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SDSU

San Diego State 24 at New Mexico 14

UNM
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2014 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:50 · Joel Alesi punt for 41 yds, downed at the NMex 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−4.9Pregame prior−9.1Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:20: Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 45 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +8.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 11:23: Chase Price run for 27 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK) — SDSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:59: Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +19.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:59: Jason Sanders kickoff for 64 yds , Kameron Kelly return for 13 yds to the SDSt 48 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the SDSt 7 — SDSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:59: Donnel Pumphrey run for 93 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK) — SDSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:36SDSU 4th & 8 at UNM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:06UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:51SDSU 4th & 15 at SDSU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33UNM 4th & 9 at SDSU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:50SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:47UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:52SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:50SDSU 4th & 4 at UNM 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:59UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−3.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:48UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02UNM 4th & 16 at UNM 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:26UNM 4th & 23 at UNM 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:22UNM 4th & 21 at UNM 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:37SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:20UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:23SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:59UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:59SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:1166% → 65%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
33.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-10
33.9%
Pumphrey, Donnel rush for 7 yards to the SANDIEGOST33, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+4
34.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+15
34.3%
Nick Bawden run for 15 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
34.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
34.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.5%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
34.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Daniel Brunskill) to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
34.7%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+43
34.9%
Nick Bawden pass complete to Eric Judge for 43 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
34.5%
Chase Price run for 9 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+1
34.7%
Chase Price run for 1 yd to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
34.7%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
35.0%
Chase Price run for 1 yd to the NMex 3Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
35.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
35.4%
Donny Hageman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1436% → 36%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
35.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
35.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+31
35.7%
David Anaya run for 31 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
36.8%
Cole Gautsche run for no gain to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
36.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-1
36.1%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
35.7%
Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Mills at the SDSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:0463% → 62%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
36.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 12Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
36.8%
Nick Bawden pass complete to Eric Judge for 7 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
37.2%
Bawden, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY NEWMEXICO offside 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
36.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
37.0%
Nick Bawden run for no gain to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-8
37.3%
Nick Bawden sacked by Chris Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+28
38.0%
Joel Alesi punt for 43 yds , Chris Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48 Chris Davis fumbled, recovered by NMex SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1139% → 37%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
38.6%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 12 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
38.8%
Cole Gautsche run for 1 yd to the SDSt 35Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
39.5%
Cole Gautsche pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
38.7%
Cole Gautsche pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
36.6%
Cole Gautsche pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3563% → 63%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
36.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
36.3%
Nick Bawden pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 7 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
35.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
35.7%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
35.9%
Nick Bawden pass incomplete SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
37.0%
Joel Alesi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis at the NMex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4737% → 36%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
37.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-1
37.0%
Cole Gautsche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+3
36.5%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 3 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+5
36.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds , Lloyd Mills returns for 5 yds to the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
30.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 49 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1131% → 40%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
30.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+27
29.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 27 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
32.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
40.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 45 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0263% → 64%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.5%
Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
36.6%
Dakota Gordon run for no gain to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
37.1%
Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.9%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
37.4%
Chase Price run for 9 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
35.6%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
36.5%
Joel Alesi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis at the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:4336% → 37%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
36.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+1
37.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+19
36.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 19 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
37.7%
Jordan, Lamar pass incomplete, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
39.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
38.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+4
37.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
37.0%
Zack Rogers punt for 54 yds, downed at the SDSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5062% → 64%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+16
37.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 16 yds to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
37.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 31 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.9%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
35.1%
Nick Bawden pass complete to Larry Clark for 6 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
34.6%
Nick Bawden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
35.6%
Joel Alesi punt for 41 yds, downed at the NMex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:3837% → 38%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
36.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+8
36.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
37.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 11 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
38.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the NMex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:5240% → 37%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 7 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
41.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
40.4%
Pressley, Jhurell rush for 4 yards to the NEWMEXICO40, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-3
39.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+6
38.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jhurell Pressley for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 17
OWN 29
0
37.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+9
36.9%
Zack Rogers punt for 36 yds , Lloyd Mills returns for 9 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:1764% → 75%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
36.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 14 yds to the NEWMEXICO 42 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
34.7%
Quinn Kaehler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
24.6%
Chase Price run for 27 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1026% → 46%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.5%
Carlos Wiggins run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
25.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
25.3%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
26.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jhurell Pressley for 4 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
26.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+8
26.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
27.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
27.1%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+11
26.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jhurell Pressley for 11 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
28.5%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyler Duncan for 4 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+15
27.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 15 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
27.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the SDSt 7Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
26.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the SDSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 93 yds · 0:3662% → 77%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
38.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 7Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+93
23.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 93 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4722% → 20%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
22.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+1
22.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+1
21.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+2
20.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 37 yds , Billy Vaughn Jr. returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 32 Billy Vaughn Jr. fumbled, recovered by SDSt Billy Vaughn Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0079% → 81%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
21.3%
Chase Price run for 6 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+8
19.8%
Chase Price run for 8 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
19.4%
Chase Price run for 5 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
19.1%
Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
19.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 48Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+10
20.2%
Quinn Kaehler pass complete to Chase Price for 10 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
19.4%
Chase Price run for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
18.9%
Chase Favreau pass intercepted Cranston Jones return for no gain to the NMex 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5819% → 16%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-8
19.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NMexSimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 18
OWN 6
+2
18.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 16
OWN 8
0
16.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 16
OWN 8
0
16.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:0384% → 85%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
16.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
16.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
14.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the NMex 31 Donnel Pumphrey fumbled, recovered by NMex Dakota CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:5916% → 13%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
15.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+2
14.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 23
OWN 18
0
14.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 23
OWN 18
0
13.3%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 23
OWN 18
0
12.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Mills at the SDSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
13.6%
Quinn Kaehler pass intercepted Donnie Duncan return for no gain to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0515% → 14%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
14.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
14.1%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Josh Gavert return for no gain to the NMex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
12.2%
Chase Price run for 23 yds Chase Price fumbled, recovered by NMex Donnie DuncanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2614% → 9%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
13.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 5
0
12.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+15
12.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
13.6%
David Anaya sacked by Dakota Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-7
12.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the NMex 8Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 22
OWN 8
-4
10.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 26
OWN 4
+5
10.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to David Anaya for 5 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 21
OWN 9
0
8.7%
Zack Rogers punt for 61 yds, downed at the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26END OF GAME
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:1389% → 96%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
10.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
10.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+18
10.2%
Chase Price run for 18 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
7.6%
Chase Price run for 5 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
7.5%
Chase Price run for 8 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
5.2%
Dakota Gordon run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-1
4.4%
Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+10
4.5%
Chase Price run for 10 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-1
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:59
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+19.5
TD · Q3 3:59
Donnel Pumphrey run for 93 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 11:23
Chase Price run for 27 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com