Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 40 at Kent State 17

KENT
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Anthony Melchiori punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−16.6Score differential−6.9Garbage-time factor−5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5Pregame prior+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:01: Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +5.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:46: Logan Laurent 31 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +4.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:03: Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +12.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:00: Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +14.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:26: Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +6.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 12MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 34, tied
    Close callWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38KENT 4th & 2 at MASS 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:38MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:42KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:09MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:14KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:36MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:50KENT 4th & 3 at MASS 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.0%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:01MASS 4th & 1 at KENT 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−1.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:56KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 29, down 4
    Close callPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:46MASS 4th & 8 at KENT 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:05KENT 4th & 11 at MASS 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:03MASS 4th & 2 at KENT 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:55KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:38MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:26MASS 4th & 5 at KENT 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−8.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−2.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:12MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:11KENT 4th & 1 at MASS 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−2.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−9.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:06KENT 4th & 6 at MASS 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−4.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:51KENT 4th & 9 at MASS 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:19KENT 4th & 6 at MASS 6, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:32MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:42KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:01MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:00KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:12MASS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
54.2%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 5 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
54.2%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for no gain to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
54.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 34
-2
54.2%
Marken Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0455% → 55%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
54.6%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
54.6%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+5
54.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
55.1%
Anthony Melchiori 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.0%
Jalen Williams run for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
54.9%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Darius Redmond and Nate Terhune for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+9
55.0%
Marken Michel run for 9 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
55.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
55.2%
Brian McDonald punt for 38 yds, downed at the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for no gain to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
55.3%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
55.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James BrooksSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
55.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.8%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
55.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
56.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
56.4%
Brian McDonald punt for 34 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
56.3%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
56.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
56.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete, broken up by Robert KitchingSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
55.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:4644% → 48%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
56.2%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 21 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
56.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 36 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
54.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
55.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jean SifrinSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
55.3%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+15
55.9%
Frohnapfel, B. pass intercepted by ITALIANO, J. at the KENT1, ITALIANO, J. return to the KENT1, PENALTY KENT pass interference (MONDAY, D.) 15 yards to the KENT9, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.8%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Matt Tuleja for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4453% → 58%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
53.1%
James Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+4
52.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 4 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
52.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 9 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
54.0%
Anthony Meray run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
54.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 1
50
+7
54.1%
Anthony Meray run for 7 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
58.2%
Anthony Meray run for 43 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
57.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Andrew Libby for 8 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
57.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Andrew LibbySimilar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+17
58.1%
Brian McDonald punt for 39 yds , James Brooks returns for 17 yds to the UMass 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
58.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 14 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
58.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Chris Humphrey) to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
57.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+5
57.7%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+7
58.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
57.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2743% → 50%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
57.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 19 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
56.0%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+26
55.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 26 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
54.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
55.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 7 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
55.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+17
50.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
51.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 8 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
52.9%
Miles Hibbler run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-1
51.0%
Miles Hibbler run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
50.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:1651% → 57%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+51
49.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Alex Kenney for 51 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
46.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
46.8%
Marken Michel run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
47.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
43.1%
Logan Laurent 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:3444% → 42%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
44.3%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
44.8%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
44.8%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 26 Nick Holley fumbled, recovered by KntSt Nick HolleySimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+17
44.1%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (John Robinson-Woodgett) to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
46.2%
Nick Holley run for 13 yds to the KENTST 44 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Peter Angeh) to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
48.4%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
48.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
46.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James BrooksSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
42.4%
Anthony Melchiori 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 2:0260% → 75%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
40.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+11
39.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 11 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
38.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
38.5%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
38.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
38.1%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+8
38.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 8 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
36.9%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Mills, R., PENALTY KENT pass interference (PANNELL, M.) 15 yards to the KENT12, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
36.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Alex Kenney for 8 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
36.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
36.9%
Lorenzo Woodley run for no gain to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
24.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
29.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+4
29.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
29.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
27.2%
Tajae Sharpe run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+12
27.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 12 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-15
26.6%
Woodley, L. rush for 1 yard to the UMASS42 (TERHUNE, Nate), PENALTY UMASS illegal block 15 yards to the UMASS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+7
28.2%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 7 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+11
28.3%
Brian McDonald punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 34 , James Brooks returns for 11 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:4826% → 44%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
26.1%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
27.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (Daniel Maynes) to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
27.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 8 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
28.5%
Colin Reardon run for 8 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
28.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 19 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
29.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 15 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
29.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:2765% → 74%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
34.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Alex Kenney for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
33.4%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
32.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
33.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+15
36.0%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Sharpe, T. (MONDAY, D.), PENALTY KENT pass interference (MONDAY, D.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
50
+15
31.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 15 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
31.5%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
31.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 10 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
31.3%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+7
31.3%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
31.3%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to *, QB hurry by VANCE, Nate, PENALTY UMASS holding (Wilkinson, E.) 10 yards to the KENT16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
31.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Alex Kenney for no gain to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
31.5%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+9
32.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 9 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
25.9%
Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1825% → 22%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
25.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 15 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
27.3%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-15
26.2%
REARDON, Colin pass complete to HUMPHREY, Chris for 7 yards to the UMASS47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENT personal foul (SCOTT, Wayne) 15 yards to the KENT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 31
+13
24.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 13 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
23.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James Brooks KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
22.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
25.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 6 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
25.1%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 3 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
25.8%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
25.1%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
25.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 9 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
23.4%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-1
23.4%
Jalen Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
24.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Alex Kenney for 5 yds to the UMass 45 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
25.4%
Brian McDonald punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:0516% → 13%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
16.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Anthony Meray for 9 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
17.3%
Anthony Meray run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+34
16.3%
Colin Reardon run for 34 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
20.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 8 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
19.8%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
18.3%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
21.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
20.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
19.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
12.8%
Anthony Melchiori 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5489% → 98%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
11.4%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 19 yds to the UMass 39 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jean Sifrin) to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 1
OWN 29
-5
11.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 6
OWN 24
+3
11.4%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
11.2%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 5 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
11.4%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 43 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
10.1%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 10 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
5.7%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
2.0%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
0.9%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted for a TD Jackson Porter return for 34 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 11 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
0.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 9
OPP 43
+11
0.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 11 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
1.0%
Colin Reardon run for 11 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
1.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 15 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:00
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
+14.5
TD · Q2 0:03
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
-12
FG · Q3 1:26
Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOOD
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com