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WMU

Western Michigan 41 at Miami (OH) 10

M-OH
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:15 · J. Schroeder punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense−53.0Score differential−39.1Pregame prior−2.0Garbage-time factor−20.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:14: Zach Terrell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +9.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:15: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 19 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +6.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:58: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +11.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:14: Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 5 at WMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    38.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:55M-OH 4th & 25 at M-OH 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:56M-OH 4th & 1 at WMU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−1.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:50M-OH 4th & 22 at WMU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:51M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:08M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 1 at M-OH 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:44WMU 4th & 9 at M-OH 9, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:36M-OH 4th & 5 at WMU 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:15WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:59WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:02WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:14WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:15M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:58WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:14WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Richard Ash for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 9 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+20
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 20 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jarrell McKinney for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+3
33.4%
Dawan Scott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
50
+16
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 16 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
33.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+9
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 1 yd to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-7
33.4%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jarrell McKinney for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:2365% → 67%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
35.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
35.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
33.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3INT
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:4934% → 35%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
33.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+21
33.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 21 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
33.9%
Andrew Hendrix run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
34.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
34.3%
Dawan Scott run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
34.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 8 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+15
34.6%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT, Ronald) 15 yards to the WMU31, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
34.9%
Dawan Scott run for 15 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
35.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted, touchback. Donald Celiscar return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:5867% → 75%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
33.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
33.1%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
33.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+14
33.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
32.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+12
32.5%
Dareyon Chance run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
32.3%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
31.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
31.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
31.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+10
31.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
31.3%
Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
25.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
26.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred McRae for 10 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
26.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
25.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (Andrew Hendrix) to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-10
25.9%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 25
OWN 5
+5
25.6%
Christian Koch punt for 37 yds , Cleveland Smith returns for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:0676% → 85%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
24.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 14 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
24.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.3%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4620% → 27%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
20.3%
Dawan Scott run for 2 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
26.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 19 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
24.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
24.9%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+21
25.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 21 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
23.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+9
23.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 36 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Quinten Rollins, recovered by MiaOh J'Terius JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:0624% → 26%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
24.3%
Fred McRae run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
25.0%
Dawan Scott run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
50
+5
25.0%
Dawan Scott run for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
25.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
24.9%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
25.2%
Dawan Scott run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+15
25.2%
KUMMER, Drew pass incomplete to MURPHY, Jared, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT, Ronald) 15 yards to the WMU23, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
25.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-11
25.5%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Trevor Ishmael for a loss of 11 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 21
OPP 34
-1
22.9%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 22
OPP 35
+52
25.8%
Kaleb Patterson 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 1:4174% → 84%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
26.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 17 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
25.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
24.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for no gain to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+12
25.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
24.5%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
24.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+14
25.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 14 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
24.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Lo WoodSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
24.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+15
22.6%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to DAVIS, Corey, PENALTY MU pass interference (TAYLOR, M.) 15 yards to the MU6, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
21.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
20.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
16.5%
Andrew Haldeman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0279% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
20.6%
Zach Terrell run for 18 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
19.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
19.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+7
19.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
19.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 27 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
19.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
19.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
7.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
10.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 20 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
11.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David Frazier, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
11.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
11.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
11.1%
Christian Koch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:4693% → 98%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
7.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
7.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+24
7.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 24 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
6.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+44
6.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 44 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
4.3%
Dawan Scott run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
4.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
4.7%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
4.0%
Christian Koch punt for 44 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for no gain to the WMich 37 Daniel Braverman fumbled, recovered by WMich Daniel BravermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 6:5997% → 99%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
2.6%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
2.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+22
2.2%
Zach Terrell run for 22 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
2.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
2.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 3 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
2.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
0.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
0.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.7%
Dareyon Chance run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
0.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
0.7%
Andrew Haldeman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.4%
Grant Niemiec run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
0.4%
Grant Niemiec run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
0.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Nick Matich) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
50
0
0.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
50
+15
0.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Rontavious Atkins) to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.5%
Drew Kummer run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
0.5%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
0.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
0.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Fred McRaeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.4%
Dareyon Chance run for 1 yd to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
0.4%
Dareyon Chance run for 1 yd to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+2
0.4%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
0.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19INT
11 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.2%
Damon Washington run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+10
0.2%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Shisso for 10 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.2%
Damon Washington run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Damon Washington run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+18
0.2%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Fred McRae for 18 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
0.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Zach Lewis) to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+2
0.2%
Drew Kummer run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+3
0.2%
Fred McRae run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+17
0.2%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for 17 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
0.2%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 8 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+33
0.2%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Deontae Brown return for 33 yds to the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
0.1%
Dareyon Chance run for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
0.1%
Dareyon Chance run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:58
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q2 9:14
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-9
TD · Q2 8:15
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 19 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com