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NIU

Northern Illinois 21 at Ohio 14

OHIO
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 18, 2014 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:58 · Tyler Wedel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−2.8Pregame prior−6.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. INT · Q3 11:17: Derrius Vick pass intercepted Anthony Brooks return for 7 yds to the NoIll 44 — OHIO win probability +10.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:25: Akeem Daniels 32 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick) — NIU win probability +13.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:50: A.J. Ouellette 9 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick) — OHIO win probability +27.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:00: Chad Beebe 18 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick) — NIU win probability +28.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:50: Drew Hare run for 6 yds to the NoIll 39 — NIU win probability +12.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:18OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15OHIO 4th & 3 at NIU 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:21NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:34OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:58NIU 4th & 6 at OHIO 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:36OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:07OHIO 4th & 8 at NIU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−9.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:00NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:32OHIO 4th & 1 at NIU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−4.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:45NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−2.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:59OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.4%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:56NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:13OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:25NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:50OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:00NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3740% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
40.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+11
40.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
40.2%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
40.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-10
40.4%
Derrius Vick sacked by Perez Ford for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 25 Derrius Vick fumbled, recovered by Ohio Lucas Powell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
40.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, downed at the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0659% → 59%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
40.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
40.7%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
40.8%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+14
41.3%
Tyler Wedel punt for 45 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 14 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:3542% → 43%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
41.5%
Derrius Vick run for 10 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
41.9%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
42.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
42.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
42.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 9 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+2
42.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
43.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 4 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
43.5%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
43.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
43.0%
Josiah Yazdani 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3458% → 57%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
42.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 9 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+1
41.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 1 yd to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
42.1%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
42.4%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
42.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Clayton GlasperSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
43.1%
Tyler Wedel punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2643% → 43%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
42.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+4
43.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 4 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+7
42.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 7 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
43.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 6 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
43.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+24
43.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 41 OHIO Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 1:3158% → 64%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.9%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
42.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
42.7%
OHIO Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+14
42.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 14 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
41.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 16 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
41.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 17 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
41.2%
Cameron Stingily run for no gain to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.1%
Cameron Stingily 2 Yd Run (Christian Hagan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:2738% → 49%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
37.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
38.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
50
+13
39.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
39.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
40.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 3 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
39.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
40.6%
Landon Smith run for 8 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+6
40.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
48.9%
A.J. Ouellette 12 Yd Run (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:5656% → 57%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
43.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 8 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
43.1%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
43.2%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+14
43.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Akeem Daniels for 14 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
42.1%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
41.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-2
41.4%
Cameron Stingily run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
42.9%
Tyler Wedel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5747% → 47%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+24
47.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 24 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
48.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 1 yd to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-12
48.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ohio Derrius VickSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 21
OWN 27
+13
46.2%
Derrius Vick run for 13 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+1
46.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 36 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 1 yd to the NoIll 24 Chad Beebe fumbled, recovered by NoIll Chad BeebeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:5056% → 55%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
44.3%
Anthony Maddie run for 4 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
43.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 7 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
43.6%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
43.3%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
42.2%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
42.1%
Cameron Stingily run for 8 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
40.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-5
40.8%
Anthony Maddie run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
44.7%
Tyler Wedel punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
48.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FUMBLE
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:2254% → 55%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
46.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
45.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
47.0%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
46.0%
Drew Hare run for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
44.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
45.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
45.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
44.7%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
44.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the NoIll 47 Cameron Stingily fumbled, forced by Ian Wells, recovered by Ohio Casey SaylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
55.2%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted Anthony Brooks return for 7 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:2655% → 71%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
45.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 3 yds to the NoIll 47 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 17
OWN 37
+10
47.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 10 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
44.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+14
45.9%
Drew Hare run for 14 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
44.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 2 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Blair Brown) to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
43.1%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the Ohio 17 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+32
29.4%
Akeem Daniels 32 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:4835% → 35%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
35.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+7
34.9%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
35.6%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
37.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
37.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
38.2%
OHIO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+21
35.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 21 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
39.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
39.7%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
37.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
34.6%
Josiah Yazdani 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4071% → 71%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
28.8%
Cameron Stingily run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+8
29.6%
Drew Hare run for 8 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
27.9%
Aregeros Turner run for no gain to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+9
29.1%
Tyler Wedel punt for 38 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 9 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2133% → 33%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
33.4%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dechane Durante) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
50
-3
37.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+12
34.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
37.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
35.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
37.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
34.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
32.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2875% → 73%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
24.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
24.4%
Da'Ron Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-2
24.6%
Anthony Maddie sacked by Kurt Laseak and Chad Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
26.6%
Tyler Wedel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:4729% → 62%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
28.5%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
28.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 4 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+29
25.9%
Derrius Vick run for 29 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
31.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
34.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 17 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
34.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
34.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
62.1%
A.J. Ouellette 9 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:3649% → 86%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
50.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Da'Ron Brown) to the NoIll 15Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+17
51.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 17 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
50.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
47.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 12 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
45.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 7 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
44.4%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
42.9%
Drew Hare run for 12 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
42.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
13.9%
Chad Beebe 18 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:4821% → 19%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
20.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
20.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+8
19.0%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+4
19.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
20.4%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
20.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
23.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
18.1%
Derrius Vick run for 10 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
20.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
18.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 10 yds Landon Smith fumbled, forced by Boomer Mays, recovered by NoIll Marlon MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4994% → 96%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
5.9%
Drew Hare run for 6 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
5.3%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
4.9%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:00
Chad Beebe 18 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick)
-28.4
TD · Q4 8:50
A.J. Ouellette 9 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick)
+27.5
TD · Q3 9:25
Akeem Daniels 32 Yd pass from Drew Hare (Christian Hagan Kick)
-13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com