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UNLV

UNLV 13 at Arizona 58

ARIZ
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2014 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:12 · Blake Decker run for no gain to the Ariz 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+39.1Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.6Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:13: Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 63 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:50: Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:40: Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 92 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:14: Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:48: Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:48UNLV 4th & 17 at ARIZ 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12UNLV 4th & 1 at ARIZ 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:30ARIZ 4th & 7 at UNLV 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:18UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:57UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:22UNLV 4th & 18 at ARIZ 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:44ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:43UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:52ARIZ 4th & 8 at UNLV 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:08UNLV 4th & 19 at ARIZ 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:18ARIZ 4th & 1 at UNLV 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:57UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:33ARIZ 4th & 4 at midfield, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:30UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 15, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:36ARIZ 4th & 12 at UNLV 32, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:56UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 29, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:38ARIZ 4th & 10 at UNLV 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:36UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 37, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:06ARIZ 4th & 1 at UNLV 29, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:54ARIZ 4th & 3 at UNLV 19, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:40ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:13ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:40ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:14UNLV Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:48ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:43ARIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:18ARIZ Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:077% → 8%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Marcus Sullivan run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
92.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q1 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
92.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 6 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
92.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 13 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
92.4%
Marcus Sullivan run for 10 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
92.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-7
92.3%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 17
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan AllenSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:4992% → 92%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
92.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+15
92.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 15 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
92.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 13 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
92.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Jacob Alsadek) to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
91.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+3
91.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
91.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:219% → 10%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.5%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
91.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 10 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
91.2%
Blake Decker run for 6 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
91.0%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
90.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 16 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
90.5%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
90.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Jonathan McKnightSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
90.3%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
90.3%
Blake Decker run for no gain to the Ariz 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:3091% → 90%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
90.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 6 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
90.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+12
90.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Terris Jones-Grigsby for 12 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
90.6%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 25 yds to the UNLV 24 Terris Jones-Grigsby fumbled, forced by Jordan Sparkman, recovered by Ariz Anu Solomon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
90.6%
Adonis Smith run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
90.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
90.1%
Casey Skowron 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:5910% → 11%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
89.8%
George Naufahu run for 4 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-10
89.8%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrew Oberg) to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+8
89.7%
Blake Decker run for 8 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+8
89.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
89.2%
George Naufahu run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
88.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to George Naufahu for no gain to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete, broken up by Dan PettinatoSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
88.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 60 yds, downed at the Ariz 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
3 plays · 96 yds · 0:2989% → 91%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+41
88.8%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 41 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
89.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 16 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
90.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 39 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3710% → 9%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Marcus Sullivan, broken up by William ParksSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Marcus Sullivan for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
90.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+7
90.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 46 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for 7 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:3390% → 92%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
90.4%
Anu Solomon run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
90.6%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Blair TushausSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+63
92.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 63 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:388% → 9%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.0%
Blake Decker run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+52
91.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 52 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-6
91.3%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 22 Keith Whitely fumbled, forced by Jourdon Grandon, recovered by UNLV Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 16
OPP 22
0
91.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Marcus SullivanSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 16
OPP 22
+5
91.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-7
91.5%
Blake Decker sacked by Scooby Wright III for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 18
OPP 24
+41
90.8%
Jonathan Leiva 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:2191% → 91%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
91.0%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 8 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+14
91.1%
Anu Solomon run for 14 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
91.3%
Adonis Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
91.3%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb Jones, broken up by Kenneth PennySimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
90.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Terris Jones-GrigsbySimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Drew Riggleman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5010% → 9%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
90.4%
George Naufahu run for 8 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
90.0%
George Naufahu run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
90.4%
George Naufahu run for 1 yd to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
90.6%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 2:4291% → 92%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
90.7%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+16
90.7%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 16 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
90.8%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+15
90.4%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete to Neal, DaVonte', PENALTY UNLV pass interference (Richmond, Blake) 15 yards to the UNLV43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
91.1%
Anu Solomon sacked by Siuea Vaesau for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+31
90.7%
Anu Solomon run for 31 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
91.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 6 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
91.0%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 1 yd to the UNLV 6Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
90.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Mickey Baucus) to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
90.7%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
91.9%
Casey Skowron 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:368% → 9%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
91.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 24 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
91.2%
George Naufahu run for 2 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+27
91.1%
Blake Decker run for 27 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.5%
George Naufahu run for 1 yd to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-5
90.5%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (Brett Boyko) to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 14
OPP 26
0
91.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to George NaufahuSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 14
OPP 26
-5
91.4%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (Andrew Oberg) to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 19
OPP 31
0
91.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete, broken up by William ParksSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+48
91.4%
Nicolai Bornand 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:1591% → 95%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.2%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Austin HillSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
91.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 14 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
91.7%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-9
92.0%
Anu Solomon sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+16
91.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 16 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
92.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+22
92.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 22 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:456% → 8%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
93.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 4 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
93.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 10 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
93.3%
Blake Decker run for 8 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+15
93.1%
Decker, Blake pass incomplete to Sullivan, Marcus, PENALTY ARIZONA pass interference (McKnight, Jonathan) 15 yards to the ARIZONA26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNLV. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+43
92.5%
Jonathan Leiva 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
98.1%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 92 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:193% → 7%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 10 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
97.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devante Davis for 26 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
97.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+22
97.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 22 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1996% → 99%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Adonis Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
95.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 9 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.1%
Anu Solomon run for 6 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+16
96.2%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 16 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
96.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
96.3%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for no gain to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
96.1%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
96.5%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nate Phillips for 17 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
96.5%
Solomon, Anu pass incomplete to Jones, Cayleb, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (Penny, Kenneth) 9 yards to the UNLV2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Terris Jones-Grigsby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:412% → 2%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.4%
Blake Decker run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 43 yds , DaVonte' Neal returns for 3 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Anu Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
98.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Trey Griffey for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
98.9%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.1%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
50
0
99.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
50
0
99.1%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Cayleb JonesSimilar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 4
50
0
99.1%
Anu Solomon punt for 32 yds, downed at the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:481% → 2%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.6%
Marcus Sullivan run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante Davis, broken up by Jared TevisSimilar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 8
OWN 20
-5
98.4%
UNLV Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
98.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DaVonte' Neal at the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:4599% → 100%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.2%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Samajie Grant for 9 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
99.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.3%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
99.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
99.3%
Anu Solomon pass complete to David Richards for 6 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.4%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Nate Phillips, broken up by Mike HorseySimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+6
99.4%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Nick Wilson for 6 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-10
99.3%
Wilson, Nick rush for 7 yards to the UNLV15, PENALTY ARIZONA holding (Alsadek, Jacob) 10 yards to the UNLV32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+49
99.8%
Casey Skowron 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Marcus Sullivan run for 5 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
George Naufahu run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 61 yds , Samajie Grant returns for 5 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
99.8%
Nick Wilson run for 85 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devante Davis, broken up by Jamar AllahSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+18
99.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Maika Mataele for 18 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.8%
Blake Decker pass intercepted William Parks return for 14 yds to the ARIZONA 37 UNLV Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Andrew Oberg) to the UNLV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Anu Solomon run for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
99.8%
Anu Solomon pass complete to Cayleb Jones for 15 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Anu Solomon pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Casey Skowron 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Blake Decker run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Blake Decker run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 3 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 44 yds , Samajie Grant returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28TD
20 plays · 77 yds · 9:12100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jesse Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Jared Baker run for 7 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Jared Baker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Jesse Scroggins run for 9 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Jared Baker run for 4 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Jesse Scroggins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Jared Baker run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Jesse Scroggins pass complete to David Richards for 9 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Jared Baker run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Zach Green run for 7 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Jerrard Randall run for no gain to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
100.0%
Jerrard Randall run for 6 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+11
100.0%
Jerrard Randall run for 11 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
Jared Baker run for 3 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Connor Brewer run for 3 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
David Greene run for 9 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
David Greene run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:14
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Leiva KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q3 14:40
Anu Solomon pass complete to Austin Hill for 92 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 0:50
Anu Solomon pass complete to DaVonte' Neal for 13 yds for a TD, (Casey Skowron KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com