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NIU

Northern Illinois 28 at Eastern Michigan 17

EMU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:20 · Tyler Wedel punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 28 , Dustin Creel returns for 22 yds to the EASTMICH 44 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (NA) to the EMich 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior−38.9Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:04: Dylan Mulder 21 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:54: Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +22.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:55: Joel Bouagnon run for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +20.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:46: Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38 — NIU win probability +8.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:26: Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, OFF (NA) declined (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +14.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18NIU 4th & 1 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 21 at EMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:51NIU 4th & 6 at EMU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:51EMU 4th & 15 at NIU 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04EMU 4th & 1 at NIU 4, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.2%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:18NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:50EMU 4th & 19 at EMU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:34NIU 4th & 3 at EMU 15, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:53EMU 4th & 10 at NIU 37, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:03EMU 4th & 28 at NIU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:21NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:20EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:11NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:54EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:55NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
9.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 12 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
9.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+5
9.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 5 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
9.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyler Allen for 7 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
9.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kris Strange, broken up by Paris LoganSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-2
9.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
9.3%
Owen Dubiel punt for 52 yds, downed at the NoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:4390% → 90%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
10.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
10.4%
Ezra Saffold run for 5 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+78
10.2%
Drew Hare run for 78 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:5410% → 13%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
10.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
10.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
10.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 6 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
10.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyler Allen for 13 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
10.4%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
10.4%
Ryan Brumfield run for 11 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
11.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 8 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
11.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+32
11.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for 32 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
12.9%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.4%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
12.4%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
12.5%
Drew Hare run for 7 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+22
12.4%
Tyler Wedel punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 28 , Dustin Creel returns for 22 yds to the EASTMICH 44 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (NA) to the EMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
13.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul off-setting (NA) to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
13.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to David Gibson for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+9
12.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to David Gibson for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-5
13.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
12.8%
Owen Dubiel punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:0787% → 88%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
13.4%
Ezra Saffold run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+9
13.4%
Drew Hare run for 9 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
13.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Jordan Huff for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
13.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
13.2%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+4
13.6%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
13.1%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-1
13.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Ezra Saffold for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+11
14.6%
Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
14.3%
Cameron Stingily run for 11 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.4%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:0413% → 13%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
13.1%
Bronson Hill run for 5 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
13.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
13.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
13.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Sean Folliard and Bobby Jones IV for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+4
13.1%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-8
12.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Ben Compton and Cameron Clinton-Earl for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 23
+5
12.7%
Owen Dubiel punt for 38 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 5 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:5887% → 86%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
13.5%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
13.5%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
13.3%
Anthony Maddie run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+15
13.4%
MADDIE, Anthony pass incomplete to BROWN, Da'Ron, PENALTY EMU pass interference (CREEAR, Willie) 15 yards to the EMU27, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
13.2%
MADDIE, Anthony sacked for loss of 9 yards to the EMU36 (STEALS, Mike;PIPKINS, Aaron), PENALTY EMU personal foul (PIPKINS, Aaron) 15 yards to the EMU12, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
13.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
13.2%
Ezra Saffold run for 2 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
13.4%
Cameron Stingily run for no gain to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+24
14.2%
Tyler Wedel 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by N/A return for no gain to the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
14.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyler Allen for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
14.8%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
14.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
14.8%
Ryan Brumfield run for 12 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
15.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+1
16.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
16.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Darius Jackson for 11 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
16.6%
BRUMFIELD, Ryan rush for 17 yards to the NIU15, out-of-bounds (DURANTE, Dechan), PENALTY EMU holding (GARDNER, Cole) 10 yards to the NIU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+5
15.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
15.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 15
OPP 37
0
15.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
14.3%
Owen Dubiel punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2284% → 84%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
15.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Luke Eakes for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
15.3%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
16.3%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Tyler Wedel punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:3517% → 21%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
16.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyler Allen for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
17.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Jason Meehan for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
16.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+43
16.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 43 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
19.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
19.4%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 6 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
18.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyreese Russell, broken up by Boomer MaysSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
20.8%
Dylan Mulder 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
20.4%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
20.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
19.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 8 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-9
19.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 1 yd to the NoIll 45 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (NA) to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
20.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
21.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 10 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
20.4%
Ezra Saffold run for no gain to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13INT
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
25.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass intercepted Dechane Durante return for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
22.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 2 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
22.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
23.3%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+1
24.1%
Tyler Wedel punt for 51 yds , Dustin Creel returns for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
24.8%
Ryan Brumfield run for 8 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
26.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for 5 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
26.8%
BRUMFIELD, Ryan rush for 1 yard to the NIU48 (LEE, William), PENALTY EMU holding (TERRELL, Darien) 10 yards to the EMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 20
OWN 41
-5
24.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Robert McFadden) to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+6
23.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
24.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 19
OWN 42
0
23.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler Allen, broken up by Brandon MayesSimilar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+9
22.4%
Owen Dubiel punt for 43 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 9 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4376% → 76%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+39
24.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 39 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
22.1%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Ezra Saffold for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+14
22.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 14 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
21.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
21.1%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+6
22.5%
Anthony Maddie run for 6 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
23.9%
Tyler Wedel 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by N/A return for no gain to the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:4026% → 53%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
26.0%
Bronson Hill run for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
25.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Bronson Hill for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
23.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 19 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
27.9%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David Gibson, broken up by Mayomi OlootuSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+26
26.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 26 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
31.1%
Bronson Hill run for 3 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+8
31.1%
Ryan Brumfield run for 8 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
31.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+4
30.9%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+15
29.0%
BELL, Reginald pass incomplete to STRANGE, Kris, PENALTY NIU pass interference (LOGAN, Paris) 15 yards to the NIU3, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.1%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for no gain to the NoIll 3Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
31.1%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 4Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
53.2%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5953% → 80%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
46.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
43.5%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
43.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
43.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 10 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
42.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+11
42.6%
Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
40.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
40.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 7 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
20.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 38 yds · 5:0228% → 27%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
30.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for 9 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
31.6%
Ryan Brumfield run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
29.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to David Gibson for 9 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
32.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
33.2%
Ryan Brumfield run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
33.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
32.5%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Cole Gardner for 4 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
33.3%
Ryan Brumfield run for no gain to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
33.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny JonesSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
31.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
27.3%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:2081% → 99%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
19.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
18.8%
Cameron Stingily run for 13 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
17.3%
Cameron Stingily run for 7 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
16.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
17.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+32
15.6%
Drew Hare run for 32 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.3%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, OFF (NA) declined (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 2:232% → 1%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
1.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 11 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
1.7%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 9 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+15
1.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 15 yds to the NoIll 39 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, forced by William Lee, recovered by EMich Reginald Bell Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+26
1.8%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 14 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, UN (Marlon Moore) to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
2.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David GibsonSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
2.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. pass incomplete to David Gibson, broken up by Paris LoganSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-18
1.6%
Reginald Bell Jr. sacked by Perez Ford and Michael Santacaterina for a loss of 18 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 28
OPP 31
+48
0.7%
Dylan Mulder 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
+22.1
TD · Q4 11:55
Joel Bouagnon run for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
-20.8
TD · Q4 3:26
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, OFF (NA) declined (Tyler Wedel KICK)
-14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com