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AKR

Akron 21 at Ball State 35

BALL
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:36 · Scott Secor 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense−7.0Pregame prior−4.3Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:58: Conor Hundley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +9.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:20: KeVonn Mabon run for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +8.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:55: Scott Secor 37 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +8.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 11:45: Jack Milas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Milas failed ) — BALL win probability +19.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:55: Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +14.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:12BALL 4th & 6 at AKR 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51AKR 4th & 1 at BALL 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:57BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04BALL 4th & 3 at AKR 3, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:41AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 45, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:36BALL 4th & 5 at AKR 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−8.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:30BALL 4th & 1 at AKR 10, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−3.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−12.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:32BALL 4th & 6 at AKR 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:27AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 48, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.5%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:55BALL 4th & 4 at AKR 20, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%−0.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−16.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:05BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−4.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:55AKR 4th & 12 at BALL 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:58BALL 4th & 9 at AKR 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:35AKR 4th & 11 at BALL 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:35AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:58AKR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:20BALL Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:55BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:4840% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
40.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 17 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
40.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+17
40.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 17 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
40.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
40.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
40.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Chris ShillingsSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
41.4%
Scott Secor 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3759% → 60%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
41.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
41.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
41.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to L.T. Smith for 7 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
41.0%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+26
41.0%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to L.T. Smith for 26 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.9%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
40.9%
Conor Hundley run for 8 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
41.0%
Cody Grice run for 4 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
40.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 3 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
40.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Anthony Ritossa for 10 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
41.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Justin MarchSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
40.7%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:4859% → 63%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
40.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Tyler Williams for 16 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
40.6%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Tyler Williams for 17 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
40.3%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
40.2%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+6
40.5%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 6 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
40.3%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
40.3%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to L.T. Smith for 6 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Cody Grice run for no gain to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
40.9%
Cody Grice run for 1 yd to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
36.6%
Conor Hundley run for 13 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.3%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
37.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
37.3%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
37.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 22 , Imani Davis returns for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3763% → 64%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
37.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to D.J. Jones for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
36.7%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
37.0%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
35.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
35.9%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
36.0%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Tyler WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
36.4%
Zach Paul punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG
20 plays · 75 yds · 6:3236% → 36%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
35.5%
Jack Milas run for 8 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
36.1%
Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
35.6%
Jack Milas run for 1 yd to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
35.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
36.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
36.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Chris Shillings for 3 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
36.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 10 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
36.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
37.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
36.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 10 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
37.6%
Jack Milas run for 8 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
37.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+9
36.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 9 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-7
37.6%
Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the Akron 10 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeremiah Harvey) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 17
OPP 20
+15
37.4%
MILAS, Jack pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jord., PENALTY AKRON pass interference (GIVENS, Kris) 15 yards to the AKRON5, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
37.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Sam Brunner, broken up by Dylan EvansSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria, broken up by Johnny RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
36.3%
Scott Secor 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:5966% → 77%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
34.3%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 9 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+19
33.3%
Conor Hundley run for 19 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
32.8%
Tommy Woodson run for 9 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+25
32.5%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 25 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
32.5%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 4Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
23.3%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:3128% → 38%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
27.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
28.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+39
28.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 39 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
29.7%
EDWARDS, Jahwan rush for 5 yards to the AKRON13 (OKAFOR, Nmesoma;SHELBY, Jon), PENALTY AKRON 12 men on the field 5 yards to the AKRON13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+13
37.9%
KeVonn Mabon run for 13 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2867% → 68%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.9%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
32.0%
Tommy Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
32.7%
D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
31.9%
Zach Paul punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 0:4631% → 35%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+20
31.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 20 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
31.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 20 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
33.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
33.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, roughing passer (Justin March) to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
35.4%
EDWARDS, Jahwan rush for 1 yard to the AKRON33 (BROWN, Jatavis), PENALTY AKRON offside defense (GRICE, Cody) 5 yards to the AKRON29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+46
34.7%
Scott Secor 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:1970% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.3%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Zach D'Orazio, broken up by Ben IngleSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.7%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Tyler Williams for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.3%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
29.8%
Jawon Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
28.9%
WOODSON, Tommy pass intercepted by HOLDER, Tyree at the BALL43, HOLDER, Tyree return to the AKRON0, clock 13:41, PENALTY BALL offside defense (MILES, Nick) 5 yards to the AKRON44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
28.8%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
29.8%
Zach Paul punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:2331% → 34%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Chris Shillings, broken up by Martel DurantSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+37
31.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 37 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
34.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+10
34.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 10 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
35.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
37.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
35.5%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
33.6%
Scott Secor 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
30.5%
Tommy Woodson pass intercepted Tyree Holder return for no gain to the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:5837% → 41%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
37.1%
Jack Milas run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-2
37.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+13
35.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 13 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
37.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 5 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
37.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
35.5%
Jack Milas run for no gain to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
34.2%
Jack Milas run for 1 yd to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
37.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
37.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Sam BrunnerSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q3 6:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
40.7%
Scott Secor 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16INT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
34.9%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
34.3%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 5 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
34.0%
Cody Grice run for 2 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
33.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Imani Davis, broken up by Martez HesterSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
33.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+6
33.7%
Tommy Woodson run for 6 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+6
34.6%
Cody Grice run for 6 yds to the BalSt 46 Cody Grice fumbled, forced by Martez Hester, recovered by Akron Cedric Brittnum for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
32.1%
Tommy Woodson sacked by Aaron Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+6
34.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+27
34.2%
Tommy Woodson pass intercepted Zack Ryan return for 27 yds to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3842% → 51%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
42.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
41.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 7 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
42.2%
AKRON Penalty, offside defense (Nordly Capi) to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
44.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
44.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
42.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
50.6%
Scott Secor 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.7%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
40.8%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Keith SconiersSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
42.5%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
44.4%
Zach Paul punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 45%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
48.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 9 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
52.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-2
51.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 3
OWN 37
-5
46.7%
BALL ST Penalty, (NA) to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
45.3%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 39 yds , Imani Davis returns for no gain to the Akron 29 Imani Davis fumbled, recovered by BalSt Quintin CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:3456% → 75%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
55.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Dylan Curry for 24 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.4%
Jack Milas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Milas failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:5032% → 24%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.1%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to L.T. Smith for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
66.3%
Jawon Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
66.7%
Tommy Woodson run for 6 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+11
64.1%
Tommy Woodson run for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
63.1%
Tommy Woodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
65.5%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Tyler WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
73.9%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew Pratt, broken up by Tyree HolderSimilar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
76.0%
Zach Paul punt blocked by Teddy Williamson blocked by Teddy WilliamsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:4579% → 94%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
78.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 14 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
78.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+9
78.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 9 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.9%
Tommy Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
93.9%
Tommy Woodson sacked by Darnell Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+36
94.3%
Tommy Woodson pass intercepted Tyree Holder return for 36 yds to the Akron 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:3595% → 98%
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
94.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 0
+3
93.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (Se'Von Pittman) to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
94.6%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 4 BALL ST Penalty, illegal formation (NA) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
94.5%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 8Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
94.4%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
97.8%
Scott Secor 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25INT
11 plays · 37 yds · 1:233% → 2%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.5%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.3%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.3%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 12 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
97.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to L.T. Smith for 14 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.9%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
96.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
98.4%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 11
OPP 38
+43
98.4%
Tommy Woodson pass intercepted Eric Patterson return for 43 yds to the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:45
Jack Milas run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Milas failed )
+19.7
TD · Q4 6:55
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q2 3:58
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com