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MONT

Montana 12 at Wyoming 17

WYO
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadMONT aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreMONT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Home team on offense+24.2Pregame prior+0.1Garbage-time factor+16.9Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Blowout margin−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:10: Shaun Wick run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +17.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: D.J. May run for 58 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +11.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:20: Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mike Ralston for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Johnson failed ) — MONT win probability +21.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:20: Daniel Sullivan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — WYO win probability +9.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MONT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:20: Shaun Wick run for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST down — WYO win probability +11.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MONT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00MONT 4th & 3 at MONT 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17WYO 4th & 16 at MONT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:17MONT 4th & 8 at MONT 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:28WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:39MONT 4th & 10 at MONT 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:39WYO 4th & 16 at WYO 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:29MONT 4th & 11 at MONT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:05MONT 4th & 9 at MONT 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:27MONT 4th & 9 at MONT 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:46WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:13MONT 4th & 8 at WYO 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:10MONT 4th & 4 at MONT 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MONT 4th & 4 at WYO 37, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:28WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 15, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:42MONT 4th & 1 at WYO 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−2.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:16WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:28MONT 4th & 9 at MONT 20, down 5
    Close callPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:39WYO 4th & 15 at MONT 15, up 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 5:10WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:11WYO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MONTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 12 yds to the Mont 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon VanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 4 yds to the Mont 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+3
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 3 yds to the Mont 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
60.8%
Stephen Shaw punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:5961% → 61%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
60.8%
Shaun Wick run for 14 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
60.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
60.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to J.D. Krill for 10 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.9%
Tanner Gentry run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
60.9%
Shaun Wick run for 7 yds to the Mont 47Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+8
61.0%
Shaun Wick run for 8 yds to the Mont 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
61.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 11 yds to the Mont 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
61.1%
D.J. May run for 10 yds to the Mont 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
61.1%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Tonga Takai for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 19Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
61.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 11
OPP 19
-5
61.0%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Zack Wagenmann for a loss of 5 yards to the Mont 24Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+41
61.1%
Stuart Williams 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.7%
Jordan Canada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mont 23Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
61.7%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mitch Saylor for 4 yds to the Mont 27Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
61.9%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon VanSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
62.2%
Stephen Shaw punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:4262% → 63%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
61.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
61.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 4 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
61.9%
D.J. May run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
62.2%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
62.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 3
50
+5
62.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 5 yds to the Mont 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
62.5%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Mont 43Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
62.4%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Mont 41Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+9
62.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 9 yds to the Mont 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
62.7%
D.J. May run for 6 yds to the Mont 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-10
63.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Tyrone Holmes for a loss of 10 yards to the Mont 36 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, recovered by Mont Trevor Rehm , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2539% → 45%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
61.4%
Travon Van run for 7 yds to the Mont 43Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
60.6%
Travon Van run for 5 yds to the Mont 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
61.0%
Jordan Canada run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+10
61.0%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ellis Henderson for 10 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
60.8%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
61.2%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ellis Henderson for 12 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
55.3%
Ryan Burke pass complete to Joshua Janssen for 26 yds for a TD, (Harrison Greenberg MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic Rufran, broken up by Zack WagenmannSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.2%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
57.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
57.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 57 yds, downed at the Mont 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:4343% → 41%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
57.4%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon VanSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
57.6%
Jordan Canada run for 1 yd to the Mont 17Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+9
58.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mont 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
57.4%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Sonny PuletasiSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
57.4%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Mitch Saylor, broken up by Chase ApplebySimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
58.1%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+8
58.8%
Stephen Shaw punt for 55 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
58.3%
D.J. May run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
57.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+12
57.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 12 yds D.J. May fumbled, forced by Matt Hermanson, recovered by Wyom D.J. May for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
59.0%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
60.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-9
58.3%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Zack Wagenmann for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+1
56.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds , John Nguyen returns for 1 yd to the Mont 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
55.1%
Travon Van run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 30Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
55.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for no gain to the Mont 30Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
56.5%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon Van, broken up by Jesse SampsonSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
57.4%
Stephen Shaw punt blocked by Eric Nzeocha blocked by Eric Nzeocha N/A return for no gain to the Mont 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
59.9%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Mont 5Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
59.9%
D.J. May run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 6Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
58.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted, touchback. Jeremiah Kose return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0446% → 46%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.3%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Ellis HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
54.8%
Jordan Johnson run for 8 yds to the Mont 28Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
53.6%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mike Ralston for 3 yds to the Mont 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
53.4%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mitch Saylor for 16 yds to the Mont 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
51.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 1 yd to the Mont 48Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
51.9%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
52.5%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon Van, broken up by Mark NzeochaSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
54.3%
Stephen Shaw punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen Claiborne at the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
53.1%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
53.4%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
54.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
51.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Joshua DennardSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
51.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 45 yds, fair catch by John Nguyen at the Mont 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
50.8%
Jordan Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 27Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-3
51.3%
Travon Van run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mont 24Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+5
52.7%
Travon Van run for 5 yds to the Mont 29Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+8
53.5%
Stephen Shaw punt for 53 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4152% → 48%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
51.8%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-6
50.0%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Tonga Takai for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+10
47.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 10 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
48.4%
Ethan Wood punt, downed at the Mont 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
45.3%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 24 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
44.1%
Jordan Canada run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
44.3%
Travon Van run for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
44.7%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Mark NzeochaSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-6
46.6%
Jordan Johnson sacked by Mark Nzeocha for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:1352% → 73%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
52.3%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
52.6%
KIRKEGAARD, C. pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY UM pass interference (Nate Harris) 15 yards to the UM40, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
53.6%
Colby Kirkegaard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mont 42Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+14
51.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 14 yds to the Mont 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
55.0%
Shaun Wick run for 18 yds to the Mont 10 for a 1ST down MONTANA Penalty, personal foul (Matt Hermanson) to the Mont 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.8%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
66.4%
Jordan Canada run for 3 yds to the Mont 24Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
66.3%
Jordan Canada run for 3 yds to the Mont 27Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
66.5%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to John NguyenSimilar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+9
68.6%
Stephen Shaw punt for 48 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 1:2370% → 84%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
70.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 6 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
72.4%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+58
84.3%
D.J. May run for 58 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:1117% → 18%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
83.5%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon VanSimilar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
83.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burke for 7 yds to the Mont 29Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
82.9%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Jordan Canada for 5 yds to the Mont 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
82.2%
Travon Van run for 10 yds to the Mont 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
81.0%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 13 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
80.5%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Blair BurnsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
80.8%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Jamaal Jones for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+6
81.5%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ellis Henderson for 6 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
82.2%
Stephen Shaw punt for 30 yds, fair catch by D.J. May at the Wyom 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
85.8%
WICK, Shaun rush for 5 yards to the WY12 (K. Van Ackeren), PENALTY WY illegal formation 4 yards to the WY3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 14
OWN 3
0
85.8%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+12
85.6%
Shaun Wick run for 12 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
85.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Shaun WickSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
84.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mont 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:2216% → 40%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
84.3%
MONTANA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Mont 38Similar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
86.4%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon VanSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+11
86.7%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Jamaal Jones for 11 yds to the Mont 49Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
84.0%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 5 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
83.2%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Jamaal Jones for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
82.7%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Eric Johnson for 4 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
83.0%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon Van, broken up by Jesse SampsonSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+4
84.7%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Travon Van for 4 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
81.9%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+15
81.9%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ellis Henderson for 15 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
60.2%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mike Ralston for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Johnson failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:0481% → 86%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
80.6%
Shaun Wick run for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
83.1%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
85.7%
D.J. May run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+2
86.7%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
86.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds , John Nguyen returns for 5 yds to the Mont 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
82.7%
Travon Van run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mont 15Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
83.3%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Mitch SaylorSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+5
84.3%
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Ellis Henderson for 5 yds to the Mont 20Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
85.0%
Stephen Shaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dominic Rufran at the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:4289% → 95%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
88.6%
Shaun Wick run for 19 yds to the Mont 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
89.7%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Mont 39Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
89.8%
D.J. May run for 6 yds to the Mont 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
90.3%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Mont 28Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
90.3%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Mont 27Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+18
89.6%
Brian Hill run for 18 yds to the Mont 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.3%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Mont 9Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Colby Kirkegaard run for no gain to the Mont 9Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
96.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Kendrick Van Ackeren for a loss of 6 yards to the Mont 15Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
-1
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
91.1%
Jordan Johnson pass incomplete to Travon Van, broken up by Mark NzeochaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:20
Jordan Johnson pass complete to Mike Ralston for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Johnson failed )
-21.7
TD · Q3 5:10
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
+17.8
TD · Q3 2:11
D.J. May run for 58 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com