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OHIO

Ohio 21 at Western Michigan 42

WMU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:28 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+3.6Score differential+0.6Pregame prior+18.8Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:56: Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:45: Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +3.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:23: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 72 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +7.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:52: Derrius Vick pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Ishmael return for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:52: Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 02:52 — WMU win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WMU 4th & 7 at OHIO 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−2.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:13WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 29, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05OHIO 4th & 2 at WMU 19, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:42OHIO 4th & 10 at WMU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:00OHIO 4th & 13 at WMU 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 49, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:46WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:56OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:05WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:45WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:23WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:52WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:34OHIO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:38WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:04OHIO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.2%
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
77.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
77.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
77.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the WESTMICH 42 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, offside defense (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
77.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
77.2%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+3
77.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
77.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
76.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 17 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
76.6%
JD Sprague run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
76.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
76.7%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+53
76.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 53 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
76.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+2
76.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
76.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 5 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
76.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 5 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
76.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+5
76.3%
OHIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
76.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Aaron MacerSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+43
76.4%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Brett Layton return for 43 yds to the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5173% → 75%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+38
73.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 23 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Thad Ingol) to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
74.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
74.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
74.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds to the Ohio 21 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Kendrick Roberts) to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 18
OPP 31
+9
74.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 9 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-2
74.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Jovon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+20
73.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 20 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+33
73.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 33 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
73.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 46 Daz'mond Patterson fumbled, recovered by Ohio Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-10
73.4%
SPRAGUE, JD rush for 1 yard to the OHIO47 (ASH, Richard), PENALTY OHIO holding (POWELL, Lucas) 10 yards to the OHIO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 22
OWN 36
+5
73.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+4
73.9%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:3574% → 79%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
73.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
74.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 21 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+13
75.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+15
75.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 15 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1723% → 22%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
76.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
77.6%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
78.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4878% → 85%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
78.2%
Daniel Braverman run for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
78.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+8
77.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 8 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
84.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 72 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
83.8%
SPRAGUE, JD pass complete to PATTERSON, Daz' for 1 yard to the OHIO26 (ATKINS, R), PENALTY OHIO illegal block 13 yards to the OHIO12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 23
OWN 12
+4
83.9%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-8
84.0%
JD Sprague sacked by Richard Ash for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+8
84.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
84.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 64 yds, downed at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Devin BassSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
84.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
84.5%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
84.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 65 yds, downed at the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12INT TD
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3615% → 7%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
85.3%
Derrius Vick sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 13
OWN 3
-1
85.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+12
93.3%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Ishmael return for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 2:472% → 3%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
98.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 13 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
98.1%
Derrius Vick sacked by Richard Ash and Nick Matich for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+13
98.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 13 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Jamar SimpkinsSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.3%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
98.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 12 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
98.4%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
98.0%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
96.9%
Josiah Yazdani 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by N/A return for 1 yd to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
97.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 10 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
97.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
97.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, downed at the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
98.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+23
98.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 23 yds Darius Phillips fumbled, forced by Toran Davis, recovered by Ohio Brandon PurdumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:371% → 1%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+34
99.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 34 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
98.9%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+5
98.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
98.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
98.7%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-5
98.3%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Troy Watson) to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
99.0%
Josiah Yazdani 42 yd FG MISSED OHIO Penalty, Defensive holding (NA) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 17 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
99.5%
Dareyon Chance run for 6 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+27
99.4%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Jovon Johnson return for 27 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.5%
Derrius Vick sacked by Grant DePalma for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
-3
99.5%
Derrius Vick sacked by Keion Adams and David Curle for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+22
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 22 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 5 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Tim Edmond run for no gain to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-8
99.4%
Derrius Vick sacked by Andre Turner and Grant DePalma for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 42 OHIO Penalty, intentional grounding (Derrius Vick) to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 24 yds, downed at the WMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
99.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
99.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ohio 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
99.9%
Tim Edmond run for 9 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.8%
Tim Edmond run for 1 yd to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 7 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 8 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 66 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:47100% → 99%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+56
99.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 56 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
99.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.5%
J. Schroeder punt for 38 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for no gain to the Ohio 25 Daz'mond Patterson fumbled, recovered by WMich Michael HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
99.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the Ohio 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26TD
19 plays · 97 yds · 3:340% → 1%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.9%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Aaron Bradley, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 7 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 7 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+21
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 21 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Dorian Brown for 6 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete to BRUNIS, Herman (CELISCAR, D), PENALTY WMU pass interference (CELISCAR, D) 11 yards to the WMU25, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
99.9%
Derrius Vick sacked by Trevor Ishmael for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 18
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Aaron Bradley, broken up by Nathan BrasterSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ronald Zamort) to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 13 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 3 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:52
Derrius Vick pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Ishmael return for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 8:23
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 72 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 2:52
Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 02:52
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com