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BALL

Ball State 41 at Bowling Green 24

BGSU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:34 · Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds BOWLING GREEN Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+23.7Home team on offense+1.7Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:31: Ozzie Mann pass complete to Chris Shillings for 25 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +9.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 38%).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 16 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +14.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:42: Scott Secor 33 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +7.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:58: Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +18.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:32: Jahwan Edwards run for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +21.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:43BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:34BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:13BGSU 4th & 10 at BALL 34, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:45BGSU 4th & 12 at BALL 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:14BALL 4th & 2 at BGSU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:21BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:42BALL 4th & 6 at BGSU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−9.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:33BGSU 4th & 6 at BALL 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−11.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:28BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 3 at BALL 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−1.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−9.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:42BGSU 4th & 3 at BALL 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:42BGSU 4th & 7 at BALL 21, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:16BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:49BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:02BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 12:49BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 9:40BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:31BALL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:41BALL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:58BALL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:32BALL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
75.9%
Travis Greene run for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4124% → 25%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
75.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BalSt 35Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
75.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Bryan Thomas) to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
75.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+62
75.5%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 62 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
76.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
76.0%
Ozzie Mann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+5
76.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Kendall Montgomery) to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
76.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
76.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:3576% → 78%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+69
76.2%
Fred Coppet run for 69 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
76.5%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
76.5%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
76.4%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.1%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
77.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
77.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
77.5%
Ozzie Mann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+47
77.6%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds BOWLING GREEN Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
78.6%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 3
OWN 18
0
78.6%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+3
78.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.7%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
78.6%
Travis Greene run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
78.8%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
78.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
79.0%
Fred Coppet run for 20 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
79.0%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
79.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-3
78.9%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+5
78.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 5 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 8:2421% → 22%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
79.0%
Darian Green run for 9 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+1
78.7%
Darian Green run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
78.9%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Darian Green for 9 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
78.5%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
50
-3
78.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 47Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Nick JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+15
79.1%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 15 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
78.6%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
78.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+8
79.3%
Ozzie Mann run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 18 Ozzie Mann fumbled, forced by Brian Sutton, recovered by BalSt Ozzie Mann for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
78.9%
EDWARDS, Jahwan rush for 10 yards to the BGSU8 (SUTTON, Brian), PENALTY BGSU offside defense off-setting, PENALTY BALL HL off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
78.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
78.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
78.9%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
79.5%
Ozzie Mann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
80.0%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
77.9%
Scott Secor 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 3:3679% → 80%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.4%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
79.3%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
79.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
80.1%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
80.2%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
79.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 7 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
80.3%
Travis Greene run for 9 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
80.3%
GREENE, Travis rush for 4 yards to the BALL34 (INGLE, Ben;CROMARTIE, D.), PENALTY BALL illegal participation 5 yards to the BALL33, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
80.3%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+1
80.3%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-6
79.9%
James Knapke sacked by Nick Miles for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+53
79.5%
Tyler Tate 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1421% → 30%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
79.2%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Darian Green for 29 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.2%
Ozzie Mann run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
77.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
78.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+3
79.6%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
69.8%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Chris Shillings for 25 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.5%
Ronnie Moore run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
73.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
72.6%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
71.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 78 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:5327% → 46%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.2%
Ozzie Mann run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
73.4%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
74.3%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.7%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
73.2%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
73.4%
MANN, Ozzie sacked for loss of 6 yards to the BALL27 (THOMAS, Bryan), PENALTY BGSU offside defense (MONTGOMERY, K.) 5 yards to the BALL38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+10
71.6%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 10 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
70.7%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 32 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
68.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
54.5%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 16 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
60.9%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
62.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 9 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
62.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:1142% → 50%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
58.2%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
58.0%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Darian Green for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+10
57.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
57.7%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
57.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
56.6%
MANN, Ozzie pass complete to SHILLINGS, C. for 8 yards to the BGSU12, out-of-bounds (SUTTON, Brian), PENALTY BALL pass interference (HOGUE, Jordan) 15 yards to the BGSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+18
57.3%
Jahwan Edwards run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
56.6%
Ozzie Mann run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
57.8%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue, broken up by Gabe MartinSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
50.3%
Scott Secor 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:0353% → 59%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
54.0%
Travis Greene run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
55.7%
GREENE, Travis rush for 21 yards to the BALL39, out-of-bounds (RYAN, Zack), PENALTY BGSU holding (HUETTEL, Alex) 10 yards to the BGSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+2
53.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+6
53.1%
James Knapke run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+38
52.5%
Travis Greene run for 38 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
58.9%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-2
58.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Fred Coppet for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
57.1%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
58.5%
Tyler Tate 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
54.0%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
54.0%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 7 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
52.9%
Darian Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
55.4%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
54.6%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-4
52.7%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
51.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:0950% → 73%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
49.9%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Dylan Curry for 8 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+36
48.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 36 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
45.8%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria, broken up by Kendall MontgomerySimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+17
46.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
45.8%
MANN, Ozzie pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jord., PENALTY BGSU pass interference (JOHNSON, Nick) 1 yards to the BGSU1, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:5231% → 32%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
31.1%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
31.8%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+42
29.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 42 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
36.7%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
36.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+8
33.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 8 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
32.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:5571% → 96%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.3%
Ozzie Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
29.9%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 6 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
29.5%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 14 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
26.9%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 7 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
26.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
27.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
26.5%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 21 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
25.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+8
25.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
4.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 2:506% → 4%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.3%
James Knapke run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
6.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
6.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
6.5%
Travis Greene run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
6.9%
Ronnie Moore run for 12 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
7.2%
James Knapke sacked by Osazuwamen Igbinosun for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
6.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+12
6.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 12 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+9
3.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
4.3%
Ronnie Moore run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
4.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 2 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-3
4.1%
Ronnie Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 21 Ronnie Moore fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 7
OPP 21
0
3.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
2.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 13 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
2.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 8 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-2
1.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+1
1.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
2.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
2.1%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:32
Jahwan Edwards run for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
-21.6
TD · Q3 0:58
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q2 0:41
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 16 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com