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AKR

Akron 24 at Kent State 27

KENT
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:00: Nick Holley 24 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — KENT win probability +5.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:00: Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 19 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +14.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:52: Jawon Chisholm run for 41 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +19.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  4. TD · Q4 4:30: Jawon Chisholm run for 80 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +50.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:00: Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +50.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:39AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:54AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:26KENT 4th & 10 at AKR 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:26AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:56KENT 4th & 4 at AKR 29, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:56AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:50AKR 4th & 6 at KENT 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:04KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:44KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−5.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 9 at KENT 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:07KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:01AKR 4th & 19 at AKR 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−6.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:40KENT 4th & 1 at AKR 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−7.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−24.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:50KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:47AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:00KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:00KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:52AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:30AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:00KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−4.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:1033% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
32.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
32.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+38
32.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 38 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
32.9%
REARDON, Colin pass complete to CALHOUN, Ernest for 5 yards to the AKRON25, out-of-bounds (MIZELL, C.J.), PENALTY KENT illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+5
32.9%
AKRON Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
32.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 9 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+14
32.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 14 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
32.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
32.9%
Colin Reardon run for 6 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.5%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd for a TD AKRON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 1:5964% → 63%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
36.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 6 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+10
36.2%
Jawon Chisholm run for 10 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
36.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 16 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
35.9%
Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
37.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+7
37.7%
Jawon Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
37.5%
Zach Paul punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
38.4%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 14Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
38.3%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
38.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 10
OWN 14
-12
37.9%
TEAM punt (blocked by EVANS, Dylan), PENALTY KENT illegal kicking (MELCHIORI, A.) 12 yards to the KENT2, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.8%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:3737% → 43%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
36.4%
Anthony Meray run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
37.1%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
37.5%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
37.6%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+17
37.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 17 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
42.9%
Nick Holley 24 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
40.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 20
-10
40.5%
CHISHOLM, Jawon rush for 11 yards to the AKRON31 (ITALIANO, J.), PENALTY AKRON holding (BRUMBAUGH, D.) 10 yards to the AKRON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+8
40.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 8 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
41.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
41.5%
Zach Paul punt for 30 yds, downed at the Akron 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:2544% → 45%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
44.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 6 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
44.2%
Anthony Meray run for 6 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
45.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 22 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
45.1%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
44.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
43.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Justin MarchSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+5
42.9%
AKRON Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Akron 14Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
45.1%
Anthony Melchiori 31 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
43.1%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Marques Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 10Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+5
43.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+1
44.0%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
44.4%
Zach Paul punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2848% → 48%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
48.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 19 yds to the KENTST 35 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
48.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 6 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
48.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
47.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
48.0%
Anthony Melchiori 46 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0055% → 56%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
44.7%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
44.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
45.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 9 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
44.3%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
44.3%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
43.8%
Zach Paul punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
50.6%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
50.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
48.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12INT
19 plays · 53 yds · 5:0252% → 49%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
48.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 7 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
46.7%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
46.7%
Cody Grice run for 3 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
46.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
45.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
45.7%
Cody Grice run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
45.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
46.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+6
47.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 6 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+8
47.6%
POHL, Kyle pass incomplete to DAVIS, Imani, PENALTY KENT pass interference (REFUGE, Elcee) 8 yards to the KENT27, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
44.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
44.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+15
51.7%
POHL, Kyle pass incomplete to D'ORAZIO, Zach, PENALTY KENT pass interference (REFUGE, Elcee) 15 yards to the KENT13, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
48.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Anthony RitossaSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
48.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+47
50.6%
Kyle Pohl pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 47 yds to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13INT
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
58.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 12 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.1%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Martel Durant return for no gain to the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
56.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0546% → 51%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
54.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 8 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
51.9%
Jawon Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+38
53.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 38 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
49.0%
Jawon Chisholm run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
49.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Jatavis Brown, broken up by Elcee RefugeSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
50.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
49.0%
Robert Stein 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5052% → 70%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.7%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
51.8%
Nick Holley run for 39 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
55.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 14 yds Chris Humphrey fumbled, forced by C.J. Mizell, recovered by KntSt Chris Humphrey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
70.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 19 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 3:4934% → 28%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.3%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
66.8%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+10
67.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 10 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
65.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
65.7%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+18
69.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 18 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
68.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
69.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Jatavis BrownSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+28
69.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jatavis Brown for 28 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
67.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jatavis Brown for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
71.6%
Robert Stein 25 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
73.9%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
73.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 6 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
73.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Anthony MeraySimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
72.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, downed at the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:3326% → 44%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
73.9%
Jawon Chisholm run for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
73.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jatavis Brown for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
76.4%
Cody Grice run for 6 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
75.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+41
56.4%
Jawon Chisholm run for 41 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
59.8%
Colin Reardon sacked by Nmesoma Okafor for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
58.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Bryce CheekSimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
57.6%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
57.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4440% → 37%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
59.6%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
58.7%
Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
50
+3
56.7%
Jawon Chisholm run for 3 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
57.0%
Cody Grice run for 5 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
58.8%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
60.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
63.5%
Zach Paul punt for 39 yds, downed at the KntSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
65.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 6
0
65.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+9
64.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 9 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
66.2%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 10Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+3
65.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 3 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+7
64.7%
Colin Reardon run for 7 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
64.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 56 yds, downed at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
67.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Jatavis Brown, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
68.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+16
69.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for 16 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
65.2%
D.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
66.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-8
68.1%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Jon Cunningham for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
70.6%
Zach Paul punt for 56 yds, downed at the KntSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:5671% → 74%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
70.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 14 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
71.8%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to CHANDLER, C., PENALTY AKRON pass interference (CHEEK, Bryce) 15 yards to the KENT42, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
73.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+27
74.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 27 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
78.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
78.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
76.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Steve Nagy for 1 yd to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 1
OPP 19
-1
74.4%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
23.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 80 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 3:2532% → 93%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
32.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
33.0%
Nick Holley run for 10 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
33.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 9 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
37.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 9 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
38.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 2 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+23
38.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 23 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
42.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
42.3%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to CHANDLER, C., PENALTY AKRON pass interference (CHEEK, Bryce) 15 yards to the AKRON5, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Kyle Pohl pass intercepted Jordan Italiano return for no gain to the KntSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
92.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-2
92.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:30
Jawon Chisholm run for 80 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-50.9
TD · Q4 1:00
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
+50.6
TD · Q3 2:52
Jawon Chisholm run for 41 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com