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WMU

Western Michigan 42 at Ball State 38

BALL
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:37 · Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Home team on offense−16.8Garbage-time factor−12.7Pregame prior+0.1Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:36: Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK) — BALL win probability +16.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:25: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 75 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +15.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:16: Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +16.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 7:32: Jarvion Franklin run for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +22.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 1:25: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +50.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 9WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:06BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:58WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:15WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:17BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13BALL 4th & 4 at WMU 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:54BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:24WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:52BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:07BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:51WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 29, up 10
    Close callPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:25BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 42, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:37BALL 4th & 8 at WMU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−10.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−19.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:20BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:34WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:23BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:02BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:36BALL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:25WMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:03WMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:16WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:52BALL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:32WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:25WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:5456% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
55.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
55.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+8
55.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 8 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
55.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 8 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
55.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
55.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
55.9%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
55.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
55.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
55.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
55.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
55.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
55.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:1856% → 61%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
55.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+32
55.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 32 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
56.7%
Jack Milas run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
56.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
56.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
60.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 32 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:3340% → 46%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
59.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
59.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
59.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
59.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Gilbert StlouisSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
58.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
58.8%
Dareyon Chance run for 2 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
58.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+52
54.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 52 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:0656% → 65%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
56.3%
Horactio Banks run for no gain to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
56.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Chris Shillings for 7 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+4
55.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
56.5%
Horactio Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
56.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
55.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 14 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
57.3%
Horactio Banks run for 27 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
58.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
58.5%
Horactio Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+16
57.0%
Jack Milas run for 16 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
58.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
65.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
62.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
62.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Zack RyanSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+23
63.3%
J. Schroeder run for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 3 J. Schroeder fumbled, forced by Horactio Banks, recovered by BalSt Nicholas Isaacs , return for 23 yds to the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3766% → 73%
Q2 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.4%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Dylan Curry for 3 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
71.2%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to DAVIS, Corey, PENALTY WMU personal foul (FRANKLIN, J) 10 yards to the WMU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+2
71.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+2
71.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
71.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
72.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:4474% → 90%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
73.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 5 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+12
73.5%
KeVonn Mabon run for 12 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
73.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
73.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Jarrell McKinneySimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+17
73.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 17 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
73.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 12 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
74.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 75 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.6%
Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
74.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 10 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
75.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Chris ShillingsSimilar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
74.5%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
73.3%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
75.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Dareyon Chance for 3 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
75.7%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Tyree Holder return for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:1178% → 81%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
78.2%
Jahwan Edwards run for 4 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
78.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+13
77.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 13 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
78.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
78.1%
Jahwan Edwards run for 6 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
78.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Justin CurrieSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
81.2%
Scott Secor 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5718% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
81.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+52
81.2%
Darius Phillips run for 52 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
73.5%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
73.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Dylan Curry for 8 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
73.6%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Richard Ash) to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
75.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+5
72.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 5 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
72.4%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Dedrick CromartieSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
76.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 74 yds, downed at the BalSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
75.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
75.7%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+3
74.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
74.1%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:3826% → 44%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
74.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 26 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
72.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 15 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
72.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
65.0%
Horactio Banks run for 16 yds to the BALLST 47 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (KeVonn Mabon) to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 4
OWN 43
+2
66.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
66.9%
Jack Milas run for no gain to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
65.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jack Milas , return for 3 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+3
64.5%
Scott Secor punt for 47 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 3 yds to the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
63.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 14 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Eric Boyden, broken up by Keenan NoelSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
63.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
64.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
65.9%
J. Schroeder punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:2967% → 85%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
67.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 18 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
68.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
69.3%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
84.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 26 yds for a TD, (Scott Secor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:4519% → 17%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
81.5%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to BOYDEN, Eric, PENALTY BALL pass interference (STLOUIS, G.) 15 yards to the WMU26, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
81.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 15 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
79.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
81.3%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
81.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Fabian JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
83.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
82.9%
Jahwan Edwards run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
82.8%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the BalSt 10Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+12
81.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 12 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
83.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
83.0%
Jahwan Edwards run for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+7
82.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+1
81.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 53 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 1 yd to the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 3:2815% → 38%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
85.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-3
85.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+20
86.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 20 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
82.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+10
85.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 10 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
62.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
71.8%
Horactio Banks run for 1 yd to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+5
71.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Chris Shillings for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
72.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Chris Shillings for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
71.1%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:1032% → 92%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
67.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
66.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
66.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
63.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 7 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
63.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 23 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
59.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 19 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
58.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
8.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 28DOWNS
14 plays · 56 yds · 0:4129% → 21%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
28.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jahwan Edwards for 17 yds to the BALLST 47 BALL ST Penalty, illegal block (KeVonn Mabon) to the BalSt 43Similar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 3
OWN 43
-6
33.9%
Jack Milas sacked by Nathan Braster for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+26
23.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 26 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
30.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Jordan Williams for 16 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
34.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 9 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
29.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
32.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
32.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
29.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Richard AshSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
6.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:25
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-50.1
TD · Q4 7:32
Jarvion Franklin run for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q3 6:16
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com