Try the model
KENT

Kent State 20 at Bowling Green 30

BGSU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2014 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:25 · Joe Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+10.0Home team on offense+8.5Score differential+1.5Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:15: Tyler Tate 22 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 21 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +8.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:09: Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 4 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +13.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:40: Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori PAT MISSED) — KENT win probability +22.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 7:47: Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:19BGSU 4th & 3 at KENT 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.5%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:10KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:56BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 15, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:30BGSU 4th & 6 at KENT 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:39KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:15BGSU 4th & 3 at KENT 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:33KENT 4th & 5 at BGSU 40, down 20
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:29BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:10KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:40KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:00BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:35KENT 4th & 6 at BGSU 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:56BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 3, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:25BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:59BGSU 4th & 3 at KENT 3, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−11.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:56BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:17BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:47BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:38KENT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:09KENT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:40KENT Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:47BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:3679% → 79%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
79.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+9
79.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
79.0%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
79.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+33
78.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 33 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
79.0%
James Knapke run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
78.9%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+3
78.8%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
78.6%
Tyler Tate 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5822% → 22%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
78.4%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+5
78.3%
Strock, Nathan pass complete to Humphrey, Chris for 6 yards to the KENTST24, PENALTY BOWLGREEN offside 5 yards to the KENTST23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
78.1%
Nathan Strock sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
78.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 40 yds, downed at the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:4878% → 80%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
78.2%
Fred Coppet run for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
78.3%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
78.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+32
78.2%
Andre Givens run for 32 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
78.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
78.2%
Givens, Andre rush for 1 yard to the KENTST11, PENALTY KENTST offside 5 yards to the KENTST7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+1
78.1%
Andre Givens run for 1 yd to the KntSt 6Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
79.5%
Andre Givens run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3721% → 21%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
79.1%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Wayne Scott) to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+6
79.2%
Nathan Strock run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
79.0%
Nathan Strock pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+5
79.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Herve Coby) to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+5
79.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds , Teo Redding returns for 5 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:3879% → 82%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
79.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-5
79.2%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+82
81.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 82 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:2019% → 18%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
81.4%
Nathan Strock pass complete to Josh Boyle for 8 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+12
81.3%
Nathan Strock pass complete to Casey Pierce for 12 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.4%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
81.5%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
81.4%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Charles ChandlerSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+5
81.6%
Melchiori, Anthony punt 40 yards to the BOWLGREEN20, fair catch by Redding, Teo, PENALTY BOWLGREEN running into kicker 5 yards to the KENTST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+2
81.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds , Teo Redding returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5482% → 82%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
82.3%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
82.5%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
82.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 3
OWN 15
-5
82.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 45 yds , Jerrell Foster returns for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 35 Jerrell Foster fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0583% → 85%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
83.2%
James Knapke run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
83.3%
Andre Givens run for no gain to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
83.1%
Andre Givens run for 5 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.5%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
83.7%
Chris Pohlman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
83.5%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
85.1%
Tyler Tate 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:2115% → 15%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
84.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
85.2%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
85.3%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
85.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 45 yds, downed at the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1087% → 91%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
86.6%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+15
86.7%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Burbrink, Ryan, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Holley, Nate) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
87.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 27 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
87.3%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-1
87.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+19
87.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 19 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
87.8%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
88.2%
Chris Pohlman run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+1
88.1%
Chris Pohlman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
90.9%
Tyler Tate 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:2710% → 9%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
90.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 21 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
90.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
90.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:5692% → 92%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
91.5%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
91.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger Lewis, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+7
91.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
91.9%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-1
91.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Andre Givens for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+15
91.6%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger (Monday, Demetrius), PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Monday, Demetrius) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.1%
James Knapke run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
92.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-5
91.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Jacob Bennett) to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+7
92.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
91.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 45 yds, downed at the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:378% → 16%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
92.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+24
92.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 24 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
92.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 7 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
92.0%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
92.2%
Colin Reardon run for no gain to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+1
92.6%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
92.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 16 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
92.6%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+8
92.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 8 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
84.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 21 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:2688% → 86%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
88.0%
Andre Givens run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
87.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 1 yd to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
87.2%
Ronnie Moore run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
85.6%
James Knapke pass intercepted Jordan Italiano return for no gain to the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:1015% → 14%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
85.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
85.0%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
85.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Charles Chandler, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
85.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3087% → 87%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
87.2%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
87.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+10
86.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
87.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
87.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
87.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
87.5%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
87.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1514% → 13%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
86.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 15 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.8%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+11
86.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 11 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
86.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
86.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
87.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 36 yds, downed at the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3489% → 88%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-5
88.6%
James Knapke sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 3 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (James Knapke) to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 3
+3
88.5%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 12
OWN 6
-3
88.2%
James Knapke sacked by Nate Terhune for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 15
OWN 3
+26
87.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 38 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 26 yds to the BwGrn 29 KENT ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0514% → 15%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
85.7%
Reardon, Colin pass incomplete to Chandler, Charles, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
85.3%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Clint Stephens return for no gain to the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2989% → 89%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
88.9%
Chris Pohlman run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
89.0%
Chris Pohlman run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 6 Chris Pohlman fumbled, recovered by KntStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5915% → 28%
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
85.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
85.5%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 4 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3578% → 77%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
78.3%
Andre Givens run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
80.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
79.3%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
80.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Andre Givens for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
80.6%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
79.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
77.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23INT
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:0225% → 29%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
75.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 11 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
75.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
74.3%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
74.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+29
74.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 29 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
71.1%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Gabe Martin return for no gain to the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 4:5181% → 87%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
81.2%
Andre Givens run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
82.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+6
81.3%
Andre Givens run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
82.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
83.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
83.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.4%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
83.4%
Knapke, James pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Italiano, Jordan) 7 yards to the KENTST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
83.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-2
83.8%
James Knapke sacked by Terence Waugh and Nate Terhune for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+8
82.7%
Andre Givens run for 8 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
83.9%
Andre Givens run for 8 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+3
83.9%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
84.1%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 9Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
85.2%
Andre Givens run for 5 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
84.2%
Andre Givens run for 1 yd to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
86.9%
Tyler Tate 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0515% → 37%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
85.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Charles Chandler for 7 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
84.9%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
85.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
85.4%
Reardon, Colin pass incomplete to Humphrey, Chris, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference (Johnson, Nick) 11 yards to the BOWLGREEN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
85.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 24 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
62.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:2874% → 92%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+45
74.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 45 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
78.8%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
78.6%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+33
75.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 33 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27INT
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:3410% → 11%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Charles Chandler for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
50
-2
89.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+28
90.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 28 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
88.9%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Ryland Ward return for 7 yds to the BwGrn 17 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28PUNT
14 plays · 28 yds · 4:3992% → 97%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
91.5%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 7 Andre Givens fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
91.8%
Andre Givens run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+1
92.0%
Andre Givens run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.0%
Andre Givens run for no gain to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
94.1%
Andre Givens run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+8
94.4%
Andre Givens run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
95.5%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
95.7%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Andre Givens run for no gain to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
96.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 36 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.7%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Taylor Royster return for no gain to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:40
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori PAT MISSED)
-22.3
TD · Q4 7:47
Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q3 6:09
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 4 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
-13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com