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CMU

Central Michigan 38 at Eastern Michigan 7

EMU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:11 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:23: Saylor Lavallii run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +0.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:25: Devon Spalding run for 42 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:28: Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:03: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 02:03 — CMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Brian Eavey 28 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +0.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:06CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:29EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:19EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:57CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:03EMU 4th & 10 at CMU 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 49, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:56EMU 4th & 22 at CMU 36, down 31
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:45CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 4, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:30EMU 4th & 4 at CMU 7, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:05CMU 4th & 2 at EMU 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:32EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:56CMU 4th & 2 at EMU 34, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:07EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:33CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 27, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:45CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:23CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25CMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:28CMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:32CMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:16EMU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
12.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-1
12.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
12.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 13 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
12.1%
Owen Dubiel punt for 29 yds, downed at the CMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:1087% → 87%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
13.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
12.9%
Saylor Lavallii run for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+41
12.8%
Saylor Lavallii run for 41 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.0%
Rob Bolden run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
13.0%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Owen Dubiel punt for 37 yds , Amari Coleman returns for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:5087% → 88%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
13.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 20 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
13.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 8 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
13.1%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
13.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 16 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
13.1%
Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
13.1%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
13.2%
Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
13.1%
Saylor Lavallii run for 5 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.4%
Saylor Lavallii run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
13.2%
Bronson Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
13.2%
Rob Bolden run for 5 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
13.3%
Rob Bolden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
13.2%
Owen Dubiel punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
12.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
12.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
12.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 4 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
12.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
12.7%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5013% → 14%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.3%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
13.2%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-6
13.5%
Rob Bolden sacked by Colton Odykirk for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Owen Dubiel punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:5287% → 88%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
13.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+13
13.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 13 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
13.2%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+6
13.2%
Martez Walker run for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
13.1%
Saylor Lavallii run for 2 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
12.3%
Devon Spalding run for 42 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler Allen, broken up by Kavon FrazierSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
12.3%
BRUMFIELD, Ryan rush for loss of 1 yard to the EMU19 (CHEROCCI, J.;LOPEZ, Cody), PENALTY CMU holding (WALTON, L.) 10 yards to the EMU30, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
12.5%
Rob Bolden run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
12.6%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler Allen EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
12.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+60
12.3%
Owen Dubiel punt for 54 yds, downed at the EASTMICH 13 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the CMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0086% → 87%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
14.0%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+15
12.6%
Saylor Lavallii run for 15 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
12.7%
Saylor Lavallii run for 1 yd to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
12.7%
Saylor Lavallii run for no gain to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-5
12.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
13.2%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Pudge Cotton return for no gain to the CMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
11.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+3
11.6%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the CMich 35 Darius Jackson fumbled, forced by Louis Palmer, recovered by CMich Justin CherocciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
11.7%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
11.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Willie Creear CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+7
12.2%
Martez Walker run for 7 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
11.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 24 yds, downed at the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.3%
Rob Bolden pass intercepted Kevin King return for no gain to the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:5289% → 93%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
10.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 23 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
10.7%
Saylor Lavallii run for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
10.6%
Saylor Lavallii run for 1 yd to the EMich 15Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
7.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 1:2519% → 5%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
19.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
19.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Ryan Brumfield, broken up by Louis PalmerSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-9
16.1%
BOLDEN, Rob rush for 7 yards to the EMU41, out-of-bounds, PENALTY EMU personal foul (THORNTON, Matt) 9 yards to the EMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+34
14.3%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 34 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
21.2%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
5.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
5.3%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 10
OPP 41
-9
5.2%
Rob Bolden sacked by Leterrius Walton for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:4595% → 96%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
50
+4
5.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
5.5%
Saylor Lavallii run for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
5.4%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Willie CreearSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
5.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 15 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
5.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 6 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+6
3.1%
Saylor Lavallii run for 6 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+28
3.6%
Brian Eavey 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.8%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
3.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 23 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
3.6%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
3.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
3.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
4.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
4.7%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Kenny Jones, broken up by Jason WilsonSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+23
4.5%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 23 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
5.3%
Rob Bolden run for 6 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
5.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 5 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
5.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-14
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 23
OPP 37
+1
4.9%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 1 yd to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 22
OPP 36
0
4.8%
Dylan Mulder punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
2.4%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-1
2.4%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 2Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+2
2.6%
Saylor Lavallii run for 2 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
2.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:112% → 1%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
2.3%
Rob Bolden run for 6 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
2.2%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
2.2%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
1.3%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-5
1.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Lincoln Hansen) to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-2
1.3%
Rob Bolden run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 12Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
1.2%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Cole Gardner for 5 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 4
OPP 7
-10
1.1%
Rob Bolden sacked by Justin Cherocci for a loss of 10 yards to the CMich 17 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Rob Bolden) to the CMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 5:0098% → 100%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
1.8%
Saylor Lavallii run for 2 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+10
1.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 10 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
1.7%
Devon Spalding run for 16 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
1.6%
Devon Spalding run for 12 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
1.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 7 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-15
1.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Titus Davis) to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+22
1.7%
Devon Spalding run for 22 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
1.6%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+1
1.4%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
0.4%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+5
0.5%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
0.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 10 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.4%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Kray'shawn Brewer for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Rob Bolden run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Owen Dubiel punt for 29 yds, downed at the CMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
0.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 21 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
0.3%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
0.3%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
0.3%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+6
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 6 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
0.3%
Anthony Garland run for 11 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
0.3%
Anthony Garland run for 2 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
0.3%
Anthony Garland run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 46 Anthony Garland fumbled, forced by Great Ibe, recovered by EMich Pudge Cotton , return for 15 yds to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
0.1%
Rob Bolden run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+1
0.1%
Rob Bolden run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Owen Dubiel punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
0.2%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+2
0.2%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+4
0.2%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
0.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Amos Houston blocked by Amos HoustonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
0.1%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for no gain to the CMich 4Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Darius Jackson for 4 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
0.1%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
0.1%
Devon Spalding run for 13 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
0.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+13
0.1%
Devon Spalding run for 13 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:03
Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 02:03
-15.8
TD · Q2 3:28
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q2 11:25
Devon Spalding run for 42 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com