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EMU

Eastern Michigan 30 at Ball State 45

BALL
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:33 · Kyle Schmidt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dustin Creel at the EMich 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+4.9Home team on offense+31.2Score differential+23.3Garbage-time factor+13.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:44: Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +2.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:27: Jahwan Edwards run for 29 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +4.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:13: Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 33 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:45: Ben Ingle 5 Yd Fumble Return (Scott Secor Kick) — BALL win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:10: Dylan Mulder 36 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +2.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:20EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:03BALL 4th & 3 at EMU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:27EMU 4th & 6 at BALL 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 7 at BALL 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:51BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:55EMU 4th & 9 at BALL 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:27BALL 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:00BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:02BALL 4th & 20 at BALL 15, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:24EMU 4th & 5 at BALL 8, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:24BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 33, up 22
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:10EMU 4th & 10 at BALL 19, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:10BALL 4th & 2 at EMU 15, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:33BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 34, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:20BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:44BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:27BALL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13BALL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:45BALL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:02EMU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:58BALL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:42EMU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:03EMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
84.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
84.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Chris Shillings for 10 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
84.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
84.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jahwan Edwards, broken up by Pat O'ConnorSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
84.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+28
84.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Darian Green for 28 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
84.2%
EDWARDS, Jahwan rush for 5 yards to the EMU17 (WILLIAMS, Jalen;STEALS, Mike), PENALTY EMU offside defense (STEALS, Mike) 5 yards to the EMU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+8
84.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Darian Green for 8 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
84.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 6 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.0%
Jack Milas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
83.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for no gain to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
83.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
83.9%
Owen Dubiel punt for 41 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for 5 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
83.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
50
+3
84.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
84.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
83.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Chris Shillings, broken up by Great IbeSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
83.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 29 yds, downed at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:5316% → 18%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
83.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+13
83.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Darius Jackson for 13 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
83.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 22 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
83.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 18 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
82.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 15 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
82.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to David Gibson for 5 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
82.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
82.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-5
83.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
82.0%
Dylan Mulder 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4382% → 85%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
82.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+54
81.9%
Jack Milas run for 54 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
82.7%
Horactio Banks run for 5 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
82.7%
Horactio Banks run for 3 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
82.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
82.8%
MILAS, Jack pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jord. (CREEAR, Willie), PENALTY BALL pass interference (WILLIAMS, Jord.) 15 yards to the EMU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 25
OPP 29
+4
82.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+12
82.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 12 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
84.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:3815% → 15%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
85.2%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+26
85.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
84.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
84.7%
Bronson Hill run for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
84.3%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 49 Bronson Hill fumbled, recovered by EMich Bronson HillSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+7
85.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 7 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
84.9%
Owen Dubiel punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
85.3%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
85.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
85.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria, broken up by Jason BeckSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
84.7%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 70 yds, downed at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
85.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+11
85.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kris Strange for 11 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
85.4%
Bronson Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
85.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
85.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 10 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
85.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 11 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
84.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
84.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+2
85.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
85.5%
Owen Dubiel punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:4986% → 91%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
85.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+12
85.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 12 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+44
86.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 44 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
86.8%
Horactio Banks run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
86.9%
Horactio Banks run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
86.6%
Horactio Banks run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+29
90.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 29 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
92.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+11
92.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 11 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
90.7%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
92.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 7 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Ryan Brumfield run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
90.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
90.9%
Owen Dubiel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Hepp at the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
91.5%
MILAS, Jack pass complete to EDWARDS, Jahwan for 4 yards to the BALL34 (COTTON, Pudge), PENALTY BALL holding (RICHARD, Jacob) 10 yards to the BALL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
91.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
91.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jack MilasSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
90.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 47 yds, downed at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Nick MilesSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
93.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+19
91.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 33 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, forced by Zack Ryan, recovered by BalSt Aaron Taylor for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:2192% → 97%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Willie CreearSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Willie CreearSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+33
97.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 33 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
95.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for 3 yds to the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · -20 yds · 2:154% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
95.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 14 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
95.8%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
95.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Cole Gardner for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
95.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 4 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.7%
Ben Ingle 5 Yd Fumble Return (Scott Secor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:371% → 3%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
98.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 23 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
98.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 16 yds to the BalSt 39 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, forced by Anthony Winbush, recovered by EMich Reginald Bell Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
98.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 12 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
98.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Michael Ayers for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+10
98.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to David Gibson for 10 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+10
98.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Darius Jackson for 10 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 10 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.3%
EDWARDS, Jahwan rush for 23 yards to the BALL48 (CREEAR, Willie), PENALTY BALL holding (MILLER, Drake) 10 yards to the BALL15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete to Horactio Banks, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Ozzie Mann pass incomplete, broken up by Mike BrownSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Scott Secor punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:503% → 3%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
97.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Bronson Hill for 26 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
97.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 16
OPP 32
+15
96.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 15 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+4
97.5%
Bronson Hill run for 4 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
97.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 12Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+4
97.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
97.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
96.9%
Dylan Mulder 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.1%
Horactio Banks run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
97.2%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
97.2%
Ozzie Mann run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+25
97.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dustin Creel at the BALLST 37 BALL ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:173% → 5%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
97.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 2
50
+2
97.1%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
97.3%
Darius Jackson run for 13 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
97.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Zack Ryan for a loss of 9 yards to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 19
OPP 44
-10
97.3%
BELL, Reginald pass complete to CREEL, Dustin for 13 yards to the BALL31 (CONAWAY, Darius;WIGGINS, Sean), PENALTY EMU holding (McFADDEN, R.) 10 yards to the EMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 29
OWN 46
+12
97.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kris Strange for 12 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 17
OPP 42
+23
97.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 23 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David Gibson, broken up by Tyree HolderSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
98.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
95.3%
Dylan Mulder 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:0097% → 99%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.3%
Jahwan Edwards run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
97.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for 6 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
97.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 27 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
97.9%
Corey Lacanaria run for 12 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
98.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
97.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
99.0%
Scott Secor 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 10 yds Tyreese Russell fumbled, forced by Zack Ryan, recovered by BalSt Quintin CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:0299% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
99.1%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 19 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
99.1%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Darian Green for 20 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Ozzie Mann pass complete to Dylan Curry for 5 yds for a TD, (Cody Dickson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:160% → 1%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 19 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Darius Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
99.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 30 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kris Strange for 12 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Darius Jackson for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.3%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 16
OWN 30
-2
99.3%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+6
99.3%
Teddy Williamson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dustin Creel at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 2:231% → 3%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 13 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kray'shawn Brewer for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 3
50
0
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 3
50
+14
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kray'shawn Brewer for 14 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 9 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kray'shawn BrewerSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
99.5%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Dustin Creel for 20 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Kris Strange for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.3%
Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
98.3%
Teddy Williamson run for 8 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
98.4%
Teddy Williamson run for 6 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-1
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:13
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 33 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 5:27
Jahwan Edwards run for 29 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 12:45
Ben Ingle 5 Yd Fumble Return (Scott Secor Kick)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com