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M-OH

Miami (OH) 27 at Central Michigan 34

CMU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:02 · Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam Martin
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:44: Devon Spalding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +11.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:18: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +18.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:08: Devon Spalding run for 51 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +16.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:31: Jared Murphy run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +27.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:03: Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +19.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 6 at CMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21M-OH 4th & 2 at CMU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:12M-OH 4th & 9 at CMU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:12CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:18M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:03M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−3.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:00CMU 4th & 1 at M-OH 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:53CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:09M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:10CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:44CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:18M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:08CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:31M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:03CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
82.5%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
82.5%
Dawan Scott run for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+17
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 17 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred McRae for 4 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
82.5%
Dawan Scott run for no gain to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
81.7%
Cooper Rush sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 14 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Bryson Albright , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1519% → 19%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
81.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 3 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-3
81.3%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 14Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+8
81.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 8 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
80.7%
Kaleb Patterson 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:2881% → 82%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
81.0%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+29
81.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 29 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
81.4%
Thomas Rawls run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
81.4%
Thomas Rawls run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+8
81.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
81.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+4
81.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
81.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
81.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 7:4118% → 21%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
81.4%
Rokeem Williams run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
81.4%
Dawan Scott run for 12 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
81.1%
HENDRIX, Andrew rush for 1 yard to the CMU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU holding (BROWN, Trevan) 10 yards to the MU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+21
81.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 21 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
80.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 17 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
80.7%
Dawan Scott run for 3 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
79.7%
Jared Murphy run for no gain to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+10
80.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 10 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
79.7%
SCOTT, Dawan rush for no gain to the CMU5 (CHEROCCI, J.), PENALTY CMU offside 3 yards to the CMU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.7%
Dawan Scott run for no gain to the CMich 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.7%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
80.4%
Jared Murphy run for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
78.8%
Kaleb Patterson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
78.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 17 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
79.0%
Saylor Lavallii run for 6 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-3
79.7%
Thomas Rawls run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
78.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Deon ButlerSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+31
78.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds , David Frazier returns for 31 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:4523% → 30%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
50
+22
77.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 22 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
69.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 28 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:5973% → 79%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
72.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+28
72.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+5
74.5%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
74.7%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
74.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 7 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
75.5%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
75.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
75.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
75.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Trevor Thomas for 11 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
75.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:0524% → 35%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
76.1%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Josh Cox for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 10 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+25
77.6%
Dawan Scott run for 25 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
76.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 22 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
74.4%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 49 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 16
OPP 49
-2
77.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+27
77.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 27 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
74.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+41
64.6%
Kaleb Patterson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
72.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
71.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 8 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
73.5%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
74.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Deon ButlerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
72.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
71.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Frazier at the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3932% → 31%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
68.2%
Dawan Scott run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
68.3%
Andrew Hendrix run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
68.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Alex WelchSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+4
69.0%
Christian Koch punt for 46 yds , Amari Coleman returns for 4 yds to the CMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:3170% → 85%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
70.2%
Devon Spalding run for 15 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
72.5%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+22
70.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 22 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
73.2%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+9
73.9%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
73.9%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
73.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Quinten RollinsSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+8
72.8%
Cooper Rush run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
73.9%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
73.9%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to KINVILLE, Mike, PENALTY MU pass interference (HARDING, Heath) 7 yards to the MU2, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.9%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:2624% → 44%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
76.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
76.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 17 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
74.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 11 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
74.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 9Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:1067% → 84%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
66.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 4 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
67.7%
Titus Davis run for 15 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
84.3%
Devon Spalding run for 51 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:3721% → 49%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
79.5%
Dawan Scott run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
77.7%
Spencer McInnis run for 11 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
76.1%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
76.2%
Fred McRae run for 2 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+11
76.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 11 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
75.2%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, R., PENALTY MU holding 10 yards to the CMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+9
78.4%
Dawan Scott run for 9 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
75.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+22
78.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 22 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
51.5%
Jared Murphy run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2864% → 89%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
63.9%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+23
65.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 23 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
68.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+18
68.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 18 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
69.8%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
69.8%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
89.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:0023% → 15%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
76.8%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, R., PENALTY CMU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY MU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Alex Welch, broken up by Tony AnneseSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
83.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
84.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+7
84.6%
Dawan Scott run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
85.2%
Christian Koch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
88.3%
Devon Spalding run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
89.0%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 42 Devon Spalding fumbled, recovered by CMich Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
88.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Martez WalkerSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
87.7%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Quinten Rollins return for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0018% → 21%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
82.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 14 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
80.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
81.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+17
82.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 17 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
79.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
79.3%
David Frazier run for 2 yds to the CMich 32 David Frazier fumbled, forced by Justin Cherocci, recovered by CMich Kavon FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 4:0390% → 94%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.5%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
89.2%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+16
88.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
50
+4
90.9%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
90.9%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
90.4%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
94.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22END OF GAME
17 plays · 78 yds · 1:5012% → 16%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 6 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+22
86.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 22 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Alex Welch, broken up by Jason WilsonSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
84.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 19 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+19
80.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 19 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
81.5%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to FRAZIER, David, PENALTY CMU pass interference (WILSON, Jason) 12 yards to the CMU2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.2%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to FRAZIER, David, PENALTY CMU pass interference (WILSON, Jason) 1 yards to the CMU1, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
81.6%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Justin Cherocci for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 9Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
90.7%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to MURPHY, Jared, PENALTY CMU pass interference (ANNESE, Tony) 7 yards to the CMU2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:31
Jared Murphy run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-27.1
TD · Q4 10:03
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+19.3
TD · Q3 4:18
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com