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OHIO

Ohio 24 at Miami (OH) 21

M-OH
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 25, 2014 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by David Frazier at the MiaOh 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:43: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +18.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:29: Kaleb Patterson kickoff for 49 yds , Kylan Nelson return for 84 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +17.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:30: Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 13 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +13.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:28: Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +24.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Josiah Yazdani 28 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +32.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45OHIO 4th & 17 at M-OH 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:58M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 3 at M-OH 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:42M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:29M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:51M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:07OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 41, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:03M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:47OHIO 4th & 1 at M-OH 25, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 9.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%−9.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−37.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:47M-OH 4th & 10 at OHIO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−3.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:54M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:42M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:43M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:29OHIO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:30OHIO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:28OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
46.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
46.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
46.6%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
46.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete, broken up by Jimmy RousherSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
46.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by David Frazier at the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:0247% → 51%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
47.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+13
47.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 13 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
47.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 13 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
47.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
47.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan ScottSimilar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+20
47.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 20 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
47.5%
Fred McRae run for 17 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.5%
Dawan Scott run for no gain to the Ohio 3Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 48 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
50.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
50.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+11
50.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 11 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
50.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+10
50.0%
Derrius Vick run for 10 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
49.8%
Robbie Walker run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
50
+6
49.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
49.6%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
49.6%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
49.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
49.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+3
49.4%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-9
49.7%
Derrius Vick sacked by Joe Donlan for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
50.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+24
54.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 24 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Fred McRaeSimilar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
54.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Fred McRaeSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
54.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
54.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
53.7%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Devin Bass at the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
53.7%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
54.1%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
54.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
54.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2456% → 55%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
56.0%
Dawan Scott run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+31
55.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 31 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
58.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
57.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-3
56.7%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jovon Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
55.2%
Christian Koch punt for 41 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for no gain to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:0544% → 36%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
56.4%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
56.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 8 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+27
63.7%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted for a TD Quinten Rollins return for 27 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.5%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
63.7%
Derrius Vick sacked by J'Terius Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
64.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 58 yds , David Frazier returns for no gain to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:1566% → 87%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
66.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 11 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
66.6%
Dawan Scott run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
66.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+13
65.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred McRae for 13 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
67.9%
Andrew Hendrix run for 11 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
68.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+25
68.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 25 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.8%
Dawan Scott run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
68.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
68.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Fred McRae MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
67.9%
Christian Koch punt for 29 yds, downed at the Ohio 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4130% → 28%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
69.8%
JD Sprague run for 11 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
68.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
67.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
67.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Kawmae Sawyer for 5 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
68.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+21
71.9%
JD Sprague pass intercepted Tony Reid return for 11 yds to the MiaOh 27 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Marshall Taylor) to the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
75.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 17 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
76.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
75.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
74.3%
Christian Koch punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ohio 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
77.0%
Fred McRae run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
77.3%
Andrew Hendrix run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
77.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
76.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete, broken up by Jovon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
75.5%
Christian Koch punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15INT
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:0023% → 27%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
76.6%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
75.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
75.9%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+15
76.5%
SPRAGUE, JD sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OHIO34 (JONES, J'Terius), PENALTY MU face mask (JONES, J'Terius) 15 yards to the MU46, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+39
74.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 39 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.4%
JD Sprague pass intercepted, touchback. Quinten Rollins return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
80.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+15
80.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 14 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kendric Smith , return for 15 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 2:1125% → 38%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
75.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
61.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 13 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
70.6%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Brett Layton for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
70.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
69.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 13 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Christian Koch punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
68.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 1 yd to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+10
68.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 10 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
67.7%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+11
68.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 11 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
66.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
68.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Fred McRae at the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-8
72.8%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jovon Johnson and Kurt Laseak for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 18
OWN 2
-1
71.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Alex Welch) to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 19
OWN 1
+4
71.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
70.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted Brett Layton return for no gain to the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:0332% → 58%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
68.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+21
68.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
65.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
65.3%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+8
68.2%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
65.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.9%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.1%
VICK, Derrius sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MU9 (WINTERS, M.), PENALTY MU face mask (JONES, J'Terius) 0 yards to the MU1, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
65.9%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Jake Pruehs) to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.9%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
41.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:1855% → 54%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
54.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 11 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
55.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
56.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+7
56.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
59.1%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+9
55.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
57.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
53.7%
Christian Koch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin Bass at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23MISSED FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:0551% → 59%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
48.6%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
46.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.1%
Derrius Vick run for 13 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
45.2%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
43.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
42.2%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete to COCHRAN, Chase, PENALTY MU pass interference (ROLLINS, Q.) 15 yards to the MU34, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
39.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
39.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
40.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+42
41.5%
Josiah Yazdani 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Fred McRaeSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
54.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
57.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 16 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
62.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
58.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
54.7%
Christian Koch punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:0852% → 95%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
48.1%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
47.9%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
47.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 18 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
41.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 38 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+28
4.6%
Josiah Yazdani 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Josiah Yazdani 28 yd FG GOOD
-32.1
TD · Q4 11:28
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
-24.3
TD · Q2 4:43
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com