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WYO

Wyoming 31 at Colorado State 45

CSU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:47 · Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+26.9Home team on offense+17.0Score differential+12.4Garbage-time factor+3.6Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:51: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 65 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:10: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 43 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:24: Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +2.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:05: Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 73 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK) — CSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 38 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:55CSU 4th & 4 at WYO 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51WYO 4th & 3 at CSU 14, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:37WYO 4th & 13 at CSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:51WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14CSU 4th & 16 at WYO 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:31WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:17WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:15CSU 4th & 11 at WYO 36, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:42CSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:10CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:44CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:24WYO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:05CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:17WYO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:49CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:50WYO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:15WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:5793% → 92%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.0%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 17 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.9%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
92.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 11 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.8%
Garrett Grayson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 47 Garrett Grayson fumbled, recovered by ColSt Garrett Grayson at the Wyom 47 Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+10
92.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 10 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+13
92.5%
Charles Lovett run for 13 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
92.4%
Treyous Jarrells run for 21 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.3%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.2%
Dee Hart run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
92.1%
Treyous Jarrells run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 4Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+20
92.0%
Jared Roberts 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:288% → 8%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.9%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Shaun WickSimilar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
92.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:3192% → 92%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
91.8%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the ColSt 34Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+26
91.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 26 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
91.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Treyous Jarrells for 10 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
91.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Treyous Jarrells for 12 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
91.6%
Dee Hart run for 7 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-10
91.5%
Grayson, Garrett pass complete to Sambrailo, Ty for 9 yards to the WYOMING2, PENALTY COLOST holding (O'Brien, Kevin) 10 yards to the WYOMING21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+21
92.3%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Dee Hart for 21 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:368% → 10%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
91.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
91.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
91.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+46
91.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 46 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
90.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Ryan Cummings) to the ColSt 26Similar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 15
OPP 26
-5
90.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Connor Rains) to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+3
90.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+5
90.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+9
91.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Trey Norman for 9 yds to the ColSt 14Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
90.5%
Stuart Williams 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:4491% → 93%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
90.7%
Grayson, Garrett pass incomplete, PENALTY COLOST illegal formation 5 yards to the COLOST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+1
90.6%
Treyous Jarrells run for 1 yd to the ColSt 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+15
90.6%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 15 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
92.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 65 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:048% → 7%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
92.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 36 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
92.1%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
91.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Joshua TapscottSimilar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-5
92.1%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Connor Rains) to the ColSt 32Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+2
92.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+52
92.6%
Stuart Williams 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Trent Matthews COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Joe Kawulok) to the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:0293% → 97%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 17
OWN 35
+16
92.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 16 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
93.1%
Dee Hart run for no gain to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+11
92.9%
Dee Hart run for 11 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
93.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Deionte Gaines for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+43
96.7%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 43 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:094% → 4%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
95.9%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+38
96.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds , Joe Hansley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3097% → 97%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
96.9%
Treyous Jarrells run for 6 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+15
97.1%
Grayson, Garrett pass incomplete to Higgins, Rashard, PENALTY WYOMING pass interference 15 yards to the WYOMING46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLOST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
97.1%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Treyous Jarrells for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
97.2%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
97.2%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Dee HartSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-7
97.2%
Garrett Grayson sacked by Patrick Mertens for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:184% → 4%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
96.0%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+15
96.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 15 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
96.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
96.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 9 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
96.2%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
96.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
96.1%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Connor Rains) to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+11
96.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
96.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:4198% → 98%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 13 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.9%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-3
97.7%
Garrett Grayson sacked by Siaosi Hala'api'api for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 8
50
+9
97.6%
Garrett Grayson run for 9 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+58
97.9%
Jared Roberts 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:213% → 3%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
96.5%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Cory James for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+5
96.9%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3098% → 100%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.5%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the ColSt 28Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+46
97.6%
Dee Hart run for 46 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.7%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Charles LovettSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.7%
Treyous Jarrells run for 5 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Xavier Williams for 21 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:081% → 2%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.5%
Brian Hill run for 11 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 6
50
+2
99.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 5 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 9 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 2 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 13 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.6%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+16
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 16 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.8%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 73 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:410% → 1%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 6 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Januska) to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-5
99.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (NA) to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+6
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 6 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+26
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 26 yds to the ColSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the ColSt 2Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the ColSt 1Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass incomplete to Charles LovettSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+26
99.2%
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 26 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.2%
Treyous Jarrells run for 7 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Treyous Jarrells run for 6 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 4:460% → 1%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+21
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 6 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Josh Watson) to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 7 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Kirkegaard, Colby pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WYOMING36 (Davis, Aaron), PENALTY COLOST holding (Hodges, Preston) 4 yards to the COLOST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WYOMING. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-6
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Bryan Ohene-Gyeni for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 14
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bernard Blake) to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
99.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 32 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:2099% → 100%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.3%
Dee Hart run for 1 yd to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
99.5%
Dee Hart run for 4 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+11
99.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 11 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.5%
Treyous Jarrells run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
99.5%
Treyous Jarrells run for 4 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+10
99.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.6%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-5
99.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Nolan Peralta) to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 13
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
Dee Hart run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+10
99.6%
Dee Hart run for 10 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:391% → 3%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
99.5%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by SteveO Michel for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+40
99.5%
Brian Hill run for 40 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 38 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:10
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 43 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 14:51
Garrett Grayson pass complete to Joe Hansley for 65 yds for a TD (Jared Roberts KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q4 0:15
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 38 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com