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WSU

Washington State 13 at Nevada 24

NEV
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 5, 2014 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:44 · Jordan Dascalo punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Richy Turner at the Nevad 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior−12.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:18: Don Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +5.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:59: James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +8.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:15: Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:16: Timeout WASHINGTON ST, clock 01:16 — NEV win probability +6.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:15: Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +17.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:32NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44WSU 4th & 21 at NEV 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48WSU 4th & 4 at NEV 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:47NEV 4th & 7 at WSU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:50NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:54WSU 4th & 8 at NEV 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50WSU 4th & 11 at NEV 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:07NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:57WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:57NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:49WSU 4th & 13 at NEV 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:33NEV 4th & 1 at WSU 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−6.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−22.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:32WSU 4th & 12 at NEV 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−3.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:25NEV 4th & 7 at WSU 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−5.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:42WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:32NEV 4th & 6 at WSU 25, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:18NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:59NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:15WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:15NEV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5837% → 38%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
36.9%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 9 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+15
37.0%
Cody Fajardo run for no gain to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
37.4%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
37.5%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Kendall Brock for 2 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
37.6%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
37.5%
Cody Fajardo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+14
37.5%
Alex Boy punt for 49 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for 14 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:3662% → 61%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
37.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 13 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+19
37.7%
Connor Halliday run for 4 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
37.6%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
37.7%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
37.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
37.8%
Connor Halliday sacked by Jordan Dobrich for a loss of 15 yards to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 25
OPP 44
+9
38.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-5
38.7%
Connor Halliday sacked by Duran Workman for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 21
OPP 40
0
39.0%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Richy Turner at the Nevad 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5239% → 39%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
39.1%
Don Jackson run for no gain to the Nevad 14Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
39.2%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
38.9%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
38.8%
Alex Boy punt for 42 yds, downed at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:2261% → 61%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
38.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Calvin Green for 3 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
38.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+9
39.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
38.9%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
39.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5DOWNS
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:2540% → 40%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
40.3%
Cody Fajardo run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+4
40.3%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+8
40.2%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 8 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6INT
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:4060% → 60%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
39.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
39.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 7
50
+45
39.9%
Connor Halliday pass intercepted Kendall Johnson return for 45 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1243% → 48%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
42.9%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+8
43.2%
Don Jackson run for 8 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
42.9%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.9%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0254% → 52%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
46.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 8 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-4
45.7%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
47.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
48.0%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 51 yds , Richy Turner returns for no gain to the Nevad 30 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Nevad 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 3:3147% → 61%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
47.2%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
48.0%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
48.3%
Cody Fajardo run for 5 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
48.8%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
49.1%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 4 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+55
49.6%
Cody Fajardo run for 55 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
51.8%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to James Butler for 5 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
52.1%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Matt MoenSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+1
52.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
53.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.7%
James Butler run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.3%
James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:1941% → 42%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
59.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 17 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
58.5%
NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+1
57.6%
Connor Halliday pass intercepted Duran Workman return for 1 yd to the Nevad 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1162% → 62%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
62.0%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
62.4%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 7 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
62.7%
Cody Fajardo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
63.4%
Cody Fajardo run for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
62.8%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
62.1%
Brayden Sanchez punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:3238% → 50%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
61.6%
NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+11
61.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
61.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+19
61.0%
Theron West run for 19 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
60.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
50.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5055% → 54%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
55.1%
Don Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
55.7%
Cody Fajardo run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
54.9%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Jarred GipsonSimilar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+7
53.8%
Alex Boy punt for 51 yds , Rickey Galvin returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 3:4145% → 50%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
55.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 15 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
54.4%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+9
55.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 9 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
54.5%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 2 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
54.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 12 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
53.1%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
53.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+17
55.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 17 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
52.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 10 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
52.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
51.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 8Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.5%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
50.1%
Erik Powell 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:4053% → 53%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
52.9%
Cody Fajardo run for 9 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
54.3%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
53.7%
Cody Fajardo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-1
54.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-1
53.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:5048% → 47%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
52.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 10 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
50.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-4
52.8%
Connor Halliday sacked by Ian Seau for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+17
53.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 17 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+32
50.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 32 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
48.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
49.8%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+9
50.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
50.3%
Connor Halliday pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
53.5%
Erik Powell 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2354% → 56%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.4%
Don Jackson run for no gain to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
57.6%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
56.6%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 5 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
56.3%
Alex Boy punt for 57 yds, downed at the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4343% → 40%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
57.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 1 yd to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
57.9%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
59.0%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
60.2%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 44 yds, downed at the Nevad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5360% → 60%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
60.4%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-15
62.8%
NEVADA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+13
59.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 13 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
61.4%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Jarred GipsonSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
59.5%
Brayden Sanchez punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:5642% → 39%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
58.2%
Connor Halliday sacked by Lenny Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+15
59.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 15 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
56.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Drew Loftus for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
55.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
50
+2
54.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
54.7%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+21
54.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 21 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
53.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+1
55.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 19
OPP 27
0
56.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Vince MayleSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 19
OPP 27
+6
58.8%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
61.2%
Erik Powell 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 5:2064% → 88%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
63.6%
Don Jackson run for 18 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
65.5%
Cody Fajardo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
65.3%
Cody Fajardo run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+22
63.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 22 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
70.0%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
70.1%
Don Jackson run for 7 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
70.3%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
72.7%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+10
72.9%
Cody Fajardo run for 10 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
73.2%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
73.8%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-5
72.2%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+9
72.3%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Don Jackson for 9 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
70.7%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.3%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:0814% → 16%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
85.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Rickey Galvin for 7 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+19
85.4%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 19 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
84.1%
Theron West run for 7 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+8
85.3%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 8 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
85.5%
Theron West run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
85.4%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-5
86.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 21Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
87.3%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
84.3%
Quentin Breshears 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:0088% → 94%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Richy TurnerSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.3%
Cody Fajardo run for 13 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
88.8%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
89.6%
Cody Fajardo run for 5 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
89.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 5 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.7%
James Butler run for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
91.2%
Cody Fajardo run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+21
91.3%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 21 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
92.5%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
93.8%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-4
94.2%
Richy Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
93.6%
Brent Zuzo 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:187% → 7%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
92.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Theron West for 7 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Isiah MyersSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
92.6%
Connor Halliday pass incomplete to Rickey GalvinSimilar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+2
93.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 18 yds · 2:5896% → 98%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
95.5%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
96.1%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
96.7%
Cody Fajardo run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+5
96.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
97.0%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
97.4%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-2
97.5%
Don Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
97.9%
Cody Fajardo run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 66 yds · 0:272% → 4%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.6%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Connor Halliday run for no gain to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.5%
NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
50
+24
97.1%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Isiah Myers for 24 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
96.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.2%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:15
Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q2 7:15
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 10:59
James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com