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WMU

Western Michigan 32 at Central Michigan 20

CMU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:27 · J. Schroeder punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense−37.6Score differential−17.1Garbage-time factor−12.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.0Pregame prior−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:11: Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:59: Andrew Haldeman 19 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:57: Brian Eavey 37 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:47: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +11.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 11:57CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 42, up 6
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:32CMU 4th & 6 at WMU 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−5.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:49CMU 4th & 2 at WMU 42, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−1.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:08CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 48, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 15 at WMU 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:15CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:38WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 41, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:59WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 2, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−17.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 2 at WMU 45, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−4.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:57CMU 4th & 10 at WMU 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−3.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−13.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:57WMU 4th & 12 at midfield, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−3.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:27WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 10, up 12
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:21CMU 4th & 3 at WMU 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:22CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:54CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:57WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:11WMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:41WMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:47WMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:3845% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
45.3%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+27
45.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 27 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
45.3%
Thomas Rawls run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+15
45.3%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to DAVIS, Titus (CELSICAR, D), PENALTY WMU pass interference (CELSICAR, D) 15 yards to the WMU37, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
45.3%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+10
45.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
45.3%
Thomas Rawls run for 8 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
45.3%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
48.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 18 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
47.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
47.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
47.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
47.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the CMich 42 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Kevin King, recovered by CMich Joe OstmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 5:3650% → 58%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
49.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Thomas Rawls for 6 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+13
49.9%
Thomas Rawls run for 13 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
50.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
50.0%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+14
49.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 14 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
50.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 7 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
50.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
50.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+1
50.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
58.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:5743% → 50%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
56.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+13
56.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
56.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
55.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
55.6%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
57.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
57.1%
Dareyon Chance run for 21 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
56.8%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
56.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
57.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (A. Moulton Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
55.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
55.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 7 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
55.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
54.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:4246% → 58%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+21
54.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 21 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
53.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+17
52.0%
Zach Terrell run for 17 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
51.5%
Dareyon Chance run for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+30
51.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 30 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
50.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
42.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3950% → 55%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
50.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 1 yd to the CMich 48Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+22
49.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 22 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
51.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 3 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
51.3%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
50.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
54.8%
Brian Eavey 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 51%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 8
OPP 0
0
49.4%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Tyree Waller return for no gain to the CMich 27 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0257% → 55%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
50
+6
56.9%
Thomas Rawls run for 6 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
57.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
56.5%
Thomas Rawls run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
55.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 0:5846% → 65%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
53.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+63
54.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 63 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
35.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:3339% → 39%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
39.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 21 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
41.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
39.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
38.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
39.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
39.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
37.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
37.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
36.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
36.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Eric BoydenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-8
37.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
41.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 40 yds, downed at the CMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
39.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd to the CMich 15Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+4
38.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mike Kinville for 4 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
37.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+6
37.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 52 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 6 yds to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
36.2%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
36.2%
Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
37.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+25
38.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 25 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-9
39.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+15
36.9%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to DAVIS, Titus, PENALTY WMU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU44, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
41.6%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
41.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mike KinvilleSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+1
38.9%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Ronald Zamort return for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3968% → 76%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
31.9%
Daniel Braverman pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
30.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
30.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 15 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
30.4%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
30.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the CMich 2Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Kavon FrazierSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
23.7%
Andrew Haldeman 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:5926% → 27%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
25.6%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to DAVIS, Titus for 11 yards to the CMU28 (ZAMORT, Ronald), PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT, Ronald) 13 yards to the CMU30, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
25.0%
PENALTY CMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
26.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+12
27.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 12 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.6%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the CMich 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
28.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Thomas RawlsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+8
26.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 8 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
27.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
18.9%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Jason Wilson return for 35 yds to the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4527% → 37%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
26.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Thomas Rawls for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
27.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+23
26.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 23 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
28.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
28.6%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to KINVILLE, Mike, PENALTY CMU holding 10 yards to the WMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 20
OPP 30
0
26.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Thomas RawlsSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+10
24.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 10 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
36.5%
Brian Eavey 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
27.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 33 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Jabari Dean, recovered by WMich Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+19
28.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 19 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
24.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
24.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-8
25.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Jabari Dean for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 12
50
0
30.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 40 yds , Amari Coleman returns for no gain to the CMich 2 Amari Coleman fumbled, recovered by WMich Trevor SweeneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4981% → 93%
Q4 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
19.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
7.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 0:009% → 14%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
8.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Deon Butler, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
8.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 7 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+7
9.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 7 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
9.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 16 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
10.8%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
10.6%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, C. (WILLIAMS, Brian), PENALTY WMU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Brian) 14 yards to the WMU35, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
13.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 6 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
13.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
12.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 5 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
13.9%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Brian Williams return for no gain to the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:1595% → 96%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
4.9%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+5
4.6%
Dareyon Chance run for 5 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+1
4.6%
Dareyon Chance run for 1 yd to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
4.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Justin CurrieSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
4.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 7 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
3.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Richard AshSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+3
3.4%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Donald Celiscar return for 3 yds to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:41
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-12.4
FG · Q4 9:57
Brian Eavey 37 yd FG GOOD
+12.4
TD · Q4 5:47
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com