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NIU

Northern Illinois 31 at Western Michigan 21

WMU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGSAFETYFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:07 · Zach Terrell run for no gain to the NoIll 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+8.4Home team on offense+13.8Garbage-time factor+5.8Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +1.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:02: Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED) — WMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 13:29: Andrew Haldeman 44 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +3.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:07: Akeem Daniels run for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +14.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 11:37: Drew Hare run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +25.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:38NIU 4th & 3 at WMU 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−0.1
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15WMU 4th & 3 at NIU 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:48NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29WMU 4th & 11 at NIU 27, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 44, down 12
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11NIU 4th & 5 at WMU 11, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:34NIU 4th & 4 at WMU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:07WMU 4th & 1 at NIU 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−2.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−8.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:06NIU 4th & 12 at WMU 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−1.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:13WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:10NIU 4th & 7 at WMU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−20.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:48NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:33WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:02WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:07NIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:37NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:46NIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
72.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 65 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0328% → 28%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
72.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 6 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+1
72.0%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
71.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
71.7%
Tyler Wedel punt for 15 yds, downed at the WMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:2372% → 70%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
71.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
71.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
71.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
71.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
71.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+19
70.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 19 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
70.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
70.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+12
70.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
69.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 18Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
69.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 6 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
69.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
70.0%
Andrew Haldeman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2730% → 30%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
69.6%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
69.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 8 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
69.3%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
69.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
69.6%
Tyler Wedel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:1569% → 72%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+19
69.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 19 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
69.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+27
69.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 27 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
70.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+2
69.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
71.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:3829% → 30%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
70.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nathan Braster) to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 5
OWN 36
-6
70.2%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 28 Drew Hare fumbled, recovered by WMich Andre TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:5372% → 75%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
72.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
71.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
71.9%
Terrell, Zach pass incomplete to Roberts, Kendrick, PENALTY NORTHERNIL pass interference (Smalls, Albert) 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
72.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 2Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3175% → 78%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
74.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-3
74.8%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 27 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by WMich Zach TerrellSimilar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
74.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
77.8%
Andrew Haldeman 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1324% → 23%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.2%
Drew Hare run for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
75.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
75.1%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
76.6%
Tyler Wedel punt for 45 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 5 yds to the WMich 16 Daniel Braverman fumbled, recovered by NoIll Brandon MayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0525% → 24%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
75.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
75.1%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
75.6%
Da'Ron Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
76.2%
Christian Hagan 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11FUMBLE
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:2579% → 82%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
79.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
79.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
79.5%
Zach Terrell sacked by Ben Compton for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+11
79.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 11 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+10
79.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
80.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 15 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
84.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+23
83.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 23 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
81.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 2 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Corey Thomas, recovered by NoIll Dechane DuranteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
80.9%
Hare, Drew pass incomplete to Brown, Da'Ron, PENALTY NORTHERNIL illegal cut to the NORTHERNIL0, NO PLAY, TEAM SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2583% → 84%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
83.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 15
OWN 18
-1
83.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+8
83.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 8 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+13
83.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
85.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
85.0%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
84.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
84.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 24 yds, downed at the NoIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:3419% → 22%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+39
81.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 39 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
78.4%
Akeem Daniels run for 6 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
78.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
79.1%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
78.4%
Christian Hagan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 7:5381% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
81.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+16
81.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
82.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
82.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
83.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
82.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
83.6%
Dareyon Chance run for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
83.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
83.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
84.3%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
84.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
84.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
84.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 10Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
83.6%
Zach Terrell run for no gain to the NoIll 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:0017% → 35%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
83.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 5 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
83.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+13
84.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 13 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+41
82.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 41 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
79.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
79.6%
Akeem Daniels run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
65.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3273% → 74%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
72.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Procedure (5 Yards) to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
73.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
73.3%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
74.0%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Albert Smalls return for no gain to the WMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2934% → 29%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
66.1%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+1
68.3%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
69.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
71.5%
Tyler Wedel punt for 44 yds, downed at the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1973% → 70%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
72.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
72.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+1
70.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+13
70.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 53 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 13 yds to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1034% → 63%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
65.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 15 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
64.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
64.1%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+11
65.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Clayton Glasper for 11 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
63.4%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+12
63.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 12 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
63.1%
Cameron Stingily run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.2%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:2447% → 40%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
47.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+7
46.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 7 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+7
45.3%
Dareyon Chance run for 7 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-8
42.0%
Zach Terrell sacked by Perez Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 18 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by WMichSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
39.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:0365% → 70%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
34.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
32.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
32.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
32.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Akeem Daniels for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
31.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+24
30.0%
Drew Hare run for 24 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
27.4%
Akeem Daniels run for 3 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
24.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
25.5%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
29.7%
Christian Hagan 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:3138% → 32%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
38.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Dareyon Chance for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
37.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
35.2%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-13
38.2%
Zach Terrell sacked by William Lee for a loss of 13 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 23
OWN 18
+23
35.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 23 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
37.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Dareyon Chance for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
35.8%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-17
32.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Sean Folliard for a loss of 17 yards to the WMich 26 Zach Terrell fumbled, forced by Sean Folliard, recovered by NoIll Jason Meehan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:5389% → 96%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
10.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 15 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
8.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 7 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
7.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
4.3%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
4.3%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Dechane Durante return for 7 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:37
Drew Hare run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-25.9
TD · Q3 5:07
Akeem Daniels run for 21 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-14.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com