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SUU

Southern Utah 19 at Nevada 28

NEV
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:30 · Tate Lewis punt for 52 yds , Richy Turner returns for no gain to the Nevad 13 Richy Turner fumbled, recovered by SoUth LeShaun Sims
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+31.2Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:46: James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +4.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:19: Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +6.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:32: Raysean Pringle run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Mcgirr MISSED) — SUU win probability +6.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:22: Cody Fajardo pass complete to Patrick Clifford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:16: Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 39 yds for a TD, (Keita Calhoun KICK) — SUU win probability +3.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SUU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 3 at SUU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:47SUU 4th & 5 at SUU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:32NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:03SUU 4th & 3 at SUU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:28NEV 4th & 1 at SUU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:14SUU 4th & 1 at SUU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:46NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:30SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:10SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:11NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:33SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:01NEV 4th & 12 at NEV 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:45SUU 4th & 4 at SUU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00SUU 4th & 5 at SUU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:16SUU 4th & 21 at NEV 37, down 15
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:16NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:56SUU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 15
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SUU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 4:46NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:19NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:22NEV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:47NEV Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:16SUU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.0%
Cody Fajardo run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
88.0%
Don Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
88.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 11 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
88.0%
Cody Fajardo run for 1 yd to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
88.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 6 yds to the SoUth 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan Henderson, broken up by LeShaun SimsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Alex Boy punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
87.3%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 6 yds to the SoUth 20Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
87.3%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chandler Allphin for 6 yds to the SoUth 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
87.3%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chandler Allphin for 5 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
87.3%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan HansonSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
87.3%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Justin BrownSimilar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+2
87.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 51 yds , Richy Turner returns for 2 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 3 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
86.9%
Don Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
86.9%
Alex Boy punt for 49 yds , Brady Measom returns for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.5%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Naia Ursua for 7 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
86.3%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Naia Ursua for 8 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
86.3%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (Trever McFalls) to the SoUth 35Similar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+9
86.5%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Ammon Olsen for 9 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
86.3%
Malik Brown run for 3 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
86.3%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Nigel HaikinsSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
86.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 46 yds, downed at the Nevad 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
85.9%
Don Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+2
86.0%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+6
85.8%
Cody Fajardo run for 6 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
86.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 20 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
86.3%
Cody Fajardo sacked by James Cowser for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+9
86.1%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
86.2%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Don Jackson for 2 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
86.1%
Alex Boy punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
84.6%
Malik Brown run for 1 yd to the SoUth 37Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
84.6%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 6 yds to the SoUth 43Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
84.4%
Malik Brown run for 2 yds to the SoUth 45Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
84.6%
Tate Lewis punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Richy Turner at the Nevad 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
84.3%
JACKSON, Don rush for 2 yards to the NEV12 (James Cowser;Josh Kariya), PENALTY NEV holding (TALBOTT, Connor) 5 yards to the NEV5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+14
84.3%
Don Jackson run for 14 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
84.4%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 10 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
84.4%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 6 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
84.7%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.6%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
84.7%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Miles KillebrewSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
84.4%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+35
84.1%
Alex Boy punt for 35 yds , Brady Measom returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
83.1%
Malik Brown run for 2 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-2
83.1%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Malik Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 23Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
83.4%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete, broken up by Ian SeauSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
83.7%
Tate Lewis punt for 52 yds , Richy Turner returns for no gain to the Nevad 13 Richy Turner fumbled, recovered by SoUth LeShaun SimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
81.4%
Ammon Olsen pass intercepted Nigel Haikins return for 8 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0983% → 83%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
83.1%
Cody Fajardo run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
83.0%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+10
82.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Patrick Clifford for 10 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
83.2%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
83.7%
Cody Fajardo run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
83.9%
Cody Fajardo run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
83.8%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete, broken up by Chance BearnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
-5
83.4%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (N/A) to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
82.9%
Brayden Sanchez punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.2%
Ammon Olsen run for 5 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
81.0%
Ammon Olsen run for 13 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
80.7%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Raysean Pringle for 4 yds to the SoUth 42Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
80.3%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Chandler Allphin, broken up by Ian SeauSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
80.7%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Brock Hekking and Dupree Roberts-Jordan for a loss of 5 yards to the SoUth 37Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
81.8%
Tate Lewis punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
81.2%
Don Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
81.2%
Don Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
81.0%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Nevad 24Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+12
80.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 12 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.6%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Richy TurnerSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
81.5%
Don Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
81.2%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
80.7%
Alex Boy punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.1%
Mike Sharp pass incomplete to Chandler AllphinSimilar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.3%
Raysean Pringle run for 2 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
78.8%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete, broken up by Rykeem YatesSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+27
79.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 53 yds , Richy Turner returns for 27 yds to the SoUth 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:5981% → 86%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
81.3%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 17 yds to the SoUth 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
81.7%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
81.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 4 yds to the SoUth 24Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
81.1%
Don Jackson run for 6 yds to the SoUth 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
81.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 17 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.3%
James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:2916% → 16%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
84.4%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Mitch Jessop for 6 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
83.9%
Malik Brown run for 1 yd to the SoUth 31Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+26
83.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chandler Allphin for 26 yds Chandler Allphin fumbled, forced by Duran Workman, recovered by Nevad Nigel HaikinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0586% → 83%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
85.7%
Cody Fajardo sacked by Robert Torgerson for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 36Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 18
OWN 36
0
84.6%
James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 36Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+6
84.0%
Don Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 12
OWN 42
+4
83.0%
Alex Boy punt for 51 yds , Brady Measom returns for 4 yds to the SoUth 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 1:0416% → 15%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
83.6%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Malik Brown for 13 yds to the SoUth 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
83.5%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
82.9%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Mitch JessopSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+7
83.4%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 7 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.8%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Justin BrownSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.1%
Malik Brown run for 3 yds to the SoUth 40Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
83.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SoUth 35Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+8
84.7%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Malik Brown for 8 yds to the SoUth 43Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
85.0%
Tate Lewis punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.6%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 6 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
83.0%
Malik Brown run for 9 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.7%
Aaron Cantu run for 5 yds to the SoUth 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
82.1%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Charles GarrettSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
82.4%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Chandler Allphin, broken up by Jonathan McNealSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
83.8%
Tate Lewis punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Richy Turner at the Nevad 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:1684% → 92%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
84.0%
Don Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
84.1%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+12
83.5%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 12 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
84.3%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 13 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
85.5%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 14 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
85.6%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 5 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
85.7%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+15
85.2%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 15 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
85.7%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 9 yds to the SoUth 11Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
85.7%
Cody Fajardo run for 3 yds to the SoUth 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
85.7%
Don Jackson run for 6 yds to the SoUth 2Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.1%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:479% → 16%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.6%
Aaron Cantu run for 4 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
84.5%
Raysean Pringle run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Mcgirr MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:5986% → 95%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
85.9%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 21 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
87.2%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 2
50
+8
87.4%
Don Jackson run for 8 yds to the SoUth 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
87.5%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 3 yds to the SoUth 39Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
87.4%
Don Jackson run for no gain to the SoUth 39Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+20
86.9%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 20 yds to the SoUth 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
87.7%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the SoUth 18Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
87.7%
Don Jackson run for 5 yds to the SoUth 13Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
87.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 5 yds to the SoUth 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
87.7%
Don Jackson run for 3 yds to the SoUth 5Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
87.7%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the SoUth 1Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.0%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Patrick Clifford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 0:068% → 7%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin BrownSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.3%
Ammon Olsen run for 13 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
92.6%
Raysean Pringle run for 11 yds to the SoUth 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
92.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Raysean Pringle for 12 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
92.2%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Chandler Allphin for 6 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+7
91.4%
Ammon Olsen run for 7 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
91.4%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Charles GarrettSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-3
91.7%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Chris Robinson for 7 yds to the Nevad 19 SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Mike Sharp) to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-1
92.1%
Ammon Olsen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 14
OPP 30
-7
93.0%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Brock Hekking and Jordan Hanson for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 37Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 21
OPP 37
0
93.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:2796% → 99%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.7%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Richy TurnerSimilar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+20
95.6%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 20 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.8%
James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.8%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 5 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
95.9%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+18
96.1%
Cody Fajardo run for 18 yds to the SoUth 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
96.2%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
96.2%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to James Butler for 7 yds to the SoUth 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+12
96.1%
Don Jackson run for 12 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.2%
Cody Fajardo run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 1:251% → 5%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
99.0%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 18 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chandler Allphin for 8 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
98.9%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Naia Ursua, PENALTY NEV pass interference (GARRETT, C.) 4 yards to the SUU48, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Malik Brown for 1 yd to the SoUth 49Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Mitch Jessop, broken up by Charles GarrettSimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+12
98.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Malik Brown for 12 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
95.4%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Chris Robinson for 39 yds for a TD, (Keita Calhoun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
96.6%
Cody Fajardo sacked by James Cowser for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
96.5%
Don Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
96.6%
Cody Fajardo pass incomplete to Jarred Gipson, broken up by Myles CarelockSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Alex Boy punt for 44 yds, downed at the SoUth 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
95.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Raysean Pringle for 2 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
95.9%
Raysean Pringle run for 6 yds to the SoUth 40Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
95.9%
Aaron Cantu pass complete to Justin Brown for 5 yds to the SoUth 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Aaron Cantu pass incomplete to Mitch JessopSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
95.9%
Raysean Pringle run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 5
50
0
95.9%
Aaron Cantu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 5
50
0
95.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 49 yds, downed at the Nevad 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 28INT TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 5:0597% → 97%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
96.9%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+8
96.9%
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Richy Turner for 8 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+18
96.9%
Cody Fajardo run for 18 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
97.1%
Nate McLaurin run for 15 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.3%
Nate McLaurin run for 5 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
97.3%
Nate McLaurin run for 8 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.3%
Cody Fajardo run for 6 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
97.3%
Nate McLaurin run for 3 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
97.3%
Cody Fajardo run for 5 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+85
96.7%
Cody Fajardo pass intercepted for a TD Miles Killebrew return for 85 yds for a TD, (Malik Brown failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
96.4%
Nate McLaurin run for 6 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
96.5%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the SoUth 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:22
Cody Fajardo pass complete to Patrick Clifford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q3 9:19
Don Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q3 8:32
Raysean Pringle run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Mcgirr MISSED)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com