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UL

Louisiana 9 at Boise State 34

BOIS
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:58 · Daniel Cadona punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+19.0Home team on offense+20.2Score differential+14.0Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:21: Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:01: Hunter Stover 22 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +1.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:04: Jay Ajayi run for 16 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:58: Dan Goodale 40 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:39: Devan Demas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UL 4th & 9 at UL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37UL 4th & 4 at BOIS 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21UL 4th & 14 at BOIS 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:01UL 4th & 5 at BOIS 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BOIS 4th & 16 at BOIS 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UL 4th & 7 at UL 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04UL 4th & 11 at UL 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:06BOIS 4th & 22 at UL 27, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:44UL 4th & 7 at UL 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23BOIS 4th & 4 at UL 37, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00BOIS 4th & 1 at UL 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−1.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:58BOIS 4th & 14 at UL 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:58UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:56BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 29, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:48UL 4th & 15 at UL 40, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:46BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 4, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:15UL 4th & 5 at BOIS 8, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:27BOIS 4th & 8 at UL 16, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:27UL 4th & 5 at UL 22, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:37BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:21BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:04BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:39BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
Broadway,T. pass incomplete, PENALTY BSU offside defense (NANCE, Armand) 5 yards to the UL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-5
88.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Donovan Williams) to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Torrey Pierce run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete, broken up by Dylan Sumner-GardnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Daniel Cadona punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:4688% → 88%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.6%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+8
87.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 8 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+17
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+6
87.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
87.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Dallas Burroughs for 7 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+9
87.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
87.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 33 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
87.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
86.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
87.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:5487% → 89%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+57
87.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 57 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
87.5%
Grant Hedrick run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 4:2012% → 13%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jared Johnson, broken up by Beau MartinSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jared JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
88.6%
Cadona,Daniel punt 47 yards to the BSU23, fair catch by WILLIAMS-RHODES, PENALTY BSU roughing the kicker (MARTARANO, J.) 15 yards to the UL45, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
88.3%
Broadway,T. pass incomplete to Butler,James, PENALTY BSU pass interference (DEAYON, Donte) 15 yards to the BSU40, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
88.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 23 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
87.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-4
88.0%
Terrance Broadway run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
88.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Alonzo Harris for no gain to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+14
88.5%
Hunter Stover pass complete to Evan Tatford for 14 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
87.9%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James Butler, broken up by Donte DeayonSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 0
OPP 6
-5
88.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Octravian Anderson) to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
88.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 6 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
86.8%
Hunter Stover 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0187% → 87%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
87.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
87.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Matt Miller) to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+10
87.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 5
50
-1
87.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-10
87.1%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Christian Ringo for a loss of 10 yards to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
86.9%
Alonzo Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-5
86.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Al Riles) to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 15
0
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Tyler GraySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+9
87.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+12
87.3%
Daniel Cadona punt for 50 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 12 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:2888% → 92%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
88.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 16 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.4%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
88.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 15 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
88.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 15 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
91.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 16 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
91.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
91.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 10 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.7%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.8%
Alonzo Harris run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
90.7%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Mykhael Quave) to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
91.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler GraySimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
91.1%
Daniel Cadona punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:3492% → 92%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
92.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+26
92.2%
Jay Ajayi run for 26 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
92.6%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Dominique Tovell for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+13
92.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 13 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+7
92.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 7 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
92.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Holden Huff for 16 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
92.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 8 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
92.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
92.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
92.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-16
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 22
OPP 27
0
92.4%
Grant Hedrick run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 22
OPP 27
+44
92.2%
Dan Goodale 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:228% → 8%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
92.0%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Beau Martin and Tanner Vallejo for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 14
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for no gain to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+7
91.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
91.8%
Daniel Cadona punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:1393% → 93%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, offside defense (N/A) to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Jevante WatsonSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
93.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+6
92.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.2%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
93.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
92.8%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-7
92.5%
Dan Goodale run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:099% → 6%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
91.3%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
91.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
93.9%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Blake Renaud for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 46 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:0293% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+16
92.3%
Grant Hedrick run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
92.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-1
92.4%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
92.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
91.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
92.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 2 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
92.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-8
92.1%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Marquis White for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
96.7%
Dan Goodale 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
96.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
96.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 3 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Daniel Cadona punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:0797% → 100%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
97.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 6 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
97.2%
Grant Hedrick run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.3%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+33
97.3%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 33 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
97.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 20 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Devan Demas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted Donte Deayon return for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 29 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
99.6%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Dallas Burroughs, broken up by Marquis WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+12
99.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
99.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Archie Lewis) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 0
OPP 12
-5
99.7%
HEDRICK, Grant pass complete to HUFF, Holden for 12 yards to the UL0, clock 03:10, PENALTY BSU illegal touching (HUFF, Holden) 5 yards to the UL17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 0
OPP 17
+1
99.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 0
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+1
99.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+32
99.8%
Dan Goodale 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:560% → 1%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Harris,Alonzo rush up middle for loss of 7 yards to the UL22 (SUMNER-GARDNER), PENALTY BSU offside defense 5 yards to the UL34, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.8%
Terrance Broadway run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to C.J. Bates, broken up by Bryan DouglasSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 11 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 13 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 13 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.8%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
99.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Alonzo Harris for 5 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
98.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Dallas Burroughs for 3 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.4%
Sean Wale punt for 33 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
98.9%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+9
99.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 5
50
-10
98.9%
Broadway,T. rush left for 13 yards to the BSU37, PENALTY UL holding (Quave,Mykhael) 10 yards to the UL40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James Butler, broken up by Donte DeayonSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Daniel Cadona punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
99.7%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+3
99.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
99.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+26
99.7%
Sean Wale punt for 46 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 26 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.1%
Torrey Pierce run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-1
99.1%
Alonzo Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+2
99.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 2 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 5
OPP 8
0
99.2%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to James ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24FG
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+73
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 73 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.7%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
99.7%
Jack Fields run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-5
99.7%
Jack Fields run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
99.8%
Dan Goodale 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+1
99.4%
Terrance Broadway run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Daniel Cadona punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 10:58
Dan Goodale 40 yd FG GOOD
+4.6
TD · Q2 12:04
Jay Ajayi run for 16 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q3 6:39
Devan Demas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com