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SJSU

San José State 13 at Auburn 59

AUB
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Osirius Burke run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:31: Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:04: Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:29: Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 2:38: Austin Lopez 27 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:52: Austin Lopez 24 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:44SJSU 4th & 12 at AUB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:52SJSU 4th & 1 at AUB 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:04AUB 4th & 1 at SJSU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:02SJSU 4th & 20 at SJSU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:38SJSU 4th & 7 at AUB 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -1.0%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:51AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:45AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:52SJSU 4th & 5 at AUB 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:29SJSU 4th & 20 at SJSU 12, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:54SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 20, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:19SJSU 4th & 8 at AUB 42, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:15AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:31AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:04AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:29AUB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:18AUB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:56AUB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:47AUB Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.4%
Nick Marshall run for 9 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
97.4%
Corey Grant run for 10 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 4
50
+49
97.3%
Nick Marshall run for 49 yds Nick Marshall fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:483% → 3%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
97.2%
Brandon Monroe run for 2 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
97.2%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.1%
Blake Jurich pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.1%
Brandon Monroe run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-3
97.0%
Blake Jurich run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
97.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:1997% → 97%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
97.0%
Nick Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+27
96.9%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 27 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
96.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
96.8%
Nick Marshall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
96.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Nick Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
96.7%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Marcus Davis for 7 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+13
96.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 13 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
96.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.6%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 3 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.3%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:0796% → 97%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
96.3%
Corey Grant run for 18 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
96.4%
Corey Grant run for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
96.4%
Nick Marshall run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+8
96.3%
Corey Grant run for 8 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
96.3%
Nick Marshall run for 6 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
96.2%
Corey Grant run for 1 yd to the SJSt 8Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
96.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6INT
15 plays · 30 yds · 4:534% → 4%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.3%
Brandon Monroe run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
96.2%
Tyler Ervin run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
96.1%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 1 yd to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
96.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 6 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+10
95.9%
Blake Jurich run for 10 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.8%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.8%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
95.7%
Blake Jurich run for 4 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
95.7%
Blake Jurich run for 1 yd to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
95.4%
SAN JOSE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Peterson) to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 20
OPP 45
0
95.5%
Limihai Hifo run for no gain to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 20
OPP 45
0
95.5%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Limihai HifoSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+19
95.6%
Blake Jurich pass intercepted Jermaine Whitehead return for 19 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1896% → 96%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
95.8%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+15
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 15 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
95.7%
AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+5
95.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
95.6%
Corey Grant run for 9 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
95.5%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.5%
Nick Marshall run for no gain to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
95.4%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to D'haquille WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+9
95.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 9 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
96.4%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:504% → 2%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
96.2%
Hansell Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
96.2%
Blake Jurich run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-9
96.2%
Blake Jurich sacked by Montravius Adams for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+55
97.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 40 yds , Quan Bray returns for 55 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.8%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
97.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 3 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
97.9%
Blake Jurich sacked by Gabe Wright for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:3398% → 99%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
98.3%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 9 yds to the AUBURN 47 for a 1ST down SAN JOSE ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dasheon Frierson) to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.3%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Melvin RaySimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+31
98.3%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 31 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:331% → 4%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.2%
Limihai Hifo run for 3 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Limihai Hifo run for no gain to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+9
99.3%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tim Crawley for 9 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.3%
Limihai Hifo run for 13 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.3%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gabe Wright) to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+2
99.2%
Limihai Hifo run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+22
99.2%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 22 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
99.4%
SAN JOSE ST Penalty, False Start (Keith Bendixen) to the Aub 19Similar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 16
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
Blake Jurich run for 5 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Blake Jurich pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+4
99.4%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 4 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
96.5%
Austin Lopez 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3299% → 98%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.5%
Nick Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
98.5%
Corey Grant run for 2 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Nick Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Daniel Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:373% → 3%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
96.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 1 yd to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+5
96.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 5 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
96.8%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 17
OWN 34
-1
96.8%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Ervin for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+3
96.9%
Blake Jurich pass intercepted Johnathan Ford return for 3 yds to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Ricardo LouisSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Quan BraySimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.0%
Nick Marshall pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 15 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Nick Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.0%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Cameron Artis-Payne for 7 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+3
99.0%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.1%
SAN JOSE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dasheon Frierson) to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+27
99.6%
Daniel Carlson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:121% → 1%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Limihai Hifo run for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+16
99.6%
Blake Jurich run for 16 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.6%
Limihai Hifo run for 4 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
99.6%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Billy Freeman for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 2
50
+2
99.6%
Limihai Hifo run for 2 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+42
99.7%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Jourdan Soares for 42 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.6%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Chris DadsonSimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.6%
Limihai Hifo run for 1 yd to the Aub 5Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
99.7%
Blake Jurich sacked by DaVonte Lambert for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 12 Blake Jurich fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 0
OPP 12
+29
99.3%
Austin Lopez 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 6 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Nick Marshall run for 2 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.7%
Nick Marshall run for 4 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.8%
Nick Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
Corey Grant run for 7 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Nick Marshall pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Daniel Carlson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:380% → 1%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
99.8%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Brandon Monroe for 20 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Brandon Monroe run for 3 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+18
99.8%
Brandon Monroe run for 3 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
99.8%
Blake Jurich run for 18 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.8%
SAN JOSE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 17Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Blake Jurich run for 2 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 10Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
99.8%
Limihai Hifo run for 1 yd to the Aub 9Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+2
99.8%
Limihai Hifo run for 2 yds to the Aub 7Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
99.2%
Austin Lopez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
99.6%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Quan Bray for 11 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.6%
Corey Grant run for 14 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.6%
Corey Grant run for 9 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+6
99.7%
Nick Marshall pass complete to Corey Grant for 6 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Nick Marshall run for 27 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-13
99.9%
Blake Jurich sacked by Jonathon Mincy for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 9Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 23
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Brandon Monroe run for no gain to the SJSt 9Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 23
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Blake Jurich pass complete to Tyler Winston for 3 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Quan Bray for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 15 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for no gain to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 15 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Peyton Barber run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · -26 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-9
99.9%
Limihai Hifo run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30 SAN JOSE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 19
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 19
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Blake Jurich pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 19
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Blake Jurich pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 19
OWN 20
-17
100.0%
Michael Carrizosa run for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSt 3 Michael Carrizosa fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23INT
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Limihai Hifo run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Limihai Hifo run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Daniel Bradbury for 6 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Limihai Hifo run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+18
100.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 18 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Jourdan SoaresSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Brandon Monroe run for 4 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
Brandon Monroe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+12
100.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Jabari Carr for 12 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Joe Gray pass intercepted Trovon Reed return for 6 yds to the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 13 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 1 yd to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+13
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 13 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 7 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 7 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 7
50
+2
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46 Roc Thomas fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Osirius Burke run for 1 yd to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Osirius Burke run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 2:38
Austin Lopez 27 yd FG GOOD
-2.9
TD · Q2 12:04
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 7:29
Cameron Artis-Payne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com