Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 26 at Bowling Green 14

BGSU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:06 · J. Schroeder punt for 56 yds, downed at the BwGrn 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−6.3Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5One-score game−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:38: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +5.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:04: Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 01:04 — BGSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q2 0:31: Andre Givens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:17: Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 63 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED) — WMU win probability +17.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:36: Jarvion Franklin run for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +20.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 3:36WMU 4th & 8 at BGSU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−2.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:36BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:29WMU 4th & 7 at BGSU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:24BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:42WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:11BGSU 4th & 1 at WMU 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−3.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−13.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:11BGSU 4th & 2 at WMU 2, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−14.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:06WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 20, up 5
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:39BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 23, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−4.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:48WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−5.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:35BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 18, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−4.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:34BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 42, down 5
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:36BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:02WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 46, up 12
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:38WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 25, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−4.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:46WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 9, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:11BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:38WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:31BGSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:36WMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:4950% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.1%
Ronnie Moore run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
50.1%
James Knapke run for 16 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
50.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+15
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 15 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
50.1%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
50.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 7 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+3
50.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 3 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
50.1%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.6%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (NA) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 7:2848% → 46%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
52.1%
Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+14
51.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for no gain to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
51.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 18 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
51.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+10
51.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+11
51.8%
Fabian Johnson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
51.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
51.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
51.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
51.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
51.6%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
55.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Taylor Moton for a loss of 7 yards Taylor Moton fumbled, forced by Taylor Royster, recovered by WMich Daniel Braverman , return for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
54.3%
Andrew Haldeman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
54.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
53.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
53.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (NA) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
53.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:3046% → 52%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
54.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
53.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
53.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
53.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
53.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
53.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
53.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
53.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+7
54.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
53.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius Phillips, broken up by Jude Adjei-BarimahSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
49.5%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
49.5%
James Knapke pass intercepted Justin Currie return for 13 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3153% → 57%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
47.0%
Daniel Braverman run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
47.1%
Zach Terrell run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+5
47.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
46.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
47.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
46.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Taylor RoysterSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
42.7%
Andrew Haldeman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
44.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
43.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Chris PohlmanSimilar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
43.2%
Joe Davidson punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
42.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 21 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
40.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
40.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
40.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick RobertsSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
41.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 37 yds, downed at the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
20 plays · 83 yds · 4:5842% → 64%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
42.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-5
42.5%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (NA) to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
41.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
42.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
42.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie Moore, broken up by Trevor IshmaelSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
43.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger Lewis, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+10
42.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
45.2%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+22
44.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Herve Coby for 22 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
46.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 3 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+11
46.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 11 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
46.7%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
46.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
45.3%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
49.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (NA) to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.1%
Andre Givens run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.8%
Andre Givens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.8%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
58.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3743% → 60%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
57.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+15
57.5%
TERRELL, Zach sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WMU7 (THOMAS, Bryan), PENALTY BGSU face mask (THOMAS, Bryan) 15 yards to the WMU33, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
56.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+7
57.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+63
39.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 63 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
44.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
45.4%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
44.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+15
43.4%
KNAPKE, James pass incomplete to JACKSON, Heath, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT, Ronald) 15 yards to the WMU29, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
46.9%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
46.9%
Ryan Burbrink run for 6 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
45.2%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+13
43.7%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
46.9%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the WMich 7Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
46.9%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
45.2%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
39.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+12
39.9%
Zach Terrell run for 12 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
39.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
39.2%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+5
40.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
41.6%
J. Schroeder punt for 56 yds, downed at the BwGrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
39.2%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
39.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
38.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 28
-5
36.5%
DAVIDSON, Joe punt 49 yards to the WMU23, fair catch by BRAVERMAN, D, PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the BGSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+6
36.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 48 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 6 yds to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick RobertsSimilar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-8
36.3%
TERRELL, Zach pass complete to PHILLIPS, D for 4 yards to the WMU39 (THOMAS, Bryan), PENALTY WMU holding 8 yards to the WMU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
37.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+6
38.4%
Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
39.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 35 yds, downed at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
39.2%
James Knapke run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+12
39.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 12 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
42.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
42.8%
KNAPKE, James pass complete to REDDING, Teo for 3 yards to the WMU48, PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the BGSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
39.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
40.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
38.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3566% → 63%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
34.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
32.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-9
33.7%
Zach Terrell sacked by D.J. Lynch for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
37.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
37.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
40.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan Burbrink, broken up by Trevor IshmaelSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
39.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis Greene BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Ben Steward) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
35.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:2268% → 92%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
32.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
33.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 13 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
29.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
29.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
29.8%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
28.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
27.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+15
29.0%
Zach Terrell run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
8.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
11.2%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
10.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
10.0%
Joe Davidson punt for 33 yds, downed at the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3692% → 93%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
8.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+7
8.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+4
8.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
6.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 44 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for no gain to the BwGrn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 23 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
7.5%
James Knapke run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 33 James Knapke fumbled, forced by Ronald Zamort, recovered by WMich Ronald ZamortSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:5094% → 98%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
6.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
6.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
5.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+7
5.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 17 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Jude Adjei-Barimah, recovered by WMich for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, substitution infraction (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
4.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
4.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
4.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+8
2.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
2.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:36
Jarvion Franklin run for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q3 12:17
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 63 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED)
-17.5
TD · Q2 0:31
Andre Givens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com