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WYO

Wyoming 14 at Oregon 48

ORE
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:21 · D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+8.5Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+29.9Blowout margin+16.8Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:02: Tanner Gentry 18 Yd pass from Colby Kirkegaard (Stuart Williams Kick) — WYO win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Marcus Mariota 15 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick) — ORE win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:43: Marcus Mariota 19 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick) — ORE win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:34: Devon Allen 16 Yd pass from Marcus Mariota (Matt Wogan Kick) — ORE win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:19: Royce Freeman 12 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick) — ORE win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:44WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29ORE 4th & 2 at WYO 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:00WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:15WYO 4th & 1 at ORE 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:36WYO 4th & 19 at ORE 40, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:31ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 26, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:21WYO 4th & 2 at ORE 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:32WYO 4th & 5 at ORE 5, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:02WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:45ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:43ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:34ORE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:19ORE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:59ORE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:03WYO Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:30ORE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:561% → 1%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.4%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+8
99.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 8 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.3%
D.J. May run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
99.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 5 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 12 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Trey Norman for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
99.1%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Arik Armstead for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 78 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 3 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Marcus Mariota pass incomplete to Keanon LoweSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
99.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 14 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
99.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 11 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
99.1%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 20 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.1%
Marcus Mariota pass incomplete to Keanon LoweSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.0%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Devon Allen for 6 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
99.0%
Thomas Tyner run for 11 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.0%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
99.0%
Byron Marshall run for 4 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Byron Marshall run for no gain to the Wyom 3Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+1
98.9%
Byron Marshall run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
13 plays · 98 yds · 5:191% → 2%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+21
98.9%
Shaun Wick run for 21 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.8%
Shaun Wick run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-3
98.7%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-14
98.7%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dominic Rufran) to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+24
98.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 24 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
98.6%
D.J. May run for 25 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.5%
D.J. May run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
98.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+15
98.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 15 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
98.2%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
97.8%
Tanner Gentry 18 Yd pass from Colby Kirkegaard (Stuart Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
97.9%
Byron Marshall run for 27 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
97.9%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Darren Carrington for 18 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.0%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Darren Carrington for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
98.3%
Marcus Mariota 15 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.0%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
97.9%
D.J. May run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
97.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-2
97.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds , Charles Nelson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
97.9%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Thomas Tyner for 3 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
97.8%
Marcus Mariota pass incomplete to Thomas TynerSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+13
97.7%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Thomas Tyner for 13 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
97.8%
Thomas Tyner run for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+16
97.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 16 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
97.8%
Byron Marshall run for 18 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
98.2%
Byron Marshall 30 Yd Run (Matt Wogan PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:112% → 2%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
98.0%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+12
97.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 12 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Jalen Claiborne run for no gain to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+35
97.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Erick Dargan return for 35 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:2898% → 99%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
98.0%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Marcus Mariota pass incomplete to Keanon LoweSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
97.9%
OREGON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+10
97.9%
WYOMING Penalty, Roughing Passer (Sonny Puletasi) to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-10
97.9%
OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
98.6%
Marcus Mariota 19 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9INT
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:172% → 2%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+42
98.3%
Shaun Wick run for 42 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
98.1%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Christian French and Tui Talia for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+11
98.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 11 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+10
97.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 10 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Erick Dargan return for no gain to the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:1798% → 99%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
98.2%
Thomas Tyner run for 6 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+16
98.2%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Byron Marshall for 16 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.3%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
98.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 6 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
98.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Charles Nelson for 13 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
98.3%
Marcus Mariota run for 24 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.4%
Devon Allen 16 Yd pass from Marcus Mariota (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q2 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+18
99.1%
Shaun Wick run for 18 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.1%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 8 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+12
99.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Shaun Wick for 12 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:2099% → 100%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
99.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 12 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.3%
Marcus Mariota run for 7 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
99.3%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
99.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 19 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
99.3%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Keanon Lowe for 18 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Royce Freeman 12 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 11 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-9
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Torrodney Prevot for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 29 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, forced by Torrodney Prevot, recovered by Oregn Christian French , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 6 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Participation (5 Yards) to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.8%
OREGON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+12
99.8%
Marcus Mariota pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 12 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Marcus Mariota run for 6 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Johnathan Loyd 5 Yd pass from Marcus Mariota (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+41
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 41 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.8%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-6
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by DeForest Buckner for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 19
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
99.9%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 7 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Charles Nelson for 6 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 50 yds, downed at the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 6:020% → 0%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
Dominic Rufran run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+12
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 12 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Arik Armstead for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 39 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, forced by Arik Armstead, recovered by Wyom J.D. Krill , return for 0 yards for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+10
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 10 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
D.J. May 12 Yd pass from Colby Kirkegaard (Stuart Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 21Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 21Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Darren Carrington for 15 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+27
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Kenny Bassett for 27 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Kenny Bassett for 9 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Kenny Bassett run for no gain to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Kenny Bassett run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
99.9%
Jeff Lockie run for 13 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Johnny MundtSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+8
99.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Kani Benoit for 8 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Wyom 1Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kani Benoit 1 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19DOWNS
16 plays · 55 yds · 6:510% → 0%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-9
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Dior Mathis for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+37
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 37 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
D.J. May run for 7 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+12
99.9%
Shaun Wick run for 12 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
D.J. May run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
100.0%
Lane Roseberry run for 6 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Lane Roseberry run for 3 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
J.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
Devon Allen 16 Yd pass from Marcus Mariota (Matt Wogan Kick)
+1
TD · Q2 6:43
Marcus Mariota 19 Yd Run (Matt Wogan Kick)
+0.6
TD · Q1 1:02
Tanner Gentry 18 Yd pass from Colby Kirkegaard (Stuart Williams Kick)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com