3%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Sam Hardy) to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+17
65.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 17 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
56.9%
Brian Hill run for 66 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2959% → 56%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 6
50
+4
58.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Greg Watson for 4 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-5
57.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Harper for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Garrett Swanson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:3347% → 50%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+26
53.2%
Brian Hill run for 38 yds to the FRESNOST 44 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Assisting the Runner (Tanner Gentry) to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
53.2%
Joshua Tapscott run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 4
50
0
52.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 4
50
+4
52.1%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
51.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
50.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+40
50.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 40 yds Brian Hill fumbled, forced by Curtis Riley, recovered by FrsSt Shannon EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10FG
14 plays · 88 yds · 4:0451% → 51%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
50.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+39
50.0%
Marteze Waller run for 39 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
51.7%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
52.0%
Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
51.4%
Marteze Waller run for 9 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
50.9%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
50.1%
Zack Greenlee run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+21
47.7%
Zack Greenlee run for 11 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
49.3%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
48.9%
Zack Greenlee run for 4 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+1
47.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 1 yd to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
51.1%
Kody Kroening 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3053% → 55%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
46.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
45.5%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4648% → 45%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
48.1%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
47.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
46.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Delvon HardawaySimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
45.1%
Garrett Swanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:0153% → 59%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
46.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+14
46.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 14 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
44.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 15 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
42.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
42.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
41.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
41.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the FrsSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5841% → 36%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
40.6%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
39.8%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+35
37.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 35 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
40.7%
Marteze Waller run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
41.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 16 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
43.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (Bo Bonnheim) to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+4
40.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
40.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 36
-2
39.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
35.7%
Garrett Swanson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wyom 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:5263% → 71%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
36.7%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Brian Hill) to the Wyom 4Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+23
36.4%
Brian Hill run for 23 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
34.1%
Omar Stover run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+18
30.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Brian Hill for 33 yds to the FRESNOST 37 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brian Hill) to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
30.4%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
29.7%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+7
29.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 7 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
28.3%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-6
26.6%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Ejiro Ederaine for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
27.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
29.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Derron Smith at the FrsSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5928% → 25%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
27.9%
Marteze Waller run for 22 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
28.2%
Greg Watson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
30.0%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
28.7%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
28.5%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
27.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Delvon HardawaySimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
24.8%
Garrett Swanson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wyom 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 1:0176% → 94%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
23.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+89
23.1%
Brian Hill run for 89 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.0%
Joshua Tapscott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:048% → 7%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
7.7%
Brian Burrell sacked by Eddie Yarbrough for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+32
6.7%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 32 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
7.6%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
7.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
7.1%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
6.9%
Garrett Swanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 3:3994% → 100%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
5.6%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
5.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
5.0%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 6 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
4.5%
Joshua Tapscott run for 4 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
4.3%
Joshua Tapscott run for 4 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+66
0.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 66 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.5%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted Tyran Finley return for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
0.3%
Joshua Tapscott run for 48 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+51
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass intercepted Tyran Finley return for 51 yds to the FrsSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
0.2%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 13Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
0.2%
Omar Stover run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+3
0.2%
Omar Stover run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
0.2%
Darrenn White run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
0.2%
Stuart Williams 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 14 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
0.1%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+8
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 8 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+14
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 14 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 8 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 7 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.1%
Joshua Tapscott run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
0.1%
- Team run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:14
Joshua Tapscott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-17.1
TD · Q2 9:33
Brian Hill run for 66 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q2 14:49
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 16 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com