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UNLV

UNLV 10 at San José State 33

SJSU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:34 · Logan Yunker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+2.1Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+22.5Garbage-time factor+8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:42: Austin Lopez 33 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Austin Lopez 47 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:13: Austin Lopez 47 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Tyler Ervin run for 83 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:51: Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 51 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39UNLV 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47SJSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:38UNLV 4th & 11 at SJSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:38SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:51UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:42SJSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36SJSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:36UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:36UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:05SJSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:13SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 31, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:40UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 27, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:26SJSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 35, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−1.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:59UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 17, down 19
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:35UNLV 4th & 8 at SJSU 8, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:29SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 28, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:00UNLV 4th & 21 at SJSU 44, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 35, up 23
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:34UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:39UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:58SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:46SJSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:51SJSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
76.5%
Joe Gray run for 6 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
76.5%
Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
76.5%
Jarrod Lawson run for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
76.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:3224% → 27%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.0%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
76.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 11 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
76.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
75.9%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+19
76.0%
Keith Whitely run for 19 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-6
75.9%
Blake Decker sacked by Forrest Hightower for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 16
OPP 22
+19
76.0%
Blake Decker run for 19 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
75.9%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.9%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.0%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.5%
Blake Decker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:5274% → 72%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.8%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
73.9%
Joe Gray pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+29
73.9%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 29 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
74.3%
Joe Gray pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 25 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
74.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-15
73.5%
GRAY, Joe right pass complete to WILSON, Hansell for 5 yards to the LV0, clock 07:42, PENALTY SJ pass interference 15 yards to the LV20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 17
OPP 20
-5
73.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 22
OPP 25
+14
73.2%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 14 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
73.2%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
72.4%
Austin Lopez 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:0928% → 30%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
71.9%
Keith Whitely run for 8 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+16
71.5%
Keith Whitely run for 16 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
71.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 31 yds to the SANJOSÉST 25 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
71.1%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
71.1%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
71.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 6
OPP 21
-5
71.6%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
70.3%
Nicolai Bornand 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:4071% → 74%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
70.8%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
70.9%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 9 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
71.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
71.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 3 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
71.4%
Jarrod Lawson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
71.2%
Joe Gray run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
71.7%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 28 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
72.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 17 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
72.1%
Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.1%
Jarrod Lawson run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.0%
Joe Gray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:0728% → 28%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
72.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 17 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.1%
George Naufahu run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
70.9%
Blake Decker run for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
70.9%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
71.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:0673% → 75%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
73.4%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+16
73.3%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 16 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
74.5%
Joe Gray run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
74.5%
Tim Crawley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+14
74.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 14 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
75.0%
Tim Crawley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-1
75.0%
Joe Gray sacked by Sonny Sanitoa for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+4
74.4%
Joe Gray run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+4
73.8%
Daniel Bradbury run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
75.0%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Jabari CarrSimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
75.0%
Joe Gray run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
74.5%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Daniel BradburySimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
74.6%
Austin Lopez 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
73.2%
Marcus Sullivan run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
73.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 6 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
73.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-19
74.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the UNLV 9 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt Tim CrawleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3176% → 79%
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
76.1%
Brandon Monroe run for 3 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
76.1%
Joe Gray sacked by Siuea Vaesau for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-1
74.3%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
78.5%
Austin Lopez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
77.2%
Blake Decker run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for no gain to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
77.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Keith Whitely, broken up by Christian TagoSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
78.1%
Nicolai Bornand punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 3:2078% → 81%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
78.3%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
78.5%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
78.0%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler Winston, broken up by Najee JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+15
77.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 15 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
79.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 12 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
79.9%
Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
79.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 11 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.5%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
79.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-3
78.7%
Joe Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
81.1%
Austin Lopez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.4%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Maurice McKnightSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.5%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
80.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Brett Boyko) to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
80.4%
Nick Sherry pass complete to Keith Whitely for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
80.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 29 yds, downed at the SJSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:5982% → 86%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
81.8%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
81.8%
Joe Gray pass complete to Shane Smith for 7 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
81.2%
Chris Dadson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
82.0%
Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
82.0%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
81.2%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jarrod Lawson for 9 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
82.2%
Tim Crawley run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
82.1%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
81.2%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+47
86.0%
Austin Lopez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Nick Sherry run for no gain to the UNLV 31 Nick Sherry fumbled, forced by Eugene Taylor, recovered by UNLV Robert WatermanSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
84.1%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
84.4%
Nick Sherry pass complete to Keith Whitely for 5 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
84.1%
Keith Whitely run for 22 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.1%
Nick Sherry run for no gain to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
83.3%
Nick Sherry pass intercepted Maurice McKnight return for no gain to the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1587% → 94%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.3%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
87.2%
Jarrod Lawson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 22 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+5
86.9%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 5 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+83
94.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 83 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
93.0%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Logan Yunker punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:2596% → 96%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
95.8%
Brandon Monroe run for 1 yd to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
95.7%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jordan Thiel for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
95.4%
Joe Gray run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.5%
Brandon Monroe run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
95.5%
Joe Gray run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
95.4%
Jarrod Lawson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
95.0%
Joe Gray run for 1 yd to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
95.5%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+15
95.5%
Jarrod Lawson run for 15 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
95.5%
Jarrod Lawson run for 8 yds to the UNLV 10 Jarrod Lawson fumbled, forced by Brandon Baker, recovered by UNLV Matt VinalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
94.6%
Nick Sherry pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 7 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
94.5%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Taylor BarnhillSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:3197% → 100%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+51
99.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 51 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:061% → 2%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.5%
George Naufahu run for 7 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+5
99.5%
George Naufahu run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.5%
George Naufahu run for 15 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
99.4%
SHERRY, Nick deep middle pass incomplete to KEYS, Kendal, PENALTY SJ pass interference (WALLACE, Clevel) 15 yards to the SJ6, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.4%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.4%
George Naufahu run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Marcus Sullivan UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
98.5%
Jonathan Leiva 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.0%
Tim Crawley run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
99.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jay Mitchell at the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Taylor BarnhillSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.7%
Nick Sherry pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 8 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+19
98.7%
Nick Sherry pass complete to Taylor Barnhill for 19 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
98.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (George Naufahu) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+4
98.6%
George Naufahu run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+3
98.5%
Nick Sherry run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-13
98.6%
Nick Sherry sacked by Sean Bacon for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 28 yds, downed at the SJSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.4%
Brandon Monroe run for 8 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
99.3%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Tim Crawley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32 Tim Crawley fumbled, forced by Tau Lotulelei, recovered by SJSt Evan SarverSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Brandon Monroe run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jay Mitchell at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.3%
George Naufahu run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to Maika MataeleSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Nick Sherry pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Logan Yunker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.6%
Brandon Monroe run for 6 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Brandon Monroe run for 1 yd to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+29
99.7%
Brandon Monroe run for 29 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.7%
Brandon Monroe run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
99.7%
Brandon Monroe run for 9 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:46
Tyler Ervin run for 83 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
+7.5
FG · Q3 10:13
Austin Lopez 47 yd FG GOOD
+4.7
FG · Q2 4:42
Austin Lopez 33 yd FG GOOD
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com