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BYU

BYU 30 at Boise State 55

BOIS
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 24, 2014 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:28 · Scott Arellano punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense+24.3Pregame prior+8.2Score differential+6.8Garbage-time factor+6.2Blowout margin+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:12: Jamaal Williams 17 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick) — BYU win probability +10.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:47: Colby Pearson 81 Yd pass from Christian Stewart (Trevor Samson Kick) — BYU win probability +9.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:39: Jay Ajayi 3 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +10.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q2 1:26: Logan Taele Safety — BYU win probability +8.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:42: Troy Ware 19 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick) — BOIS win probability +8.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:21BOIS 4th & 4 at BYU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:29BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56BOIS 4th & 5 at BYU 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 49, down 20
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:28BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:43BOIS 4th & 4 at BYU 43, up 18
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:35BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 3, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:07BYU 4th & 11 at BOIS 21, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:24BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 24, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:47BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:56BOIS 4th & 16 at BOIS 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:33BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:31BOIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:12BYU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:05BOIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:47BYU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:39BOIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:42BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:54BYU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:54BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:21BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:11BYU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:3468% → 68%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
67.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 17 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
67.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 16 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
67.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 25 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
68.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Holden Huff for 4 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Holden HuffSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
67.9%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
68.0%
Dan Goodale 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5532% → 32%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
67.9%
Paul Lasike run for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
67.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Devin Mahina for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
68.0%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Devin MahinaSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+10
68.1%
Scott Arellano punt for 56 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 10 yds to the BoiSt 30 BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Chanceller James) to the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 5:2968% → 71%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
67.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+16
67.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
68.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
68.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
67.9%
Grant Hedrick run for 11 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
68.4%
Hedrick, Grant rush for 8 yards to the BYU32, PENALTY BOISEST holding (Yakoo, Mario) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 20
50
+18
67.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (NA) to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
68.5%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Dallin Leavitt and Remington Peck for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-5
68.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (NA) to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 17
OPP 39
+25
68.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 25 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
68.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
71.2%
Grant Hedrick 12 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:1630% → 29%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Devin Mahina) to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
70.0%
Paul Lasike run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
70.1%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 8 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
70.2%
BYU Penalty, False Start (De'Ondre Wesley) to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
70.5%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
70.7%
Scott Arellano punt for 45 yds, downed at the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:3071% → 70%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
71.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
71.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
70.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.9%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Holden Huff, broken up by Manoa PikulaSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
71.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-8
71.3%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Bronson Kaufusi for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
70.4%
Sean Wale punt for 51 yds , Mitchell Juergens returns for no gain to the BYU 13 Mitchell Juergens fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Charles BertoliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3372% → 77%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
72.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Holden Huff) to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-1
72.3%
Chaz Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+5
72.3%
Grant Hedrick run for 5 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+6
72.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 6 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
76.6%
Dan Goodale 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3725% → 25%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
74.7%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
74.8%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Ross ApoSimilar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-1
75.1%
Christian Stewart sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
75.4%
Scott Arellano punt for 76 yds, downed at the BoiSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
2 plays · 94 yds · 0:3177% → 84%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
77.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
83.7%
Thomas Sperbeck 78 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:5916% → 24%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
84.7%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
85.0%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Colby Pearson for 8 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
84.8%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Colby Pearson for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Nate Carter run for no gain to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+8
85.3%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 8 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.5%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Mitch Mathews, broken up by Cleshawn PageSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
85.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
85.8%
Christian Stewart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29 Christian Stewart fumbled, forced by Tyler Gray, recovered by BYU Jamaal Williams for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
85.6%
Paul Lasike run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+9
85.8%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Paul Lasike for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.9%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
75.7%
Jamaal Williams 17 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:5480% → 88%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
79.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
80.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 17 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.2%
Shane Williams-Rhodes 49 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
78.3%
Colby Pearson 81 Yd pass from Christian Stewart (Trevor Samson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:3980% → 92%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
79.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
80.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jay AjayiSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+7
79.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 7 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
80.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+13
80.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 13 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-10
81.9%
Hedrick, Grant pass complete to Roh, Jake for 6 yards to the BYU41, PENALTY BOISEST holding (Yakoo, Mario) 10 yards to the BOISEST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+6
81.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Dallas Burroughs for 6 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+48
81.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 48 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.0%
Jay Ajayi 3 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3710% → 9%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
90.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 15 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Mitch Mathews, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
90.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+5
90.8%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Terenn Houk for 5 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Scott Arellano punt for 46 yds, downed at the BoiSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14SF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1493% → 85%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
92.9%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
84.7%
Logan Taele SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2614% → 14%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
86.1%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 14 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
85.8%
Stewart, Christian pass complete to Juergens, Mitchell for 11 yards to the BYU41, PENALTY BYU personal foul (Lasike, Paul) 15 yards to the BYU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 25
OWN 15
0
86.2%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 25
OWN 15
+2
86.5%
Christian Stewart pass intercepted Darian Thompson return for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0787% → 95%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
86.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19 lat. to Jeremy McNichols for 6 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
95.4%
Troy Ware 19 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
91.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:206% → 4%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
94.5%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Paul Lasike for 9 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
94.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-3
95.2%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jamaal Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+1
95.7%
Christian Stewart run for 1 yd to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Scott Arellano punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0597% → 91%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
91.4%
Fred Warner 20 Yd Interception Return (Trevor Samson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:5491% → 92%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
91.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+12
91.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
92.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 10 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.3%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
92.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
92.6%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
92.1%
Sean Wale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Keanu Nelson at the BYU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:539% → 8%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
91.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
90.9%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Devin MahinaSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-7
91.2%
Christian Stewart sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 3Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 14
OWN 3
0
91.6%
Scott Arellano punt for 33 yds, downed at the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:2193% → 98%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
93.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 24 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
93.5%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
93.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
98.2%
Jake Roh 8 Yd pass from Grant Hedrick (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:343% → 2%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.4%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Colby Pearson for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.4%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.4%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Edward Fusi) to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+9
96.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 9 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+13
97.3%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 13 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
97.7%
Stewart, Christian pass incomplete to Leslie, Jordan, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference (Moxey, Jonathan) 15 yards to the BOISEST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
97.5%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Paul Lasike for 11 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.5%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Jordan Leslie, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
97.6%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
97.9%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Jordan LeslieSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 11
OPP 21
0
98.0%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Devin MahinaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
98.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-5
98.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Mario Yakoo) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Dallas BurroughsSimilar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+5
98.8%
Sean Wale punt for 55 yds , Keanu Nelson returns for 5 yds to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
98.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-8
98.6%
Christian Stewart sacked by Elliot Hoyte for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Scott Arellano punt for 53 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 9 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Grant Hedrick run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-10
99.2%
Hedrick, Grant rush for 4 yards to the BOISEST41, PENALTY BOISEST holding (Henry, Marcus) 10 yards to the BOISEST27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-2
99.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Sean Wale punt for 38 yds , Keanu Nelson returns for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Devin Mahina, broken up by Jack FieldsSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-4
98.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jordan Leslie for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Scott Arellano punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1099% → 100%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
99.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+23
99.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 23 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.5%
Devan Demas run for 6 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
99.6%
Grant Hedrick run for 8 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+28
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 28 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jay Ajayi 2 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 29TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
99.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 19 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
99.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 23 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Christian Stewart pass incomplete to Colby Pearson, broken up by Dylan Sumner-GardnerSimilar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+18
99.9%
Christian Stewart pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 18 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.7%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Christian Stewart 2 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Devan Demas run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.8%
Ryan Finley run for 21 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 9 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Devan Demas run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Devan Demas run for 2 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:39
Jay Ajayi 3 Yd Run (Dan Goodale Kick)
+10.5
TD · Q2 9:12
Jamaal Williams 17 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)
-10.2
TD · Q2 7:47
Colby Pearson 81 Yd pass from Christian Stewart (Trevor Samson Kick)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com