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M-OH

Miami (OH) 41 at Northern Illinois 51

NIU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:18 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:55: Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +6.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:58: Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +7.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:57: Anthony Maddie run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:36: Andrew Hendrix run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Hendrix failed ) — M-OH win probability +7.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10M-OH 4th & 1 at NIU 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:03NIU 4th & 2 at M-OH 11, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:51M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:52M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 17, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:46NIU 4th & 6 at M-OH 29, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:53M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 48, down 9
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:55M-OH 4th & 7 at NIU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:28M-OH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:35NIU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:55NIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:03M-OH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:58NIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:50NIU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:27M-OH Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:21M-OH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:57NIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:02NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:36M-OH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
82.5%
Dawan Scott run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-5
82.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+22
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 22 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
82.5%
Rokeem Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David Frazier, broken up by Albert SmallsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+5
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+3
82.5%
Christian Koch punt for 37 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2382% → 82%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
81.8%
Drew Hare run for 20 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
81.9%
Drew Hare run for 13 yds to the NORTHERNIL 40 NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+10
81.9%
Drew Hare run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
82.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
82.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
82.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.4%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:2518% → 21%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
81.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+11
81.6%
Dawan Scott run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
81.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 17 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
81.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
81.3%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
81.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+6
81.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 6 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
79.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 24 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:2180% → 81%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
79.6%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 10 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Jarrell Jones) to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
80.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 26 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
80.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
80.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+3
80.2%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
80.6%
Tyler Wedel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:1220% → 20%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.0%
Dawan Scott run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
79.5%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
79.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
79.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+9
79.6%
Christian Koch punt for 39 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 9 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:0179% → 82%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
79.4%
Drew Hare run for 24 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
82.1%
Drew Hare run for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3018% → 17%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
82.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 11 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
82.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
82.2%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+3
82.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
82.7%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5982% → 89%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.1%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+22
81.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 22 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
82.1%
Anthony Maddie run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
82.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 6 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
82.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+11
82.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
82.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Chad Beebe for 9 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
82.2%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:4714% → 20%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
86.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 13 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
86.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for 18 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
85.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+27
85.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Ryan Smith for 27 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
85.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for 6 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-5
85.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+11
85.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 5 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Rasheen Lemon) to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.7%
Dawan Scott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:0082% → 91%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
82.1%
Cameron Stingily run for 5 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+5
82.3%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
90.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
87.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+3
87.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 3 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
87.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
87.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 12
OWN 17
+15
87.8%
Christian Koch punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 37 , Chad Beebe returns for 15 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0391% → 95%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
90.6%
Cameron Stingily run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+16
90.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 16 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
90.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
90.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+18
90.6%
Aregeros Turner pass complete to Drew Hare for 18 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.1%
Cameron Stingily run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Aregeros Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:237% → 15%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
93.6%
Jared Murphy run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
93.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 14 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
92.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred McRae for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the NoIll 33 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, forced by Perez Ford,Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+26
93.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 26 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David Frazier, broken up by Mayomi OlootuSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:0790% → 91%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
89.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 9 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-5
89.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Tyler Loos) to the NoIll 19Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+14
89.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 14 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
89.6%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 23 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
90.0%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
89.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
89.6%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
90.0%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
90.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
89.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
90.5%
Tyler Wedel 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 4:2511% → 19%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
89.0%
Dawan Scott run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
88.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
88.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
88.7%
Dawan Scott run for 7 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+14
88.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 14 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
87.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
87.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 13 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.3%
Andrew Hendrix run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:0085% → 86%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
84.7%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+8
84.8%
Cameron Stingily run for 8 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
85.0%
Cameron Stingily run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+19
84.8%
Drew Hare run for 19 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
85.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Luke Eakes for 17 yds Luke Eakes fumbled, forced by Jarrell Jones, recovered by MiaOh J'Terius JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
84.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
84.5%
Dawan Scott run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
84.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
85.3%
Christian Koch punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:5286% → 95%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
86.1%
Anthony Maddie run for 6 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+7
85.7%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Rob Sterling for 7 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+49
86.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 49 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
87.7%
Anthony Maddie run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
87.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.7%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Jordan HuffSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:167% → 17%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
93.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+12
92.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+34
92.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Ryan Smith for 34 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
91.2%
Dawan Scott run for 11 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
83.3%
Andrew Hendrix run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Hendrix failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:2988% → 98%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
88.4%
Drew Hare run for 17 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.0%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+11
88.6%
Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
89.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-2
89.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Jordan Huff for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+18
88.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 18 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
89.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Rob Sterling for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
89.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
88.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 5:193% → 8%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
96.6%
HENDRIX, Andrew sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MU15 (FOLLIARD, Sean;FORD, Perez), PENALTY MU holding (TANNER, Jeff) 8 yards to the MU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
96.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+11
96.8%
Jared Murphy run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+13
96.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 13 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
96.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+23
96.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 23 yds to the NORTHERNIL 38 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive holding (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
96.2%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jason Meehan for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+2
96.3%
Jared Murphy run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+12
96.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 12 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-5
96.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Zach Lewis) to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+21
96.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 21 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
95.5%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to FRAZIER, David, PENALTY NIU pass interference (LOGAN, Paris) 12 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David Frazier, broken up by Paris LoganSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 2:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:1495% → 97%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
95.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
95.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+6
96.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.6%
Cameron Stingily run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
96.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:27
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q4 12:36
Andrew Hendrix run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Hendrix failed )
-7.9
TD · Q2 5:58
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com